The early results are in and it is clear this government shutdown fight is doing significant damage to the Republican Party. According to a new Quinnipiac poll, Democrats now have taken a massive nine point lead in the generic ballot.

If the election were held today 43 percent would vote for the Democrat in their district and only 34 percent would vote for the Republican. This is by far the biggest lead for the Democrats this year.

The problem for the Republican brand is that their current strategy is deeply unpopular. Only 22 percent support shutting down the government to try to stop the new health care law, while 72 percent oppose it.

The problem for country, though, is that because of gerrymandering most Congressional Republicans are only worried about a primary and this strategy still has significant support among their base. The poll found 49 percent of Republicans support this shutdown strategy while only 44 percent oppose. The base is radically to the right of the rest of the county.

Republicans leaders allowed their based to be convince that this idea could actually work and now no one wants to break the bad news.

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