The Huge National/Swing State Divergence in Early Voting

By: Thursday November 1, 2012 11:25 am

While it may only appeal to an election nerd like myself, I think one of the most fascinating developments taking place this election is the early voting numbers. There is an incredible divergence between who is winning the early vote nationally and who is winning it in the swing states. According to both Gallup and [...]

Romney Leads With Early Voters Nationally, but Not in Swing States, Validating Obama Camp’s GOTV Efforts

By: Tuesday October 30, 2012 12:04 pm

Given that Romney leads nationally with early voters, one can assume that there is nothing about the demographic make up of Democrats that makes them more likely to vote early than Republicans. So the fact that Obama holds a huge lead among early voters only in the swing states strongly indicates his campaign has a vastly superior ground game.

Obama Ground Game is Successfully Getting the Vote in Early

By: Tuesday October 23, 2012 1:37 pm

President Obama appears to hold a significant edge in early voting In basically every important swing state, which should given him a built-in advantage heading into November 6th. The Obama campaign ground game has been very successful at convincing Democrats and Obama supporters to cast their ballots well ahead of election day.

Supreme Court Will Not Stop Early Voting in Ohio

By: Tuesday October 16, 2012 2:22 pm

The Supreme Court won’t stop early voting in the final days before the election in Ohio. From The Hill: In a one-sentence order with no explanation, the court rejected Ohio Republicans’ efforts to block early voting three days before Election Day. The court left in place a lower court’s ruling that said early voting had [...]

Early Voting Starts in Ohio

By: Tuesday October 2, 2012 11:34 am

Early voting officially began today in Ohio, the second largest swing state and one of the most highly contested. From the Columbus Dispatch: After months of nonstop campaigning and TV commercials, the election of 2012 started to count at the ballot box today. Early in-person voting started in each of Ohio’s 88 counties at 8 [...]

Time is Running Out For Romney

By: Tuesday September 25, 2012 11:00 am

Mitt Romney is currently trailing in the polls with only 42 days until the election. That “42 days” number, however, overstates the time he really has left to change the dynamics of the race. Thanks to early voting rules, the actual amount of time he has is significantly less. Most of the important swing states [...]

PA Sen: Sestak Surges into a Tie

By: Tuesday October 19, 2010 2:43 pm

A bit of surprisingly good news for Democrats in what has otherwise been a very bad few weeks: PPP now finds the Pennsylvania Senate race effectively tied. Democrat Joe Sestak leads Republican Pat Toomey by a single point. PPP (PDF) (10/17-18) Joe Sestak (D) 46 Pat Toomey (R) 45 Undecided 9 What is helping Sestak [...]

NC Early Voting: Dems Outnumber GOP, but Gap Significantly Smaller than in 2008

By: Monday October 18, 2010 8:45 pm

One-stop early voting has been underway for several days in North Carolina. Democracy North Carolina is out with a new analysis of turnout in the first three days of early voting. Not surprisingly, as we are seeing everywhere, there is an increase in the number of people who are choosing to vote early or vote [...]

Election Day Today! (Sort Of)

By: Tuesday September 28, 2010 1:00 pm

Technically, today is sort of election day in Ohio, Vermont, Georgia, South Dakota, and Iowa, given that voters can start voting in person for the midterm elections. Vote by mail ballots are being mailed out today in Ohio, and this is the first day individuals can vote early in person. There is also one week [...]

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