Late Election Updates: Bennet Wins CO Sen, Murray Up in WA; Hanabusa Gives Dems Rare House Win

By: Wednesday November 3, 2010 11:16 am

The Denver Post has called the Colorado Senate race for incumbent Democrat Michael Bennet. Bennet narrowly beat Republican Ken Buck, ensuring that Democrats keep at least 52 seats in the Senate. The Washington State senate race between incumbent Democrat Patty Murray and Republican Dino Rossi still remains too close to call. With 65 percent of [...]

FDL’s Hot House: (10/29 Update) 105 Congressional Races to Watch

By: Friday October 29, 2010 5:24 pm

The number of contests close enough to watch continues to grow daily. As a result, I’m adding RI-01 because new polling shows the race effectively tied. RI-01: (Open, currently held by Democrats) (Update 10/29: The NBC 10-Quest Research poll has Democrat David Cicilline at 42 percent, Republican John Loughlin at 40 percent.) There are also [...]

FDL’s Hot House: (10/28 Update) 104 Congressional Races to Watch

By: Thursday October 28, 2010 7:19 pm

The number of contests up in the air continues to grow: As a result of new polling, I’m adding two close races to the list, FL-25 and KY-03. FL-25: (Open, currently held by GOP) (Update 10/28: A new Sunshine State News poll shows this race dead even. David Rivera (R) 44 – Joe Garcia (D) [...]

FDL’s Hot House 100: (10/25 Update) Now Two More Congressional Races to Watch

By: Monday October 25, 2010 3:45 pm

I’m adding two seats, KY-06 and NE-01, to the FDL Election Hot House list (making it the Hot House 100!) because recent public polling has shown both races within five points. KY-06: Incumbent Dem Ben Chandler has only a four-point lead over GOP challenger Andy Barr according to a new Mason-Dixon poll. Chandler 48 – [...]

How Stupid Election Law Design Gave Republicans HI-01

By: Sunday May 23, 2010 2:04 pm

Republican candidate Charles Djou won the HI-01 special election with 39.5% of the vote because two Democrats, Colleen Hanabusa with 30.8% and Ed Case with 27.6%, split the Democratic vote almost down the middle. This is a great example of how the design of our election laws can greatly affect our government; a poorly-designed electoral system [...]

HI-01: Hey Politico, Make Up Your Mind On Inouye’s Effectiveness

By: Thursday May 13, 2010 5:24 pm

Politico blames Daniel Inuoye today for “blowing a seat” in the Hawaii special election by refusing to lay down for someone who lied to his face: Inouye’s outspoken and unflinching support of (Colleen) Hanabusa, even as Washington wanted to throw its weight behind the better-known (Ed) Case in an effort to concentrate the Democratic vote [...]

HI-1: Republican Charles Djou Set to Win Special Election over Split Democratic Majority

By: Tuesday May 11, 2010 5:07 pm

The latest poll from Merriman River has Republican Charles Djou set to win the special election May 22 for Hawaii’s First Congressional District due to a split among Democratic voters between two candidates. From Civil Beat: Djou leads with 39.5 percent of the vote, followed by former Congressman Ed Case and Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, [...]

Republican Djou Has Plurality Lead in Hawaii Special Election, and in Our System, Plurality Is Enough

By: Monday May 3, 2010 9:17 pm

When Democrat Neil Abercrombie resigned his House seat to run for Governor of Hawaii, he set off a no primary, winner-take-all, special election to replace him. Despite the district being very Democratic-leaning, the Republican Charles Djou could win with a relatively small plurality of the vote because two other candidates are splitting the Democratic vote. [...]

Horse Race Follies, Monday May 3 2010

By: Monday May 3, 2010 10:49 am

. James Traficant says he will file later today to run as an independent against either Tim Ryan (D, OH-17) or Charlie Wilson (D, OH-06). Ryan’s district has a PVI of D+12 while Wilson’s is R+2. I guess everyone needs a hobby. . Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio plans to announce on Monday if he’ll [...]

DCCC Pushes DC Insiders In Upcoming Special Elections

By: Tuesday April 6, 2010 11:07 am

The official position of the DCCC is supposed to be neutral in primary races, but they generally feel free to ignore that. And right now they are. They’re intervening in the two upcoming special elections for the vacated House seats of Neil Abercrombie and John Murtha.  They’ve been working hard to push out candidates who [...]

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