Election 2010: FDL Community vs. the Professional Prognosticators

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 10:11 am

With all the entries in Firedoglake’s Election Projection Challenge now in, I decided to see if the aggregate projections of the FDL community can outperform the professional political prognosticators. With that in mind, here is the average of all entries in our contest: Democrats Hold 218 seats in the House Democrats Hold 52.6 seats in [...]

FDL Election Projection Challenge: Last Chance to Place Your Bets

By: Monday November 1, 2010 12:26 pm

So what’s going to  happen tomorrow?  Will Prop 19 win or lose, will the Democrats keep the Senate, and how many seats will switch parties in the House? Place your bets now in the FDL Election Projection challenge. Questions: How many House seats will Democrats hold in the 112th Congress? How many Senate seats will [...]

FDL’s Election Projection Challenge – Place Your Bets

By: Thursday October 28, 2010 1:07 pm

Make Your Predictions for FDL’s 2010 Election Challenge Use the form below to cast your predictions for the 2010 midterm elections & 112th Congress. There will be prizes for the winners! Email # of seats in House Democratic caucus Currently 255 # of seats in Senate Democratic caucus Currently 59 Will Prop 19 pass? Yes [...]

CA Marijuana Initiative Prop 19 Still Leading, 48-44

By: Wednesday October 20, 2010 11:00 am

Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize, regulate, and tax marijuana in California, is still holding on to a very narrow lead according to a new SurveyUSA poll. SurveyUSA (10/15-10/18) California voters may also vote on several propositions. On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and [...]

Marijuana Reform Initiatives Drive Turnout – It Did in OR, It Will in CA

By: Monday October 18, 2010 5:21 pm

With Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize and regulate marijuana, on the California ballot, the big political question is: can the initiative be a driver of voter turnout ? This is not only important for the success or failure of the ballot measure, but could potentially affect both the highly contested California governor and Senate [...]

Prop 19 and Beyond: From Pot to Taxes – The Most Important Ballot Initiatives of 2010

By: Tuesday October 12, 2010 3:07 pm

In addition to deciding the makeup of Congress, selecting several governors, and a weighing a host of local races, voters across the country will be voting on 159 statewide ballot measures, of which about 60 are more interesting than bland bond measures. Of these propositions, there are a handful that I believe could have a national or even international impact.

Prop 19 Gains Slightly in Latest Poll; Now Winning 48-41

By: Monday October 4, 2010 9:17 pm

The latest SurveyUSA poll of likely voters now has Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize and regulate marijuana in California, leading with 48 percent certain to vote yes and 41 percent certain to vote no. SurveyUSA (9/30-10/3) California voters may also vote on several propositions. On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize [...]

CA Prop 19: Evidence Mounts That Marijuana Initiative Will Drive Youth Turnout

By: Monday October 4, 2010 10:14 am

There is a growing body of evidence that California’s Proposition 19, which would legalize, regulate, and tax marijuana, will drive an increase in youth turnout this year. Marijuana legalization is very popular with young voters, and they are very tuned in to news about Prop 19. Both macro and micro indicators point to higher than [...]

California’s Prop 19 Gaining Steam – Now Up 52-41

By: Thursday September 30, 2010 7:42 pm

California’s ballot initiative to legalize, tax and regulate marijuana, Proposition 19, is now leading with 52 percent in support and only 41 percent opposed, according to the latest PPIC poll (PDF) of likely voters. This poll is especially good news for Prop 19. The 11-point lead is not only one of the largest ever for [...]

CA Poll: Boxer Strong, Governor Race Tied, Big Oil Prop 23 Struggling

By: Thursday September 30, 2010 4:22 pm

Public Policy Institute of California (PPIC) is out with its poll of all things California politics (pdf). Among the highlights is another confirmation that Barbara Boxer appears to be heading to re-election. The gubernatorial race is effectively tied, Big Oil’s anti-energy reform Proposition 23 is in bad shape and Proposition 19 continues to improve (now [...]

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