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GA Sen: Democrat Michelle Nunn Has Narrow Lead

By: Friday October 24, 2014 10:06 am

If there is one bright spot for Senate Democrats this year it is Georgia. Every poll in the last week has found Michelle Nunn with a small lead over Republican David Perdue. Nunn is performing much better than you would expect a Democrat to in a state won by Mitt Romney in 2012 when the [...]

Voters Like Democrats But Think They Are Incompetent

By: Thursday October 23, 2014 2:44 pm

On a personal level the American people just seem to like the Democratic party better than the Republican party. Not only does the Democratic party have better favorable numbers than the Republican party; but according to Pew Research register voters also see Democrats as the more ethical party, the party more willing to work across [...]

Scott Brown Is Proof All Politics Is Now National

By: Thursday October 23, 2014 11:21 am

There is no better sign that our federal politics are becoming dominated by strong coherent parties than the unusual career of Republicans Scott Brown. He was elected senator in Massachusetts during a special election but lost in the next general. After looking around for other offices to run for in the state, he decided to [...]

New Poll Gives Republicans Eight Point Lead in Generic Ballot Due to Low Democratic Turnout

By: Wednesday October 22, 2014 9:58 am

The news for Democrats is not looking good. The latest AP-GfK poll found Republicans with an eight point lead in the generic ballot among likely voters. This is the largest lead for Republicans in any generic ballot poll this year. If the election was held today 32 percent of likely voters would back the Democratic [...]

For Conservatives It Is all About Fox News

By: Tuesday October 21, 2014 10:18 am

The number of places conservatives in this country get their news is remarkably narrow and consists mainly of Fox News, and to a small degree talk radio. From Pew: In addition, while Liberals and Mixed tend to trust all the other major news networks (CNN, ABC News, NBC News and CBS News) except Fox News, [...]

Hating the Other Party Really Drives Turnout

By: Friday October 17, 2014 3:37 pm

Hate is a great motivator in American politics. The more regular voters dislike the opposing political party, the more likely they are to actually vote. According to Pew Research, 49 percent of Republicans or Republican-leaning voters are likely to vote this year; but among those who hold a very unfavorable view of the Democratic party, 65 [...]

People of Kentucky Apparently Just Realized They’ve Been Voting Republican for Decades

By: Friday October 17, 2014 9:44 am

This chart shows why the DSCC’s decision to pull out of the Kentucky Senate race was inevitable for months. From Gallup: Remarkably, until just last year a plurality of people in Kentucky considered themselves leaning-Democrat even though they have not supported a Democrat for President or Senate in roughly two decades and the state has [...]

Many Americans Are Weirdly Indifferent About How the Federal Government Is Controlled

By: Thursday October 16, 2014 10:45 am

This is a poll answer that has always confused me. Apparently a plurality of Americans, 37 percent, still thinks it makes no difference if the federal government is controlled by one party or is divided. From Gallup: I find this so perplexing because I don’t know how you could have watched the past six years [...]

Democrats’ Engagement Problem

By: Wednesday October 15, 2014 2:39 pm

Polling shows Democrats lead Republicans for control of Congress with registered voters but not with likely voters.

Georgia Poll is one Bright Spot in a Day of Bad News for Democrats

By: Wednesday October 15, 2014 10:33 am

The good news today for democrats is that Michelle Nunn has taken a lead in the latest SurveyUSA poll of the Georgia Senate race. Among likely voters she is getting 48 percent, Republican David Perdue is at 45 percent, and Libertarian Amanda Swafford stands at three percent. This is a four point improvement for Nunn [...]

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