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The presidential race continues to tighten at a national level. The latest NBC/WSJ poll of likely voters shows the race completely tied at 47 percent to 47 percent. This is the first time ever that their poll hasn’t found President Obama in the lead. A month ago the same poll found Obama up by three.
At least part of the reason Mitt Romney has seen his overall standing improve is that more voters now think he is the best choice for handling the economy and jobs. When it comes to who would best handle the economy Romney leads 46 percent to Obama 40 percent. Romney also has a near identical advantage on the issue of jobs. Obama still holds a big lead when it comes to several social issues, but the economy is overwhelmingly the top concern for voters.
The good news for the Obama campaign is that America doesn’t use a national popular vote to determine the winner. Instead we use an incredibly idiotic electoral college system to select our president, and a new Quinnipiac poll shows that Obama still holds a respectable lead in the critical swing state of Ohio.
According to the poll, Obama leads with 50 percent to Romney at 45 percent. This is a big drop from Obama’s 10 point lead last month but it is still a significant advantage. Among Ohioans that have already cast their vote Obama leads 54-39 percent. The Obama campaign having already banked a large share of the vote will make it that much harder for Romney to close the gap in the next two weeks.
While it is mathematically possible for Romney to win without Ohio it would be very difficult. Ohio remains Obama firewall even as nationally his lead slips.
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Were I Obama, I would not take anything for granted in Ohio. His support is very soft and it wouldn’t take anything at all to move enough of the soft support to Rmoney. Heck, look at what that first debate did and almost nobody takes those seriously.
But it works both ways. Rmoney still looks really soft, too.
Rmoney’s superpacs are really getting vicious, voting for Obama will endanger your soul and result in the entire country becoming Godless socialists. And Obama will take your guns AND your money so you can’t buy more.
Boxturtle (And make your children socialize with whatever you have an unreasoning fear of)
Why do pollsters even bother reporting on the popular vote? The electoral vote is all that matters in a Presidential election. Hence, a statement that Obama and Romney seemed tied at 47% each tells me absolutely nothing about who is likeliest to get the most electoral votes.
As I understand it, Obama still leads in the electoral vote forecasts. Pundits have begun to speak of a tied electoral vote scenario, though. Whether it is a real possibility or they are just trying to keep our interest, I cannot tell.
Remember we have privatized voting in many states. Diebold, etc. The votes cannot be validated due to copyright software “issues”. And Bain owns part of Hart Intercivic, a voting machine company. These particular machines will be used in Ohio, Texas, Oklahoma, Washington and Colorado.
We need to return to paper ballots.
What method will Willard use to cheat in this debate?
Willard brought crib notes against the rules in the first debate.
Willard kept directly asking O questions against the rules in the 2nd debate.
Tonight’s debate has a 75 year old moderator. Will Willard just be his normal rude self and intimidate the moderator as he did in previous debates?
What will Willard use this time to demonstrate his true characterless and unprincipled self?
Two things to help steal the vote – most/all the big news groups are NOT doing exit polling this time due to “costs” (best way to tell if an election is being stolen IMO) AND doesn’t Romney’s son run/partially own the company counting votes in Ohio?
Ohio in Obama’s column would make it very, very difficult for Romney to win the election, but by winning the popular vote, he might pull out a surprise in another State and win the election that way.
The electoral vote could end in a tie 269 to 269, there are a few somewhat likely scenarios were that could happen, and if it does, the election gets thrown to the house of representatives.
This doesn’t mean that the GOP would win that vote, because it’s the newly elected House that votes, and even then just because a party has the most representatives doesn’t mean they will win, because it’s not a straight majority vote. The way it works is that each State delegation votes separately and whoever gets the most votes wins that State, you have to win 26 States to win the Presidency, if the delegation of a State is tied, (say like 4 to 4) that State doesn’t count, and if nobody gets 26 States the current President wins the election for another term.
http://answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=20121021183437AA9prX2
When I googled it, it appears Tagg is part owner of the voting machines….
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2012/10/04/networks-ap-cancel-exit-polls-in-19-states/
link re: exit polling
Will Mitt Romney, Who Actually Owns the Black Box Voting Machines, Try to Steal the US presidential election?
Despite the thunderous silence of the media, all signs are pointing towards another neocon-Republican election theft attempt, like the successful ones of 2000 and 2004. One warning sign: The appearance of blatantly fraudulent public opinion polls giving Romney a substantial lead over Obama. While all other polls show that Obama has enough of an edge in the swing states to constitute an electoral-college “firewall,” Gallup’s national polls – using a “likely voter” model that apparently posits an inverse correlation between voting and skin pigmentation – currently give Romney an edge of more than five points in the popular vote.
Why would the Republicans falsify a prominent national poll? To give Romney “momentum,” and create the illusion of plausibility when rigged voting machines hand him a “surprise victory.”
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2012/10/21/election-fraud-storm-clouds-loom-over-presidential-race/
I think the “fix” is already in, certainly in Florida and Ohio, and we have 2000 and 2004 to prove it. If Obama can stay at a 4-5 point lead in Ohio it may be tough for the GOP to mess up with the voting process, but it looks much closer than that, hence the fix. The GOP is great at playing dirty, since this is who they are. Then all of the anti-Obama FDLers will have 4, maybe 8,years of Romney, to hope for this progessive revival. In the meantime, tens of thousands will die because of inadequate access to healthcare, as well as whatever group of non-whites the Romney admin and the DOD decide to pulverize. It’s just collateral damage, right?
Step 1: use bad reporting and flawed polls by the corporate conservative press to influence and promote a tight race that is within the margin of error.
Step 2: use flawed purposely hackable computerized vote counting systems to steal the election.
Step 3: explain the results as an unexpected turnout of the religious right or tea party or zombies or the dead……..
Rember FDR’s famous quote that nothing in politics is accidental. the hackability of the votes is a feature not a bug….good luck