FDL’s Hot House: (10/29 Update) 105 Congressional Races to Watch

By: Friday October 29, 2010 5:24 pm

The number of contests close enough to watch continues to grow daily. As a result, I’m adding RI-01 because new polling shows the race effectively tied. RI-01: (Open, currently held by Democrats) (Update 10/29: The NBC 10-Quest Research poll has Democrat David Cicilline at 42 percent, Republican John Loughlin at 40 percent.) There are also [...]

FDL’s Hot House: (10/28 Update) 104 Congressional Races to Watch

By: Thursday October 28, 2010 7:19 pm

The number of contests up in the air continues to grow: As a result of new polling, I’m adding two close races to the list, FL-25 and KY-03. FL-25: (Open, currently held by GOP) (Update 10/28: A new Sunshine State News poll shows this race dead even. David Rivera (R) 44 – Joe Garcia (D) [...]

FDL’s Hot House 100: (10/25 Update) Now Two More Congressional Races to Watch

By: Monday October 25, 2010 3:45 pm

I’m adding two seats, KY-06 and NE-01, to the FDL Election Hot House list (making it the Hot House 100!) because recent public polling has shown both races within five points. KY-06: Incumbent Dem Ben Chandler has only a four-point lead over GOP challenger Andy Barr according to a new Mason-Dixon poll. Chandler 48 – [...]

Another Week, Another Weak Set of Polls for House Democrats

By: Wednesday October 13, 2010 7:13 pm

The Hill is out with another set of House polls of likely voters from Penn Schoen Berland. This time, it is a poll of open seats, and, again, it is generally very bad news for Democrats. The Hill Penn Schoen Berland (10/2-7) Tennessee 8 D: Roy Herron, 37% R: Stephen Fincher, 47% Washington 3 D: [...]

How Stupid Election Law Design Gave Republicans HI-01

By: Sunday May 23, 2010 2:04 pm

Republican candidate Charles Djou won the HI-01 special election with 39.5% of the vote because two Democrats, Colleen Hanabusa with 30.8% and Ed Case with 27.6%, split the Democratic vote almost down the middle. This is a great example of how the design of our election laws can greatly affect our government; a poorly-designed electoral system [...]

HI-01: Hey Politico, Make Up Your Mind On Inouye’s Effectiveness

By: Thursday May 13, 2010 5:24 pm

Politico blames Daniel Inuoye today for “blowing a seat” in the Hawaii special election by refusing to lay down for someone who lied to his face: Inouye’s outspoken and unflinching support of (Colleen) Hanabusa, even as Washington wanted to throw its weight behind the better-known (Ed) Case in an effort to concentrate the Democratic vote [...]

HI-1: Republican Charles Djou Set to Win Special Election over Split Democratic Majority

By: Tuesday May 11, 2010 5:07 pm

The latest poll from Merriman River has Republican Charles Djou set to win the special election May 22 for Hawaii’s First Congressional District due to a split among Democratic voters between two candidates. From Civil Beat: Djou leads with 39.5 percent of the vote, followed by former Congressman Ed Case and Senate President Colleen Hanabusa, [...]

Republican Djou Has Plurality Lead in Hawaii Special Election, and in Our System, Plurality Is Enough

By: Monday May 3, 2010 9:17 pm

When Democrat Neil Abercrombie resigned his House seat to run for Governor of Hawaii, he set off a no primary, winner-take-all, special election to replace him. Despite the district being very Democratic-leaning, the Republican Charles Djou could win with a relatively small plurality of the vote because two other candidates are splitting the Democratic vote. [...]

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