CA-36: Bowen Leads Hahn in Race to Replace Harman

By: Tuesday February 22, 2011 1:10 pm

The early retirement of Rep. Jane Harman this year will set off a special election in California’s 36th district. The latest poll of the race has California Secretary of State Debra Bowen with a small lead over Los Angeles City Councilwoman Janice Hahn. From Roll Call: The poll was conducted by the Democratic-leaning Public Policy [...]

California Supreme Court Upholds “Top Two” Primary

By: Thursday December 16, 2010 12:04 pm

Today, the California Supreme Court rejected the first attempt to stop the state from adopting a top-two primary system next year. From the San Francisco Chronicle: The state Supreme Court allowed California on Wednesday to go ahead with a voter-approved overhaul of primary elections, putting all candidates on the same ballot in the first round [...]

CA-11, CA-20: McNerney, Costa Declare Victory; Golden State Dems Dodge Wave

By: Thursday November 11, 2010 10:42 am

It turns out California turnout may have served as a serious firewall for Democrats this year. In the extremely close House races in CA-11 and CA-20, it appears the incumbent Democrats will hold on to their seats. While the AP hasn’t officially called either race, both campaigns think their leads large enough to declare victory. [...]

Redistricting Reform: Last Night’s Other Big Winner

By: Wednesday November 3, 2010 12:18 pm

While obviously the big winner last night was House Republicans, another big winner was supporters of redistricting reform. In California and Florida, anti-gerrymandering ballot measures won by large margins. In Florida, Amendments 5 and 6, which mandate perimeters intended to prevent gerrymandering in the state legislature and congressional redistricting, both secured over 62 percent of [...]

CA Gov, Sen: Democrats Brown, Boxer Hold Strong

By: Friday October 29, 2010 11:00 am

Across the country, many Democrats are struggling. But this year in California, things seem to be going well for the Democrats at the top of the ticket. The California-based Field poll, one of the most accurate horserace pollsters, is out with their latest numbers showing Democratic gubernatorial candidate Jerry Brown and incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara [...]

CA Sen: All Recent Polls Show Boxer with Lead

By: Wednesday October 27, 2010 11:25 am

Some good news for Democrats this cycle comes from California, where all the recent polling has shown incumbent Democratic Senator Barbara Boxer with a solid lead over Republican Carly Fiorina. SurveyUSA (10/21-25) Barbara Boxer (D) 45 Carly Fiorina (R) 40 Other 7 Undecided 8 Suffolk (10/21-24) Barbara Boxer (D) 52 Carly Fiorina (R) 43 Other [...]

Propositions, Measures, and Ballot Initiatives Hard to Poll Accurately

By: Tuesday October 26, 2010 10:02 am

Ballot measures tend to be much harder to accurately poll than partisan elections. Each initiative is a unique question with its own quirky set of parameters regarding which demographics and psychographics are most likely to support or oppose it. In comparison, all partisan elections between a Democrat and Republican are, at a core level, fairly [...]

CA Initiatives: Prop 19 Now Trailing, Anti-Climate Reform Prop 23 Down Big, Majority Rule Prop 25 Leading

By: Thursday October 21, 2010 11:16 am

In addition to highly contested gubernatorial and senate contests, the voters of California will be deciding several of the most important ballot initiatives in the country. From PPIC (PDF): Proposition 19 16. Proposition 19 is called the “Legalizes Marijuana Under California but Not Federal Law. Permits Local Governments to Regulate and Tax Commercial Production, Distribution, [...]

WA, CA Sen: As Seen Across America, Races Continue to Tighten

By: Wednesday October 20, 2010 12:40 pm

As election day fast approaches, almost every contested Senate race seems to be tightening.  There are now currently nine Senate race where at least one public poll has found the race within the margin of error. The trend continues with new polls out of the Washington and California. Washington State McClatchy-Marist (PDF) (10/14-17) Patty Murray [...]

CA Marijuana Initiative Prop 19 Still Leading, 48-44

By: Wednesday October 20, 2010 11:00 am

Proposition 19, the initiative to legalize, regulate, and tax marijuana in California, is still holding on to a very narrow lead according to a new SurveyUSA poll. SurveyUSA (10/15-10/18) California voters may also vote on several propositions. On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and [...]

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