What a Referendum on the President Looks Like

By: Wednesday November 12, 2014 10:19 am

Since we have a two party political system there are two basic ways for a party to win big in an election. The first way is to put forward a positive agenda that the public agrees with and comes out to actively support on election day. The other is to simply wait for their opponents [...]

The Elections Are All About the Letter Next to the Candidate’s Name

By: Friday November 7, 2014 12:13 pm

The big story of the 2014 election which isn’t getting enough attention is how nationalized our federal elections have become. The value of incumbency and individual candidates has been greatly diminished while the political party next to the candidate’s name carries much greater value. What really drives this point home is looking at the results [...]

While Democrats Did Terribly, Progressive Policies Did Very Well at the Ballot Box

By: Wednesday November 5, 2014 12:15 pm

Last night was very bad for Democrats on the ballot. Not only did they lose control of the Senate, but House Republicans now have their largest majority in decades. It was not though a bad election for progressive policies. Most of the progressive ballot initiatives on the ballot won. Ballot measures about increasing the minimum [...]

A Nationalized Election With a Clear Swing to the GOP

By: Wednesday November 5, 2014 9:57 am

Last night was very bad for Democrats and a very good one for Republicans. At this point Republicans have picked up seven seats in the Senate and it looks like they will pick up another two when everything is over. With most of the votes counted, the Republican candidate holds a narrow lead in Alaska. [...]

What to Watch for Tonight in the Federal Elections

By: Tuesday November 4, 2014 2:00 pm

Watching the returns of the federal election this evening is going to be very simple. There is almost no chance of the Republicans losing the House so the important fights are in the Senate. Among all the senate races this year, only about eight are reasonably close: Alaska, Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, New Hampshire [...]

Democrats’ Very Difficult Path for Retaining Control of the Senate

By: Monday November 3, 2014 10:42 am

The Republicans are set to take the Senate this year. To understand why, you need to only look at how difficult it will be for Democrats to retain control at this point. To begin with Democrats need to win every election where they have any polling lead, which is not guaranteed because polling shows Democrats [...]

Over Half the Country is Voting Wrong

By: Tuesday August 12, 2014 10:41 am

I found the result of a new McClatchy-Marist poll interesting and a bit disappointing. Among registered voters only 46 percent said their impression of President Obama would be a factor in deciding how to vote for congress this November. A majority, 51 percent, said their impression of him would not be a factor at all. [...]

Voters Really Dislike Most People in Congress

By: Wednesday May 14, 2014 10:20 am

Only 22 percent of voters think most members of Congress deserve re-election while 72 percent believe they do not. According to Gallup this puts it on pace to be the lowest ever for an election year since they have been polling the issue. From Gallup: As has always been the case voters have a higher [...]

Young People Are Heavily Aligned With the Democratic Party

By: Friday March 28, 2014 12:59 pm

While Democrats had a modest edge with young voters for the last twenty years, starting in 2006 the scale of advantage has become significantly larger. From Gallup: Once individuals vote the same party a few times in a row the chance they stay loyal to that party goes up, so long-term this could become a [...]

How the Filibuster Might Cost Democrats the Senate

By: Monday March 10, 2014 12:01 pm

There is poetic justice to the fact that some of the Senators who selfishly defend the filibuster to increase their influence over the Senate may end up losing it all as a result. The problem is several senate Democrats are running for re-election in states that lean Republican and they are on record as voting [...]

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