We have the first indications that the Obama Administration scandals are helping Republicans. According to a new Quinnipiac poll Democrats have lost the advantage they once had in the generic congressional ballot. Two months ago Democrats had an eight point advantage and early this month Quinnipiac still found the Democratic Party had a four point [...]

The good news for Democrats is they hold a modest lead in the latest generic ballot polling. According to Quinnipiac, if the election were held today 41 percent would vote for a Democratic candidate for Congress and only 37 percent would for a Republican candidate. The poll also found that Americans have grown tired of [...]

The American people’s perception about the current job market has recently hit its lowest level in a decade according to Gallup. Only 8 percent think this is a good time to find a quality job, while an incredible 90 percent think it is a bad time to find a job. For an incumbent president these [...]

Since the 2010 Republican wave election, voters have started turning against the Congressional Republicans and are now more inclined to vote for Democratic candidates for Congress. According to the latest poll from Gallup, among registered voters Democrats now lead the generic Congressional ballot. From Gallup: The seven-percentage-point edge for Democratic congressional candidates, nationally, contrasts with [...]

The Congressional Republicans extreme negotiation tactics in service of forwarding an unpopular agenda, namely deficit reduction without tax increases for the rich, is taking a serious toll on their brand. According to a CNN poll a record 59 percent of Americans now hold an unfavorable view of the Republican Party. This number is even higher [...]

I have two theories as to why we might be seeing this divergence. The first is that the economy has struggled for so long and Washington appears so dysfunctional, that a substantial share of the electorate has taken a “throw whoever is currently in power out” stance. This translates into wanting both President Obama and Speaker John Boehner to lose their jobs.

The Democratic polling firm Democracy Corps is out with a new comprehensive polling report looking at the state of the economy and impact on politics. The good news for Democrats is that the poll found Republicans have squandered most of the advantage they had in 2010. Since January the percentage of Americans who disapprove of [...]

Politico is out with its latest Washington battleground poll, and it found a strong trend of support moving back toward Democrats after their big losses in the 2010 election. From the Democratic analysis by Celinda Lake, Daniel Gotoff, and Matt Price: The Democrats lead in the generic Congressional ballot by a single point, 42% to [...]

A new poll of 50 battleground Congressional districts, conducted by Democracy Corps, finds Democrats likely to make solid gains in the 2012 election cycle: This leads to a congressional race that is dead-even in the battleground.  After winning these seats by a collective 14 points in 2010, these Republicans now lead generic Democratic challengers by [...]

President Obama is currently tied with a generic Republican for his 2012 re-election bid. When Gallup asked registered voters if they would vote for Obama or the Republican Party’s candidate, the public was split evenly, with 45 percent for each. Overall, the same demographic voting patterns we saw in 2008 have remained unchanged. Women and [...]