FDL’s Big Midterm Election Liveblog (Part Two)

By: Tuesday November 2, 2010 7:59 pm

Welcome to part two of FDL  midterm election night liveblog (link to part one). For the most recent list of FDL top 108 House races to watch tonight go here You can also find my list of the twelve House races in early closing states that should give you a sense of how the night [...]

FDL’s Election Hot House: 98 Congressional Races Worth Watching

By: Friday October 22, 2010 2:52 pm

Having reviewed the entirety of races for the House of Representatives in what is supposed to be a GOP “wave” election, I find that as of now, this wave is a mile wide, but barely an inch deep. Going district by district, you could make the case that Republicans on a good night could net [...]

Can Bulging War Chests Save Endangered Democrats in 2010?

By: Tuesday October 19, 2010 6:08 pm

Traditionally, a large fundraising advantage was a strong indicator that an incumbent was safe. Being able to outspend your opponent on campaign ads and staff is clearly a big advantage. Strong fundraising is also a decent, all be it imperfect, indicator of a candidate’s (and the opponent’s) level of commitment to the campaign. An analysis [...]

Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, Vermont Primary Results – Liveblog

By: Tuesday August 24, 2010 7:03 pm

Today features primary elections in Alaska, Arizona, Florida and Vermont, along with a primary runoff in Oklahoma. I will be live blogging all of the results except for the very late closing Alaska. You can find a preview of what to watch for tonight here. You can find live updated results at Politico, Florida Division [...]

Alaska, Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, and Vermont Primary Primer

By: Tuesday August 24, 2010 1:12 pm

Primaries take place today in Alaska, Arizona, Florida, and Vermont along with a primary runoff in Oklahoma. The biggest races of the evening are both in Florida — the Democratic primary for Senate and the Republican primary for Governor.

Will Fundraising Be the Best Indicator of Which Incumbents Are in Real Trouble?

By: Thursday August 5, 2010 12:42 pm

I highly recommend this recent post by Paul Blumenthal at the Sunlight Foundation. Instead of looking at which incumbents are most in trouble based on polling, PVI, past elections or demographic data, he points to the remarkably high level of correlation between fundraising and the likelihood of being re-elected: In 1994, of those in the [...]

Prop. 15: Will California Vote to Curb the Political Power of Corporations?

By: Tuesday June 8, 2010 10:56 am

Today is Election Day in 11 states–don’t forget to vote! In California, voters can take a small step toward public financing of elections by supporting Prop 15.

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