A Reminder That We Do a Terrible Job of Managing Our Democracy

By: Tuesday November 4, 2014 10:15 am

Among the numerous deficiencies our democracy has is the fact that the people who vote don’t actually represent the country as a whole. Pew Research shows just how big this divide is. Adults who likely won’t be voting this year tend to be much younger, poorer, ethnically diverse, and more liberal than the people who [...]

Democrats’ Very Difficult Path for Retaining Control of the Senate

By: Monday November 3, 2014 10:42 am

The Republicans are set to take the Senate this year. To understand why, you need to only look at how difficult it will be for Democrats to retain control at this point. To begin with Democrats need to win every election where they have any polling lead, which is not guaranteed because polling shows Democrats [...]

A Week Out, Things Are Looking Bad for Democrats

By: Thursday October 30, 2014 9:52 am

The election indicators are looking bad for Democrats. The only real solace for them is they are at least not historically bad. According to Gallup, Democrats hold only a small affiliation edge among adults, which normally translates into a big loss because the people who actually turn out to vote in a midterm election tend [...]

A Prediction About Election Predictions

By: Tuesday October 28, 2014 2:14 pm

A week out from the election I have a prediction about the professional election predictors. They are going to be very accurate because our federal elections have become extremely predictable. If you know absolutely nothing about the Senate races except for the result of the 2012 Presidential election, you could end up predicting between 80-97 percent of all Senate races correctly this year.

Things Are Not Looking Good for Democrats

By: Tuesday October 28, 2014 10:32 am

We are now entering the final stretch of the election and things continue to look bad for the Democratic Party. The latest ABC News/Washington Post poll is just about all bad news for the Democrats. The big number is the generic ballot. Among likely voters, 50 percent prefer the Republican party while only 44 percent [...]

Nationalization of Politics Continues: South Dakota Senate Looking Safe for the GOP

By: Monday October 27, 2014 11:17 am

There was a brief moment where it possibly looked like the unusual three-way Senate race in South Dakota could create an indirect opening for Democrats, but that moment is over. Two polls released this weekend show Republican Mike Rounds with a double digit lead. The Marist/NBC poll has Rounds with 43 percent among likely voters, [...]

GA Sen: Democrat Michelle Nunn Has Narrow Lead

By: Friday October 24, 2014 10:06 am

If there is one bright spot for Senate Democrats this year it is Georgia. Every poll in the last week has found Michelle Nunn with a small lead over Republican David Perdue. Nunn is performing much better than you would expect a Democrat to in a state won by Mitt Romney in 2012 when the [...]

Voters Like Democrats But Think They Are Incompetent

By: Thursday October 23, 2014 2:44 pm

On a personal level the American people just seem to like the Democratic party better than the Republican party. Not only does the Democratic party have better favorable numbers than the Republican party; but according to Pew Research register voters also see Democrats as the more ethical party, the party more willing to work across [...]

Scott Brown Is Proof All Politics Is Now National

By: Thursday October 23, 2014 11:21 am

There is no better sign that our federal politics are becoming dominated by strong coherent parties than the unusual career of Republicans Scott Brown. He was elected senator in Massachusetts during a special election but lost in the next general. After looking around for other offices to run for in the state, he decided to [...]

New Poll Gives Republicans Eight Point Lead in Generic Ballot Due to Low Democratic Turnout

By: Wednesday October 22, 2014 9:58 am

The news for Democrats is not looking good. The latest AP-GfK poll found Republicans with an eight point lead in the generic ballot among likely voters. This is the largest lead for Republicans in any generic ballot poll this year. If the election was held today 32 percent of likely voters would back the Democratic [...]

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