The Aggregating of Polling Aggregators

By: Wednesday September 17, 2014 1:21 pm

The news site Vox has taken the new polling-focused approach to political coverage to a very meta place. They don’t aggregate the polls –  instead they are now aggregating the other poll aggregators. From Vox: I’m strongly hopeful that other websites follow suit by start to create their own average of other sites’ polling averages, [...]

The Success of Polling and Nate Silver

By: Tuesday July 23, 2013 1:01 pm

Well done, public polling is incredibly accurate. This is why so many organizations engage in polling, this is why polls are often covered by the media, and this is why every serious campaign spends a significant amount of money on internal polling. It is important to understand that a quality poll will normally do a [...]

Enthusiasm for Obama Drops Significantly in Latest Washington Post Poll

By: Thursday August 11, 2011 11:45 am

President Obama’s overall job approval numbers, while not great, remain decent in the latest Washington Post poll. The poll found that 44 percent approve of his job performance while 46 percent disapprove. While the total level of support remains little changed, the intensity of that support has dropped significantly.

Congressional GOP’s Actions Do Serious Damage to Party’s Brand

By: Wednesday August 10, 2011 2:22 pm

The Congressional Republicans extreme negotiation tactics in service of forwarding an unpopular agenda, namely deficit reduction without tax increases for the rich, is taking a serious toll on their brand. According to a CNN poll a record 59 percent of Americans now hold an unfavorable view of the Republican Party. This number is even higher [...]

AK-Sen: The Scott McAdams Boomlet

By: Thursday October 14, 2010 5:01 pm

Despite the conservative electorate in Alaska, recent polls are showing a credible path to victory for Democrat Scott McAdams in the three-way race against Republican nominee Joe Miller and write-in incumbent Lisa Murkowski. While Murkowski and Miller are virtually tied, McAdams, thought to have no chance, is lurking just 5-7 points behind and gaining ground [...]

WI-Sen: Internal Poll Shows Tie Race, Momentum to Feingold

By: Tuesday October 12, 2010 12:46 pm

Internal polls always have a slight lean in the direction of whoever commissioned the poll. But considering the consistent disadvantage for Russ Feingold in public polling of his re-election campaign over the last month, this internal poll from FM3 has to provide at least a little comfort. The topline numbers: Feingold 48, Ron Johnson 48. [...]

Pollsters and Poll-Watchers Alike Ask: Who Is “Likely” to Vote?

By: Friday October 8, 2010 6:38 pm

Several pollsters, such as CNN/Time (PDF), Marist, and Gallup, have been releasing their poll results showing totals for both all registered voters and “likely voters.” The difference between how Democrats are performing this year with all registered voters and how they are doing with the group these pollsters believe is most likely to vote is [...]

DE-Sen: GOP Deserts Primary Victor O’Donnell as Coons Takes Big Lead

By: Wednesday September 15, 2010 10:55 am

The Tea Party triumph of Christine O’Donnell in a small pool of conservatives in Delaware over moderate Mike Castle has led the bulk of the Republican Party to run screaming in the other direction. The NRSC, the Republican campaign arm in the Senate, gave the most cursory congratulatory statement I’ve ever seen, and followed it [...]

Blumenthal’s Own Pollster Says Scandal-Touched Dem Still in Good Shape

By: Monday May 24, 2010 1:15 pm

Dem. Senate candidate Richard Blumenthal of Connecticut is weathering last week’s revelations that he fudged some accounts of his Vietnam-era military service, his campaign’s internal poll shows. One other poll finds a different result.

WA Sen: A Tale of Three Polls – Patty Murray in Good, Decent or Terrible Shape

By: Thursday May 6, 2010 2:57 pm

The polling in the Washington Senate race is all over the map, and, depending on the survey, incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray is either in good, decent or terrible shape. A new Elway poll (pdf), released Wednesday, favors Murray to win a fourth term. She leads one possible Republican candidate, former gubernatorial hopeful Dino Rossi, by [...]

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