Incumbency Isn’t Worth What It Used to Be

By: Tuesday January 4, 2011 4:02 pm

According to an analysis by Stephan Ansolabehere the inherent built-in political advantage for Congressional incumbents in 2010 was its lowest in decades. If this is part of a new trend in American politics that is more focused on party over individual candidates, this should be good news for Democrats in 2012.

Top 10 Reasons the Democrats Might Do Better In 2010 Than You Think

By: Thursday October 7, 2010 12:13 pm

I’ve been meaning to write this post for a while, but with all of the “professional left” nonsense being tossed around by Democratic elites, it’s been hard to get to. However, I actually think there is reason to believe the Democrats may do better in the November elections than many believe.  Not great, but better [...]

AK Sen: Murkowski Expected to Run Write-In Campaign

By: Friday September 17, 2010 4:03 pm

It sounds like Lisa Murkowski will do every thing she can to remain in the Senate. According to the Anchorage Daily News, indications are that she is prepared to launch a write-in campaign this evening (announcement will be around 9 pm Eastern): Lisa Murkowski supporters are urging people to come out tonight for what’s being [...]

FL Gov: Bill McCollum Surges Ahead of Rick Scott

By: Thursday August 12, 2010 7:39 pm

In a rather surprising and quick reversal of fortunes, Attorney General Bill McCollum has taken the lead in the Republican primary for governor in Florida over billionaire political novice rival Rick Scott, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll. Mason-Dixon (8/9-11) Bill McCollum 34 Rick Scott 30 This is an extremely impressive surge for McCollum. Just [...]

NV Gov: Silver State Senator’s Son’s Double-Digit Deficit Dooming Down-Ticket Dems?

By: Monday July 19, 2010 5:25 pm

In the race to be the next governor of Nevada, Republican Brian Sandoval continues to maintain a solid double-digit lead over his Democratic opponent, Rory Reid, son of Democratic Senate leader Harry, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll for “Las Vegas Review-Journal.” Mason-Dixon 7/12-14 Brian Sandoval 47 Rory Reid 36 Other 3 None of these [...]

NC Sen: Dem Marshall Real Threat to GOP Incumbent Burr

By: Thursday June 24, 2010 4:37 pm

I have long said that Richard Burr (R-NC) is the most, and probably only, endangered incumbent Republican Senator this election cycle. His approval numbers have been poor for a while. With voters taking a general “throw the bums out” attitude, his seat would be one of the Democrats’ best pick- up opportunities. Fresh off her [...]

Tactical Voting: A Problem in the UK and the US

By: Wednesday May 5, 2010 2:12 pm

In the United Kingdom general election May 6, “tactical voting” has become a serious issue as prominent members of the Labour Party push for it as a way to “keep out the Tories.” It’s an issue in upcoming US elections, as well. Tactical voting is voting for someone besides the candidate you would most want [...]

Indiana, Ohio, North Carolina Primaries Thread #2

By: Tuesday May 4, 2010 8:31 pm

So here’s the update: Indiana: 50% of the vote in statewide, and Dan Coats has a “solid” 40%, with Marlin Stutzman at 31% and John Hostettler at 20%. Stutzman would need to pick up a ton of votes to catch Coats. Still, not exactly an inspiring performance by him. If he wins, he’ll face Brad [...]

Just as Rahm Promised: 2010 Shaping up to Be 1994 Redux

By: Wednesday March 31, 2010 11:25 am

Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg predicts that if the 2010 election were held today, it would be bad enough for Democrats to be 1994 all over again. Don’t act surprised. Rahm promised us this would happen:

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