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June 15, 2011

Obama’s Osama Bump is Over

Posted in: 2012 election

President Obama’s┬ámodest increase in support after the killing of Osama Bin Laden is now gone. This is according to the latest polling from Gallup which confirms the pattern we have seen with other pollsters. From Gallup:

Late April-Mid-June Trend: President Obama's Weekly Job Approval Averages

Despite the loss of the Osama bump, which everyone knew was going to be temporary anyway, the positive news for the Obama campaign is that his approval numbers are still decent. They are not great, but are high enough to win re-election.

The thing that should frighten the Obama camp, though, is that the killing of Osama only got Obama a five point bump for a few weeks. I think this shows just how exclusively focused on the issue of jobs and the economy the American people are.

If killing Osama can only produce a small short term increase in approval, it is hard to imagine any other non-economy related good news could serious move Obama’s numbers as long as unemployment is around 9 percent.

It is another sign Obama’s re-election will hinge almost exclusively on the economy.


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