Republicans Have Edge on Most Big Issues

By: Monday October 13, 2014 9:52 am

The bad news for Democrats keeps coming. New data from Gallup shows the Republican party has the advantage among the issues voters care most about this year.

How You Know Your Political Brand Has Problems

By: Friday October 10, 2014 11:23 am

A sure sign your political brand has real problems is when your plan for victory heavily relies on candidates who are actively choosing not to associate with you, and benefit because of that decision. That is the case with the Democratic party this year in their attempt to hold on to the Senate. Their hope [...]

Polling Improves for Sen. Pat Roberts

By: Thursday October 9, 2014 10:29 am

Kansas seems to be returning to its red roots. For a while it looked like Incumbent Kansas Senator Pat Roberts was going to lose to Independent Greg Orman, but as we get closer to the election Roberts has seen his polling start to turn around. Two new polls both find Roberts with a small lead. [...]

Democratic Base Is Not At All Enthusiastic About This Election

By: Thursday October 9, 2014 10:08 am

The Democratic base is significantly less engaged and motivated to vote this year compared with the Republican base. Across several indicators of voter involvement Republicans have a double digit edge while Democratic engagement is remarkably low. From Gallup: The only small upside for Democrats is that the enthusiasm gap isn’t quite as bad as 2010, [...]

South Dakota Senate Scramble: Independent Larry Pressler Gaining on Republican Mike Round

By: Wednesday October 8, 2014 10:47 am

The the three way South Dakota Senate race might be very competitive according to a new Survey USA on behalf of the American News, KSFY TV of Sioux Falls and KOTA TV of Rapid City. It found Republican Mike Round leading with just 35 percent of the vote but Independent Larry Pressler right behind him with [...]

Very Few People Paying Close Attention to the Midterm Elections

By: Tuesday October 7, 2014 12:23 pm

A month out from the election and still only a small sliver of the population is paying close attention to it. According to Pew research, last week only 15 percent of Americans said they were following the midterm elections very closely. That makes it only the fourth most followed news story behind Ebola, Syria, and [...]

Polling Shows Why Senate Will Become Even More Gridlocked

By: Monday October 6, 2014 10:35 am

What is remarkable about the latest New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll of every single Senate race is how predictable the results would be even to someone who paid no attention to the 2014 election and knew only the most basic information about American politics. At the moment the results almost perfectly align with the 2008 [...]

Obama’s Midterm Drag This Year Similar to 2010 and Bush’s in 2006

By: Friday October 3, 2014 2:28 pm

Significantly more voters plan to use their congressional vote to send a message of opposition to President Obama than as a sign of support for him. From Gallup: The margin by which people are sending a message of opposition to the President compared to support is remarkably similar to the 2010 and 2006 midterm elections. [...]

Control of Senate Might Not Be Determined for Months

By: Friday October 3, 2014 12:04 pm

This election control of the United States Senate hangs in the balance, but there is a good chance we won’t know which party ends up in control until possibly next year. At this point the polling indicates whichever party eventually wins control in the Senate will do so by only the slimmest of margins, so [...]

Predictably, Obama’s Immigration Delay Backfires

By: Thursday October 2, 2014 3:00 pm

Apparently, first directly lying to a major constituency and then telling them they will be be thrown under the bus for crass political reasons is a bad strategy. From the Washington Post: Less than a month after President Obama announced he would delay using his executive authority to reform immigration laws, there is evidence that [...]

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