KY Sen: New Poll Finds Conway Surging Ahead of Paul

By: Friday August 20, 2010 4:55 pm

There is some good news for Democrat Jack Conway. The latest Braun Research/CN2 poll (PDF) of likely voters in Kentucky has him roughly a half-point ahead of his Republican opponent Rand Paul, making the race effectively tied (rounding brings the margin up to a point). Braun Research (PDF) (8/16-18) Jack Conway 42 Rand Paul 41 [...]

What If People Actually Vote for Hard-Right, Tea Party Republicans?

By: Wednesday August 4, 2010 10:01 am

There has been much hope–or dread, depending on which party you support–that the embrace of arch-conservative and Tea Party-backed candidates in contest primaries could seriously cost the Republican Party several Senate seats this November. By my count, the GOP could lose at least five Senate race as a result of embracing a more conservative challenger [...]

KY Sen: To Know Him Is Not to Love Him: Paul Drops to Even with Conway

By: Tuesday July 6, 2010 3:42 pm

Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway are tied in their Kentucky Senate race, 43-43, according to a new PPP poll. Kentucky is currently held by retiring Republican Jim Bunning, making this Senate race, along with Missouri, New Hampshire and North Carolina, one of the Democrats’ best hopes for going on the offensive in 2010. [...]

KY Sen: After Week of High Exposure, Paul Still Leads, But Loses Ground to Conway

By: Thursday May 27, 2010 7:55 pm

The Senate matchup between Democrat Jack Conway and Republican Rand Paul is very close, with a slight advantage for Paul. A DailyKos/Research 2000 poll has Paul at 44 percent and Conway at 41 percent, with a four percent margin of error. Looking at the internals, it seems Paul has suffered from his statements criticizing the [...]

Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Arkansas, and Oregon Primary Thread – Part 1

By: Tuesday May 18, 2010 6:00 pm

Tonight is a primary night with elections in Kentucky, Pennsylvania, Arkansas and Oregon. Polls close at (all eastern times) Kentucky: 6 pm Pennsylvania: 8 pm Arkansas: 8:30 pm Oregon: 11 pm Election results for Kentucky can be found at AP or Politico. The big races are the contested Senate primaries in KY, PA and AR, [...]

KY Sen: Rand Paul Surges; Dead Heat Dems Trade Ethics Charges

By: Friday May 14, 2010 7:59 am

Rand Paul has surged from a long-shot insurgent candidate to dominate the polls just days before the May 18 primary. According to a SurveyUSA poll, Paul has a 16-point lead over Trey Grayson (Paul 49 – Grayson 33). Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is strongly backing Grayson, but being the party establishment’s favorite is not [...]

KY Sen: McConnell Endorses Grayson in Attempt to Swing GOP away from Rand Paul

By: Wednesday May 5, 2010 5:01 am

Kentucky Secretary of State Trey Grayson has long been viewed as the hand-picked favorite of Senate Minority Leader and senior Kentucky Senator Mitch McConnell. But now McConnell is officially jumping into the race by directly endorsing Grayson over insurgent candidate Rand Paul in a new statewide television ad. This is a big late-game move by [...]

KY Sen: Bunning’s Revenge

By: Thursday April 15, 2010 7:42 pm

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is the big man in Republican Kentucky politics. McConnell had decided early in this election cycle he did not want Jim Bunning (R-KY) to run for re-election, and so put strong pressure on Bunning to drop his re-election campaign. Eventually Bunning relented and McConnell thought he had cleared the way [...]

KY Sen: Rand Paul Maintains Strong Lead in GOP Primary, Conway Surges with Dems

By: Tuesday April 13, 2010 11:06 am

Rand Paul is in a dominate position in the Republican primary for the open Kentucky Senate seat (currently held by the retiring Jim Bunning) according to a new SurveyUSA poll. Paul leads his closest primary opponent, Secretary of State Trey Grayson, by 15 points. Paul has the support of 45% of likely Republican primary voters [...]

Senate Republicans May Benefit From Rash Of Their Own Retirements In Anti-Incumbent Year

By: Thursday April 8, 2010 1:03 pm

Normally, a Senate incumbent has a strong advantage going into an election–but this year is not normal year. 2010 is one of the strongest anti-incumbent years decades, and thanks to a series of timely retirements, Republicans effectively have almost no incumbent senators facing tough re-elections. In the states that were likely to be competitive anyway–New [...]

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