Midterm elections with their older turnout tend to favor Republicans.

With polls showing Republicans currently hold a small lead in the generic ballot some top Democrats have started focusing on just keeping the Senate instead of taking back the House as well. From Politico:

With Democrats’ grasp on the Senate increasingly tenuous — and the House all but beyond reach — some top party donors and strategists are moving to do something in the midterm election as painful as it is coldblooded: Admit the House can’t be won and go all in to save the Senate.

Their calculation is uncomplicated. With only so much money to go around in an election year that is tilting the GOP’s way, Democrats need to concentrate resources on preserving the chamber they have now. Losing the Senate, they know, could doom whatever hopes Barack Obama has of salvaging the final years of his presidency.

This strategy is not unexpected. Flipping the House is rare and would require a big Democratic-wave election given the party’s large built in disadvantage after the last redistricting.

The President is unpopular and midterm elections with their older turnout tend to favor Republicans. It is still possible things could change dramatically in the next few months but it looks like Republicans have collectively decided to stop shooting themselves in the foot. This year in Congress is shaping up to be quiet and uneventful.

Image by Froma Harrop, t r u t h o u t, used under Creative Commons license