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March 02, 2012

Rick Santorum Holds Narrow Lead in Ohio

Posted in: Ohio

Rick Santorum’s lead over Mitt Romney in Ohio has shrunk to just four points according to a new Quinnipiac poll.

The Republican presidential face-off in Ohio is too close to call as former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum has 35 percent of likely Republican primary voters to former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney’s 31 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

This compares to a 36 – 29 percent Santorum lead in a February 27 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll, the day before the hotly-contested Michigan primary.

In today’s survey, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has 17 percent, with 12 percent for Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul. Among voters who name a candidate, 34 percent say they still might change their mind by Tuesday.

Next week on Super Tuesday, Ohio is likely to be the big prize and generates the most media attention. It has the second most delegates up for grabs behind Georgia, but unlike Georgia, it doesn’t have a home state politician (Gingrich) in the race.

Already Ohio has been flooded with over six million dollars in campaign ad spending as a result of both Romney and Santorum seeing it as winnable.

For Santorum Ohio is pretty much a must win if he wants a real shot at the nomination. Since Romney is currently the front runner and will likely have a decent Super Tuesday anyway because of some of his big built in advantages elsewhere, winning Ohio is less critical for Romney to secure the nomination. Of course a win in Ohio would help prevent this primary race, that has been very damaging to Romney’s image, from dragging on all the way to the convention.

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