What to Watch for Tonight in the Federal Elections

By: Tuesday November 4, 2014 2:00 pm

Watching the returns of the federal election this evening is going to be very simple. There is almost no chance of the Republicans losing the House so the important fights are in the Senate. Among all the senate races this year, only about eight are reasonably close: Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, New Hampshire [...]

Democrats’ Very Difficult Path for Retaining Control of the Senate

By: Monday November 3, 2014 10:42 am

The Republicans are set to take the Senate this year. To understand why, you need to only look at how difficult it will be for Democrats to retain control at this point. To begin with Democrats need to win every election where they have any polling lead, which is not guaranteed because polling shows Democrats [...]

Control of Senate Might Not Be Determined for Months

By: Friday October 3, 2014 12:04 pm

This election control of the United States Senate hangs in the balance, but there is a good chance we won’t know which party ends up in control until possibly next year. At this point the polling indicates whichever party eventually wins control in the Senate will do so by only the slimmest of margins, so [...]

An Ebb Election, Not a Wave Election

By: Friday September 5, 2014 12:26 pm

This year’s shaping up to be a very good year for Senate Republicans as they expect to win several seats, but that is not the same as a wave election. There are basically two ways for a political party to win a large number of seats. They can dramatically outperform historic norms and win races [...]

Why It Is Entirely Democrats’ Fault if They Lose the Senate

By: Wednesday April 16, 2014 12:41 pm

I find it deeply disappointing that Democrats have made going after Republicans voter ID laws that might “suppress” minority voters when Congressional Democrats refused to actually enfranchise the heavily African-American population of D.C.

How a Bad Election System Makes the Racial Partisan Divide a Big Problem

By: Monday March 24, 2014 1:15 pm

This racial divide wouldn’t be as big a political problem if we had a well designed political system that properly reflects the whole electorate, but our system for electing Congress currently has a huge bias towards white voters.

MT Sen: Brian Schweitzer Causes Problems for Democrats by Deciding Not to Run

By: Monday July 15, 2013 1:45 pm

Senate Democrats suffered a real set back when former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer decided not to run for the open Senate. While Schweitzer had been seriously considering a run for several months he told the AP over the weekend that he didn’t want to leave Montana for Washington. Schweitzer is still popular in Montana, a [...]

Proposal to Fix the Insane Way We Replace Senators

By: Friday June 7, 2013 10:51 am

The unfortunate passing of Sen. Frank Lautenberg (D-NJ) is a sad reminder that the United States’ system for dealing with Senate vacancies is truly insane. There is no national standard. Each state has its own system and they run from the decent, to the highly undemocratic, to the legally ambiguous. Given the political pressures and [...]

Democrats Are in Good Shape in Michigan Senate Race

By: Thursday June 6, 2013 9:56 am

Despite the decision by Sen. Carl Levin (D) to retire, Democrats are still in a good position to hold onto his seat. New polling by PPP finds Democrat Gary Peters with at least a five point lead over all the possible Republican candidates. From PPP: The strongest potential Republican candidate at this point is former [...]

Get Ready to Hear A Lot More About Rand Paul

By: Wednesday April 17, 2013 12:22 pm

If you think there isn’t enough Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) on your TV, then today is your lucky day. Paul has recently publicly said he is considering a 2016 Presidential run. From The Hill: Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.), a star among Tea Party voters, said Wednesday that he is considering a presidential bid in 2016 [...]

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