The Aggregating of Polling Aggregators

By: Wednesday September 17, 2014 1:21 pm

The news site Vox has taken the new polling-focused approach to political coverage to a very meta place. They don’t aggregate the polls –  instead they are now aggregating the other poll aggregators. From Vox: I’m strongly hopeful that other websites follow suit by start to create their own average of other sites’ polling averages, [...]

No One Should Get Basic Rights Until Dana Milbank Is Allowed to Break Traffic Laws

By: Tuesday September 16, 2014 3:21 pm

One of the greatest disgraces in this country is that the over 600,000 people living in Washington D.C. are denied enfranchisement. They can’t vote for Congress or set their own laws without Congressional approval. Yet apparently Dana Milbank’s thinks denying over a half million people this basic human right is okay, because they won’t let [...]

Kansas Senate: Incumbent Republican Pat Roberts Might Actually Lose

By: Tuesday September 16, 2014 11:40 am

It appears the decision by Democrat Chad Taylor to drop out of the Kansas Senate racecould cost incumbent Republicans Senator Pat Roberts his job. The first two polls conducted after the announcement had Independent Greg Orman in the lead. A poll last week by SurveyUSA for KSN found Orman with 37 percent of likely voters, [...]

GOP Leads in Three New Generic Ballot Polls

By: Friday September 12, 2014 1:08 pm

Things are starting to look bad for Democrats. Three new polls all show Republicans winning the generic ballot among likely voters, a clear uptick from past trends. If the election was held today according to the ABC/Washington Post poll 47 percent of likely voters would back a Republican and only 44 percent would vote for [...]

Alaskans Turn Against Both Parties as Local Democrats Embrace an Independent Candidate

By: Friday September 12, 2014 11:35 am

The number of Alaskans who identify with either major party has reached a new low. From Gallup: This is particularly interesting in light of the fact that recently Democrats in the state abandoned their own bid for governor to instead back an independent Bill Walker. That move turned what should of been a easy victory [...]

A Surprisingly Weak Primary Victory for Andrew Cuomo

By: Wednesday September 10, 2014 10:36 am

New York Governor Andrew Cuomo (D) won his primary and will very likely go on to win re-election as governor, but it was an ugly victory. With 98.3 percent of precincts reporting Cuomo took 62.1 percent of the primary vote compared to 34.2 percent for his main opponent Zephyr Teachout, who ran to his left. [...]

Our Unrepresentative House Is a Problem Easily Solved

By: Monday September 8, 2014 3:18 pm

A new round of blog debates about whether Democrats’ biggest problem in the House has been Republican gerrymandering or the fact that Democratic voters tend to be concentrated in urban areas was started by Nate Cohn writing Why Democrats Can’t Win the House. He puts most of the blame on urban concentration. Writers like David [...]

All Federal Politics Is National

By: Monday September 8, 2014 11:46 am

Over the weekend there were a slew of new polls from NBC/Marist and CBS News/New York Time/YouGov covering every single senate race and they almost all fit a clear and simple pattern. In states that traditionally go Republican in Presidential elections the Republican Senate candidates hold the lead, while Democrats are ahead in the states [...]

An Ebb Election, Not a Wave Election

By: Friday September 5, 2014 12:26 pm

This year’s shaping up to be a very good year for Senate Republicans as they expect to win several seats, but that is not the same as a wave election. There are basically two ways for a political party to win a large number of seats. They can dramatically outperform historic norms and win races [...]

KY Sen: Obama Is a Big Burden for Alison Lundergan Grimes

By: Thursday September 4, 2014 11:48 am

The latest Kentucky poll from CNN/ORC found Sen. Mitch McConnell (R) with a modest four-point lead over his Democratic opponent Alison Lundergan Grimes. If the election were held today McConnell would get 50 percent of likely voters and Grimes would come in at 46 percent. One of Grimes’ biggest problems remains how deeply unpopular the [...]

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