South Dakota Senate Scramble: Independent Larry Pressler Gaining on Republican Mike Round

By: Wednesday October 8, 2014 10:47 am

The the three way South Dakota Senate race might be very competitive according to a new Survey USA on behalf of the American News, KSFY TV of Sioux Falls and KOTA TV of Rapid City. It found Republican Mike Round leading with just 35 percent of the vote but Independent Larry Pressler right behind him with [...]

Very Few People Paying Close Attention to the Midterm Elections

By: Tuesday October 7, 2014 12:23 pm

A month out from the election and still only a small sliver of the population is paying close attention to it. According to Pew research, last week only 15 percent of Americans said they were following the midterm elections very closely. That makes it only the fourth most followed news story behind Ebola, Syria, and [...]

Polling Shows Why Senate Will Become Even More Gridlocked

By: Monday October 6, 2014 10:35 am

What is remarkable about the latest New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll of every single Senate race is how predictable the results would be even to someone who paid no attention to the 2014 election and knew only the most basic information about American politics. At the moment the results almost perfectly align with the 2008 [...]

Obama’s Midterm Drag This Year Similar to 2010 and Bush’s in 2006

By: Friday October 3, 2014 2:28 pm

Significantly more voters plan to use their congressional vote to send a message of opposition to President Obama than as a sign of support for him. From Gallup: The margin by which people are sending a message of opposition to the President compared to support is remarkably similar to the 2010 and 2006 midterm elections. [...]

Control of Senate Might Not Be Determined for Months

By: Friday October 3, 2014 12:04 pm

This election control of the United States Senate hangs in the balance, but there is a good chance we won’t know which party ends up in control until possibly next year. At this point the polling indicates whichever party eventually wins control in the Senate will do so by only the slimmest of margins, so [...]

Predictably, Obama’s Immigration Delay Backfires

By: Thursday October 2, 2014 3:00 pm

Apparently, first directly lying to a major constituency and then telling them they will be be thrown under the bus for crass political reasons is a bad strategy. From the Washington Post: Less than a month after President Obama announced he would delay using his executive authority to reform immigration laws, there is evidence that [...]

The Tea Party is to Republicans what the GOP is to Rest of the Country

By: Thursday October 2, 2014 11:39 am

There may have been a brief time in the beginning when the so-called Tea Party movement was something that didn’t fall neatly along the basic partisan spectrum, driven by broad anger at Washington. But since that time it has effectively morphed into a synonym for conservative Republicanism. Gallup found eight in ten Tea Party supporters [...]

A Very Bad Day for Sen. Pat Roberts

By: Wednesday October 1, 2014 3:45 pm

Things are not going well for incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts today. Efforts to force the Democratic party to put a candidate on the Senate ballot have failed. The Shawnee County District Court ruled that Democrats don’t need to replace Chad Taylor, who withdraw his candidacy earlier. Republicans wanted a Democratic name on the ballot [...]

No One Knows What the Big Political Issue Will Be Come 2016

By: Tuesday September 30, 2014 4:09 pm

I find articles like this from the Washington Post, “Why it might be time to sell that Rand Paul stock” rather silly because no one has any idea what will be the big issue over a year from now. Sen. Rand Paul’s best window for winning the 2016 Republican presidential nomination increasingly looks like it has [...]

A Year of Negative Ratings for Obama

By: Thursday September 25, 2014 10:38 am

Today makes a rather problematic anniversary for President Obama. It was one year ago today that Gallup conducted their last tracking poll which actually found Obama with a positive job approval rating. Last September Obama briefly saw his approval ratings go positive, with 47 percent approve to 46 percent approve. Since then Obama’s approval rating [...]

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