Shutdowns Are Different From Almost Everything Else in Politics

By: Thursday October 17, 2013 12:47 pm

There are some who argue the government shutdown will not have much of a political impact a year from now because it will be mostly forgotten. An example of this opinion from Nate Silver: 1. The media is probably overstating the magnitude of the shutdown’s political impact. Remember Syria? The fiscal cliff? Benghazi? The IRS scandal? [...]

Rubio Drops Significantly in New Hampshire During Immigration Push

By: Thursday August 8, 2013 2:56 pm

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) has seen a huge drop in support among New Hampshire Republicans since last April, according to a newly released WMUR Granite State poll. Back in April Rubio was tied for first place with Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) with 15 percent each. Now Rubio stands in fifth place with just 6 percent. [...]

More Bad Polling for Rubio and What It Could Mean for Immigration Reform

By: Thursday July 25, 2013 12:40 pm

Recent polling has all been bad news for Marco Rubio (R-FL). A new PPP poll found Rubio has drop substantially in their national Republican primary poll. He went from first place to sixth over the past several months. From PPP: PPP’s newest look at the Republican field for 2016 finds some big changes from our [...]

First Time in Over a Year Democrats and Republicans Are Tied in the Generic Ballot

By: Wednesday July 24, 2013 11:16 am

The latest NBC/WSJ poll has some good news for Republicans. They are tied with Democrats in the Congressional generic ballot with each party currently at 44 percent. An equal number of Americans want the next election to result in a Republican controlled Congress as want it to result in a Democrat controlled one. This is [...]

How Rubio’s Bad Polling Is Creating Problems for Immigration Reform

By: Monday July 22, 2013 10:19 am

The Republican base is not excited about comprehensive immigration reform but the important question is, is it considered a big enough issue to have any effect on a possible primary. Because of gerrymandering the vast majority of House Republicans’ only real electoral concern is a primary challenge. It is one thing to think a bill [...]

Why Ignoring the Demographic Time Bomb Would Be Easy for House Republicans

By: Friday June 28, 2013 2:15 pm

Now that the Senate has finally passed comprehensive immigration reform the Republican Party has been put at a crossroads. The Republican-controlled House can either pass some version of the law as the first step in a long process of repairing relationships with the fastest growing minority group in the country, or they can stick with [...]

Will the GOP Be Controlled by the Future or Its Base?

By: Wednesday April 3, 2013 1:12 pm

The single most important question about a possible immigration reform bill is whether or not Congressional Republicans are really prepared to defy their base for the political good of the party. The prospects of anything happening hinge entirely on this one question. The American people want a pathway to citizenship for immigrants living in the [...]

Marriage, Marijuana, Immigration, and Climate: How Millennials Will Remake American Politics

By: Friday March 29, 2013 1:54 pm

To fully understand how dramatically politicians in this country will move in the coming decade you need to look at the unique political positions of Millennials. On a range of top issues this generation is decidedly more progressive than the rest of the country. Even more important, as this generation gets older it is not [...]

Why Rand Paul’s Endorsement of Pathway to Citizenship Is So Important

By: Tuesday March 19, 2013 12:11 pm

A possible immigration reform measure got a very important boost this morning when Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) endorsed the idea of a pathway to citizenship. To begin with, Paul is a senator and every senator who supports the idea gets the chamber one vote closer to passing a bill. More importantly, this endorsement by Paul [...]

Jeb Bush’s Rapid Flip-Flop on Pathway to Citizenship

By: Tuesday March 5, 2013 11:57 am

In what is probably one of the fastest flip-flops in political history, former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) now says he is actually open to creating a pathway to citizenship as part of comprehensive immigration reform, even though he literally just published a book that called only for creating a pathway to legal residency. From [...]

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