Iowa Senate Race Is a Dead Heat

By: Thursday August 28, 2014 2:44 pm

At this moment the most competitive Senate race in the country is in Iowa. The open senate seat created by the retirement of Tom Harkin (D) is a dead heat according to two new polls of the state. The Suffolk/USA Today poll found both Republican Joni Ernst and Democrat Bruce Braley with 40 percent support [...]

How Rubio’s Bad Polling Is Creating Problems for Immigration Reform

By: Monday July 22, 2013 10:19 am

The Republican base is not excited about comprehensive immigration reform but the important question is, is it considered a big enough issue to have any effect on a possible primary. Because of gerrymandering the vast majority of House Republicans’ only real electoral concern is a primary challenge. It is one thing to think a bill [...]

IA Sen: Steve King’s Path to the Senate Just Got a Lot Easier

By: Thursday February 28, 2013 2:06 pm

This has been a very good week for Rep. Steve King (R) who is currently seriously considering a run for the open Iowa senate seat next year. Yesterday, Rep. Tom Latham (R) decided that he would not run for the Senate. Latham was widely viewed as one of the Republican Party’s best hopes for winning [...]

Anti-Fracking Ad Run Against Gov. Cuomo in Iowa

By: Wednesday February 13, 2013 2:43 pm

While the horse race aspects of 2016 election Presidential election are mostly meaningless, the election is still important because it can impact the significant decisions powerful politicians are currently making. As long as a politician is seriously thinking about a run in 2016 it changes the leverage groups have over him/her. A perfect example is [...]

IA Sen: Steve King Is Early Favorite in GOP Primary

By: Tuesday February 5, 2013 12:57 pm

If Rep. Steve King enters the race for the open Iowa Senate seat he would start out as an early favorite in the Republican primary. A Wenzel Strategies poll found King would have a 15 point lead over Rep. Tom Latham in an eight-way contest. Similarly, Public Policy Polling found King with a large lead [...]

Harkin’s Retirement Creates Senate Opening for the GOP

By: Monday January 28, 2013 11:19 am

Over the weekend Tom Harkin surprised the political world by announcing he will not run again in 2014. He announced his retirement just days after the Senate Democrats failed to reform the filibuster, which has been a long term goal of Harkin’s. When Democrats chickened out Harkin said President Obama “might as well take a four-year vacation” because Senate Democrats effectively killed any chance of advancing his agenda.

Iowa Governor Delivers Big Blow to the Ames Straw Poll

By: Wednesday November 21, 2012 9:59 am

Having the governor of the state say the straw poll is no longer useful could give many potential candidates an excuse to skip the rather expensive event. Candidates who may not naturally appeal to the heavily evangelical make up of the event will probably be glad to have another good justification for not wasting money on it.

Marist: Obama Leads in IA, NH and WI

By: Thursday November 1, 2012 9:50 am

President Obama holds a small lead in Iowa, New Hampshire and Wisconsin according to the latest NBC/WSJ/Marist polls. If Obama wins Ohio, as most of the polling now indicates he will, he would need only one or two more swing states to get to 270. Iowa Marist (10/28-29) Barack Obama 50% Mitt Romney 44% Other [...]

Marist: Obama Still Leads in Iowa and Wisconsin

By: Friday October 19, 2012 10:18 am

If President Obama can hold on to Ohio, where he is currently favored to win, he only needs to capture one or two other swing states to get to 270 Electoral College votes. It appears one of the most likely combinations would be for Obama to win maybe Iowa and Wisconsin. A new set of [...]

Obama and Romney Effectively Tied in Colorado, Iowa and Nevada

By: Thursday May 31, 2012 10:13 am

The presidential election is effectively tied in the swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Nevada according to the latest Marist/NBC News polls. President Obama is technically up by two in Nevada and one in Colorado but those small leads are within the margin of error. Colorado Marist (5/22-24) Barack Obama 46% Mitt Romney 45% Other [...]

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