Holding on to the Senate Is Looking More Possible for Democrats

By: Wednesday February 15, 2012 3:01 pm

The Senate map for 2012 is just inherently awful for Democrats. They have to defend incumbents in 23 states, while the Republicans only need to defend 10. Even if there is a relatively strong national Democratic turnout in 2012, the party will likely still have a net loss of Senate seats. With that factored in, [...]

It’s the Economy, Stupid Democrats

By: Monday July 12, 2010 12:55 pm

Growth in real disposable income leading up to an election is a near-perfect predictor of how the incumbent party will do, says Ezra Klein in a perceptive article. This close correlation should not be surprising. People judge the majority party based on how much their personal economic standing has improved or deteriorated, as well as [...]

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