Could the Washington State Primary Predict Election Results Nationally?

By: Tuesday August 14, 2012 1:03 pm

The lack of any big high profile elections in the Washington State primary last week meant it was mostly ignored by the media, but it could prove to be incredibly interesting as a predictor for the general election. If past trends hold, it would indicate that down ballot Democratic prospects in the upcoming election have [...]

Democrats Suffering from Large Enthusiasm Gap

By: Thursday September 29, 2011 12:20 pm

Democrats and Democratic leaning independents are not enthusiastic about voting in the upcoming Presidential election according to Gallup polling. There is some very bad news for President Obama and the rest of the Democratic Party when it comes to the issue of base engagement in the upcoming election. On the other hand the Republicans remain [...]

Voting for Health Care Reform Was Very Bad for Democrats’ Electoral Health

By: Monday April 4, 2011 6:54 pm

Voting for the new health care law was extremely damaging to Democrats’ re-election prospects in 2010 according an analysis by Seth Masket and Steve Greene. From Enik Rising: For the paper, we look at the impact of four roll call votes: health reform, the stimulus, cap-and-trade, and the TARP bailout from 2008. We find that [...]

Can GOP Keep Voters Upset About Health Care Law Voters Already Think Has Been Repealed?

By: Thursday February 24, 2011 11:45 am

Roughly a quarter of Americans actually think the new health care law has already been repealed, according to the latest poll from the Kaiser Family Foundation: In the wake of the health reform repeal vote in the U.S. House and the ongoing legal challenges over the individual mandate, nearly half the country either believes that [...]

In Failing to Push for a Larger House, Is GOP Missing a Big Opportunity?

By: Monday January 24, 2011 7:26 pm

Today in the New York Times, Dalton Conley and Jacqueline Stevens make a compelling case for why we should increase the size of the House of Representatives with the newest census to create a more accountable and fairer government. The only real hurdle is that it could require the individual current members of the House [...]

Swings in Youth Turnout Could Lead to Swings in Control of Congress

By: Wednesday January 12, 2011 6:41 pm

Republicans did very well in the 2010 election, mainly because, across the country, the public turned against the Democratic party. What added to the level of victory, though, was the tendency of young, Democratic-leaning voters to vote in lower numbers in midterm elections. This age gap, and its potential to affect elections, has grown significantly [...]

Number Who Identify as Democrats Down Big in 2010

By: Friday January 7, 2011 6:21 pm

While the Obama administration is thinking about ways to win over independents in anticipation of the 2012 election, they actually should be worried that a large segment of former Democrats are no longer choosing to identify themselves with the party. From Gallup: In 2010, 31% of Americans identified as Democrats, down five percentage points from [...]

Americans Blame Wall Street Bankers, Obama Picks Banker as Top Advisor

By: Thursday January 6, 2011 4:00 pm

From a purely political perspective the optics of this choose are just terrible.

And yet the truth is that Obama has made a Wall Street banker his top adviser even though a plurality of voters blame their current economic hardship on Wall Street bankers.

Dear Congress, Almost No One Knows or Cares About Your Kabuki

By: Thursday December 23, 2010 6:48 pm

It’s Christmas time, and I’m surrounded by family. Like with almost any large family gathering, the conversation eventually turns to polite questions about work. The family knows I write about politics, so, over the course of several days, I tend to have a brief conversation about Congress and politics with each member of the family. [...]

Tim Bishop Wins NY-01: Last House Seat Decided

By: Wednesday December 8, 2010 10:31 am

A little over a month after the midterm election, the final undecided House race if finally over. In New York’s 1st district, Republican challenger Randy Altschuler finally conceded to incumbent Democrat Tim Bishop.  From Suffolk Times: Republican challenger Randy Altschuler conceded Wednesday morning in his bid to unseat Congressman Tim Bishop. The announcement comes with [...]

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