Tweet
Obama Barn painting in Ottawa County Ohio
In the three critical swing states of Ohio, Florida and Virginia President Obama holds a small lead. According to the latest CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac poll, Obama has a very small advantage in Virginia and Florida but in Ohio he leads by five. From Quinnipiac:
- FLORIDA: Obama 48 – Romney 47, compared to Obama 53 – Romney 44 Sept. 26
- OHIO: Obama 50 – Romney 45, unchanged from Oct. 22
- VIRGINIA: Obama 49 – Romney 47, compared to Obama 51 – Romney 46 Oct. 11
Increased support from women likely voters helps Gov. Mitt Romney narrow the gap with President Barack Obama in Florida and Virginia, leaving these key swing states too close to call, while the president holds a 5-point lead in Ohio, according to a Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News Swing State poll released today.
By wide margins, voters in each state say President Obama cares about their needs and problems more than Gov. Romney, but the Republican is seen as a leader by more voters.
The good news for Romney is that he has made gains in Virginia and Florida, but with less than a week until the election he has very little time to close the remaining gap.
The big problem for Romney continues to be Ohio. Romney will have an extremely tough time getting to 270 without Ohio, yet the state remains stubbornly in Obama’s column. Seven of the past eight public polls of the state have found Obama with the lead. What makes Romney’s efforts to turn around Ohio even more daunting is that the Obama campaign has managed to rack up an incredible 60 percent to 34 percent lead in the early vote. Romney would need a huge late swing in his direction from the remaining vote to win.
Ohio continues to look like Obama’s firewall.
16 Comments
I’m not sure Obama deserves a second term, but a Romney presidency would be a disaster.
Meanwhile, until Progressives get to work on filling House seats with non-DINOs and other Rahm bff’s, I’m not sure how it matters.
Obama will lose in the election. He has no margin that cannot be erased by a Republican owned voting machines.
The machine’s software appears designed to produce a 10% swing in the vote to Republicans.
I think lies are just as effective and the Romney lie machine is just gearing up.
Your linky doesn’t work for me.
But I would question 10%. That number is simply too high to avoid detection IMO. I’m not sure even 5% would be below the detection threshold, especially given the attention both campaigns are paying to Ohio.
Rmoney is blanketing the state with mailers, and so are his superpacs. Also robocalls, but since I don’t accept blocked numbers I’m only really getting the legit calls. I suspect the superpacs are also robocalling, but hiding the source phone numbers.
Obama’s signs in my area are getting vandalized with black X’s.
Some Rmoney supporters are putting signs in the yards of empty houses. I assume they have the permission from the foreclosing bank(s)*snark*.
We also have a school levy and a mental health levy on the ballot. I have not seen a sign of support for either of those in any yard with an Rmoney sign. I wonder if those signs come as part of a set, because every yard with a Strickland or Obama sign has those two.
Boxturtle (Still no walkers at my house. Muddy Husky Welcome rulez!)
Heh. He’s getting burned BADLY about his jeeps to China. He’s pissed off Chrysler, Fiat, UAW, and IUE and their phone lines starting lighting up a soon as that commercial ran. Not everybody in Ohio is an autoworker, but almost everyone knows someone who is. And they’re spreading the word.
Boxturtle (the Land of the Crazy Winds also doesn’t like talk of killing FEMA)
Link didn’t work for me, either.
And yet he does seem to have created a bit of fear and confusion among Ohio voters a week before the election.
Humbug. The Wall Street PTB like Obama just fine, and most voters just don’t like Romney. Besides, if the Republicans steal the election in Ohio with rigged voting machines, do you really think Obama would go quietly into the night like John Kerry did?
I don’t think so. Besides, if your questionable premise was correct, McCain would have won in 2008.
But then the corporations wouldn’t have gotten their gifts and giveaways in Obamacare.
Yeah. It took about 24 hours for the confusion to be corrected. UAW member calls his shop steward. Shop Steward calls local president. Local president calls contact at Chrysler. Repeat a few hundred times. Chrysler calls local TV and Radio. UAW calls local TV and radio.
Boxturtle (Even the local FOX station issued prompt stories)
Mitt is very much like Rick Perry. “Open mouth and insert foot”. He’s Joe Biden with lots more money.
The PTB wanted Romney to run against Obama because they KNEW he couldn’t win. They LIKE Obama, really like him. Several of my coleagues have been saying that for a year and disputed the point. Not any more. Obama will will with 295+ electoral votes.
There were reports of workers calling managers asking if they still had jobs. I wouldn’t underestimate the visceral power of fear, which tends to remain in the mind.
I dont know about Obama but I live in Maryland, near DC, and we get alot of VA ads. Tim Kaine is getting hammered everyday! I dont even see any pro- tim kaine adds. This is not good for Kaine or Obama. The Dems need to fight a little harder in VA.
Add to wikipedia a new verb:
‘to Mitt’ – to lie/ to demonstate a lack of integrity/character.
I’m seeing very few Romney or Obama signs. However, I am seeing many Gary Johnson signs, usually along with Mandel signs. I think those people just don’t want to say out loud that they’re voting for Rmoney.
Bill Clinton is coming to Chillicothe, Akron and Toledo today.
http://www.chillicothegazette.com/article/20121031/NEWS03/310310020/Bill-Clinton-visit-Chillicothe-Thursday?odyssey=mod|breaking|text|Frontpage&nclick_check=1&sf6930824=1
I’ve learned a lot about polling recently, and I hate to say it, but these are the facts.
Every poll has about the same raw results, the difference is in the model they use to determine the make up of the electorate in each State.
All the polls that show President Obama with a lead in these battleground States assumes an electorate similar to the one we had in 2008.
I just can’t see that happening this time. President Obama hasn’t given the independent voters anything to vote for, just don’t vote for Romney, he’s a very rich and very bad man. That’s not working!
All the raw data shows that the independents are swinging toward Romney.
What we have nationally is basically:
Romney winning
92% of republicans
63% of independents
10% of Democrats
President Obama winning:
90% of Democrats
37% of independents
8% of republicans
This is a losing formula except for in heavily Democratic States, and the truth is I’m concerned that the President is not going to win this election, and it might actually be a huge landslide for Romney if the electorate turns out to be even somewhat close to what we saw in the midterm 2010 election. If that’s the case Romney will win Ohio, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Iowa, and maybe even Oregon.