In the past few days three new polls of Virginia have found President Obama with a lead outside of the margin of error. Mitt Romney has managed to gain no traction in the state. The polling indicates the size of Obama’s lead is basically unchanged from a month ago, but voters are now more locked in to their choice with fewer undecideds:

Quinnipiac (9/11-17)
Barack Obama 50%
Mitt Romney 46%
Someone else 1%
DK/NA 3%

Washington Post (9/12-16)
Barack Obama 52%
Mitt Romney 44%
No Opinion 4%

Public Policy Polling (9/13-16)
Barack Obama 49%
Mitt Romney 45%
Gary Johnson 2%
Virgil Goode 1%
Jill Stein 1%
Undecided 3%

Virginia appearing out of reach for Romney is particularly bad news for his campaign. It is theoretically possible for Romney to get to 270 without Virginia but it would be very difficult. Almost any path for Romney that doesn’t include Virginia basically requires Romney to win Ohio, but the recent polling in that swing state is just as bad for Romney.