Hating the Other Party Really Drives Turnout

By: Friday October 17, 2014 3:37 pm

Hate is a great motivator in American politics. The more regular voters dislike the opposing political party, the more likely they are to actually vote. According to Pew Research, 49 percent of Republicans or Republican leaning voters are likely to vote this year; but among those who hold a very unfavorable view of the Democratic party, [...]

Young and Hispanic Tend To Be Most Politically Disengaged

By: Monday July 7, 2014 12:11 pm

The bad news for Democrats heading into the midterm election is that some of the groups which tend to most strongly break in their favor are also the least politically engaged. Adults under the age of 30 are most likely to be classified as “political bystanders” by Pew Research, meaning they rarely vote or pay [...]

Obama’s Job Approval Rating Continues to Slip

By: Friday November 8, 2013 2:37 pm

Since winning his second term, President Obama’s job approval rating has slowly but steadily eroding. According to Pew, only 41 percent approve of how he is handling his job and 53 percent disapprove. From Pew: The drop in job approval is mostly coming from Independents and Democrats since Obama basically bottomed out with Republicans a [...]

Republican Base Wants Their Party to Become Even More Conservative

By: Wednesday July 31, 2013 2:21 pm

Anyone expecting or even hoping that the Republican Party starts to moderate in the near future doesn’t understand the dynamics driving the party. Because of natural sorting and gerrymandering, the vast majority of Congressional Republicans will never face a competitive general election. The number of “swing districts” has shrunk dramatically over the past few decades. [...]

Nationally Support for Abortion Rights Remains Stable but Regional Divide Grows

By: Monday July 29, 2013 2:43 pm

Nationally, support for abortion rights remains basically unchanged over the past decade. According to Pew Research, the percentage of Americans who believe abortion should be legal in most cases stands at 53 percent, while the number who believe it should be illegal in most cases is 40 percent. While support nationally remains constant, there is [...]

GOP Base Still Doesn’t Value Compromise

By: Thursday January 17, 2013 1:13 pm

Among the general public recently there has been an increasing desire to see politicians compromise instead of sticking to their positions, but the Republican base still considers compromise a low priority. From Pew: When Americans are asked whether they prefer elected officials who stick to their positions or those willing to compromise, the balance of opinion [...]

The Huge National/Swing State Divergence in Early Voting

By: Thursday November 1, 2012 11:25 am

While it may only appeal to an election nerd like myself, I think one of the most fascinating developments taking place this election is the early voting numbers. There is an incredible divergence between who is winning the early vote nationally and who is winning it in the swing states. According to both Gallup and [...]

Debate Expectations Are Low for Romney

By: Wednesday October 3, 2012 12:00 pm

Heading into tonight’s debate, most Americans expect Mitt Romney to perform worse on stage than President Obama. Multiple polls found that by nearly a two-to-one margin, Americans expect Obama to win the first debate this evening.

Pew: Obama Up by Eight and Holds the Advantage on Almost Every Issue

By: Wednesday September 19, 2012 2:37 pm

Things are looking very dark for Team Romney. Voters aren’t going to replace a president with a challenger they like less, they trust less and they think is less capable of addressing most of the important issues facing the country.

Romney Was Overshadowed by Clint Eastwood

By: Wednesday September 5, 2012 12:09 pm

A political convention to nominate candidate for the highest office in the land should be all about the candidate. He should be the focus of attention. He should be what everyone is talking about afterwards. No one, except perhaps his spouse or running mate should overshadow him, especially not an old man arguing with an [...]

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