Immigration Reform’s Big Obstacle: The Important Senate Races Are Very White

By: Monday April 14, 2014 11:13 am

Democrats winning back the House is extremely unlikely since the GOP has huge structural advantage there, so the big fight will be over the Senate. There Republicans have a chance of picking up enough seats to win the chamber — and almost all of the most competitive races are in overwhelmingly white states.

Incumbent GOP Senators Have Little to Fear in General Election

By: Friday April 20, 2012 2:22 pm

As a result of which year Senate seats are up and several retirements, extremely few sitting Republican senators have anything to fear this November. There are only 10 Republican-held seats up this year; and because of retirement, only 7 incumbent Republicans are running in those seats. Of those seven incumbents, only two are considered to [...]

Election 2010: FDL Community vs. the Professional Prognosticators

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 10:11 am

With all the entries in Firedoglake’s Election Projection Challenge now in, I decided to see if the aggregate projections of the FDL community can outperform the professional political prognosticators. With that in mind, here is the average of all entries in our contest: Democrats Hold 218 seats in the House Democrats Hold 52.6 seats in [...]

Conservative American Action Forum Polls Show GOP Leading in Several Western Swing Districts

By: Thursday September 2, 2010 2:19 pm

The American Action Forum was create by several prominent Republicans to be the conservative answer to Center for American Progress. They are out with ten new polls of Western swing districts taken by Ayres, McHenry & Associates. In most these swing districts they found the Republican candidates to be in the lead or striking distance [...]

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