Iowa Governor Delivers Big Blow to the Ames Straw Poll

By: Wednesday November 21, 2012 9:59 am

Having the governor of the state say the straw poll is no longer useful could give many potential candidates an excuse to skip the rather expensive event. Candidates who may not naturally appeal to the heavily evangelical make up of the event will probably be glad to have another good justification for not wasting money on it.

Winner of the Iowa Caucus Will Never Be Known

By: Thursday January 19, 2012 3:02 pm

On the day of the Iowa Caucus Mitt Romney was declared the winner by a mere eight votes but recently certified results give Rick Santorum a 34 vote lead. From the Iowa GOP: 2012 Iowa Republican Caucus Certified vote totals (1766/1774 precincts certified) Rick Santorum             29,839 Mitt Romney               29,805 Ron Paul                      26,036 Newt Gingrich             16,163 [...]

Santorum Stalling Out in New Hampshire

By: Monday January 9, 2012 10:32 am

Directly after his surprisingly strong showing in the Iowa caucus Rick Santorum experienced a significant and immediate bump in support in New Hampshire.  However, it now appears that was just a one time jump in support for Santorum instead of part of a growing trend. Before the Iowa caucus Santorum’s support was only in the [...]

Michele Bachmann Gives Up

By: Wednesday January 4, 2012 1:53 pm

After a rather disastrous 6th place finish in Iowa, Michele Bachmann today decided to suspend her campaign for the Republican party’s presidential nomination. While Bachmann didn’t endorse anyone today, her dropping out of the race will likely be mildly good news for Rick Santorum. According to the entrance polling in Iowa, Bachmann did best with [...]

Eight Votes Matter

By: Wednesday January 4, 2012 10:34 am

While a lot of stories from last night explain Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum effectively tied in the Iowa caucus, the reality is there wasn’t a tie. Romney officially won by getting eight more votes than his nearest rival: Mitt Romney 30,015 to Rick Santorum 30,007. Winning by an almost insignificant 0.006% of the vote [...]

Good Night for Santorum and Great Night for Romney

By: Wednesday January 4, 2012 8:33 am

The Iowa caucus was very good news for Rick Santorum. He effectively tied Mitt Romney for first place, losing to Romney by a margin of only eight votes. Santorum’s finish also greatly exceeded expectations. Mitt Romney – 24.6% Rick Santorum – 24.5% Ron Paul – 21.4% Newt Gingrich – 13.3% Rick Perry – 10.3% Michele [...]

Iowa Caucus Tonight: Predictions and Wild Card Factors

By: Tuesday January 3, 2012 12:13 pm

Finally, after a very long campaign defined by too many debates, an endless parade of short lived surges to first place and frankly some incredible silliness combined with SuperPAC negative ads, people will actually start voting in Iowa on who will become the Republican party’s presidential nominee. The Iowa caucus will start at 7 pm [...]

It is Still Romney and Paul in Iowa

By: Monday January 2, 2012 9:41 am

Despite the media talking up Rick Santorum’s rising numbers in Iowa over the past few days, all the public polling still has Mitt Romney and Ron Paul in the top two spots, with only one day until the Iowa Caucus. The Des Moines Register poll found: Mitt Romney…….. 24 Ron Paul…………. 22 Rick Santorum….. 15 [...]

Romney Has Little to Fear from Santorum

By: Friday December 30, 2011 1:59 pm

Rick Santorum has managed to gain some traction in Iowa and move up to barely third place. While it is theoretically possible Santorum’s late advance might allow him to beat expectations in the Iowa caucuses, from a long term perspective Mitt Romney has little to fear even in the unlikely event of a big Santorum [...]

Romney and Paul Continue to Lead in Iowa

By: Friday December 30, 2011 10:33 am

Another day means another new poll of the Iowa caucuses and it is more good news for Mitt Romney. According to the Marist/NBC poll Mitt Romney leads in the state followed by Ron Paul in a close second. From Marist: Here is how the contest stands among likely Republican caucus-goers including those who are undecided [...]

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