Rand Paul’s Secret Weapon: Hillary Clinton

By: Wednesday March 19, 2014 11:37 am

One of the big advantages Rand Paul has in the Republicans primary could be Hillary Clinton. Paul isn’t an across-the-board dogmatic Republican. There are at least a few issues like government spying, drug policy reform, military action where Paul clearly stands apart from the rest of the potential 2016 Republican field. From a liberal perspective [...]

Scott Brown Moves Towards Senate Run in New Hampshire

By: Friday March 14, 2014 10:18 am

After losing re-election in his own state former Massachusetts Senator Scott Brown has relocated to New Hampshire and is moving towards a Senate run there. Multiple news organizations, including Politico, ABC News, and CBS News, have confirmed that Brown is going to set up a Senate exploratory committee in the very near future. He would [...]

What We Actually Learned from the Florida Special Election

By: Wednesday March 12, 2014 11:27 am

On Tuesday Republican David Jolly won the special election for Florida’s 13th district. He beat Democrat Alex Sink 48.5 percent to 46.6 percent. While basically all political sites try to draw big conclusions from this one race since there is little else for them to talk about in March, it is a bad idea because special elections are poor predictors and we are dealing with a sample size of one.

How the Filibuster Might Cost Democrats the Senate

By: Monday March 10, 2014 12:01 pm

There is poetic justice to the fact that some of the Senators who selfishly defend the filibuster to increase their influence over the Senate may end up losing it all as a result. The problem is several senate Democrats are running for re-election in states that lean Republican and they are on record as voting [...]

Mark Warner Looking Very Safe in Virginia

By: Wednesday March 5, 2014 12:03 pm

The Republican party actually managed to score a top-tier recruit for the Virginia Senate race with Ed Gillespie, but it looks like it won’t do the party any good. Polling shows Sen. Mark Warner (D) is practically unbeatable. Warner has a very impressive 59 percent to 23 percent favorability rating in Virginia, according to a [...]

Democrats With One Point Advantage in Generic Ballot

By: Tuesday March 4, 2014 10:55 am

Democrats hold a single point lead in the generic ballot according to the latest Washington Post-ABC News poll. The poll found if the election was held today 46 percent of voters would back the Democratic candidate while 45 percent would support the Republican in their district. Voters were fairly evenly split on which party would [...]

Large Batch of Clinton Presidential Documents Released

By: Friday February 28, 2014 1:48 pm

Today the Clinton Presidential Center is releasing thousands of pages of new documents from the former administration on their website. The Presidential Records Act allows certain documents to be withheld for 12 years after the end of the Presidency. Normally the release of documents from a presidential archive would not bring much attention outside academic circles, [...]

What is the Case for Biden over Clinton?

By: Thursday February 27, 2014 2:55 pm

As a recent Politico feature makes clear Vice President Joe Biden is still seriously thinking about running for President in 2016. While I’m a strong supporter of primaries because I believe they give the party an chance to debate what they stand for, I fail to see what is either the policy or political case [...]

Republicans Lead in the Generic Ballot

By: Thursday February 27, 2014 11:07 am

With the campaign season just beginning a new CBS News/New York Time poll shows Republicans with a modest lead in the generic ballot. If the election were held today 42 percent would vote for the Republican in their district while only 39 percent would vote for the Democrat. With Democrats having a much worse Senate [...]

NRCC Attacks Democrat Over Social Security Cuts

By: Tuesday February 25, 2014 1:31 pm

To really understand how completely President Obama threw Democrats under the bus by putting chained-CPI in his budget last year, look no further than Florida. There the NRCC is attacking Alex Sink (D) in the special congressional election for saying positive things about Obama’s past grand bargain efforts. From the Sunshine State News: On Thursday, [...]