In the all-important swing state of Ohio, President Obama continues to hold a small but real lead. A new SurveyUSA poll has Obama up by three points:

While President Obama’s lead in Ohio is not large, most polls show he is winning. The latest SurveyUSA poll finds Obama with a three point lead over Mitt Romney. Ohio SurveyUSA (10/12-15) Barack Obama 45% Mitt Romney 42% Other 3% Undecided 9% Beyond still holding a narrow lead, the reason the Obama campaign seems to [...]

Over the past few weeks Monsanto, DuPont and other large corporations have flooded California with millions of dollars in ads against Proposition 37, which would require the labeling of food containing genetically modified ingredients. Two new polls confirm the well-funded negative campaign has managed to significantly reduce support for the ballot measure. The California Business [...]

Before the debate Ohio appeared to be President Obama’s firewall, the must-win swing state for Romney where Obama held a big lead. Directly following the debate the polling has become very tight. The latest CNN poll has Obama up by four in Ohio while SurveyUSA gives Obama only a single point lead.

The SAFE California Campaign has managed to qualify for the November ballot an initiative that would abolish the death penalty and replace it with life without the possibility of parole. SAFE stands for Savings, Accountability, and Full Enforcement for California Act. From the campaign: Jeanne Woodford, former warden at San Quentin state prison and the [...]

Voting for the new health care law was extremely damaging to Democrats’ re-election prospects in 2010 according an analysis by Seth Masket and Steve Greene. From Enik Rising: For the paper, we look at the impact of four roll call votes: health reform, the stimulus, cap-and-trade, and the TARP bailout from 2008. We find that [...]

In January FDL hired SurveyUSA to test “swing” congressional districts and find out just how much damage Democrats’ incompetent handling of the health care debate was doing to them. The results from our four polls in OH-01, AR-02, IN-02, and NY-01 are almost identical to final results yesterday:

The number of contests close enough to watch continues to grow daily. As a result, I’m adding RI-01 because new polling shows the race effectively tied. RI-01: (Open, currently held by Democrats) (Update 10/29: The NBC 10-Quest Research poll has Democrat David Cicilline at 42 percent, Republican John Loughlin at 40 percent.) There are also [...]

For months now, the Washington Senate race between incumbent Democrat Patty Murray and Dino Rossi has remained incredibly tight. With less than a week until the election and most ballots already cast, there appears to be no late movement. The candidates are dead even in the latest SurveyUSA poll. SurveyUSA (10/24-27) Patty Murray (D) 47 [...]

There are several updates today thanks mainly to a new round of polling from The Hill newspaper. At the beginning of the week, I wrote of how remarkably competitive so many of these races remained so close to election day, and how many would break one way or another depending on the atmosphere this last week. With that in mind, the news is not good for Democrats.