Some very good news for the Obama campaign this morning. The latest Quinnipiac University/ CBS News/New York Times swing state poll has Obama at or above 50 percent in a matchup with Mitt Romney in the three largest swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania. This is their first poll of likely voters this cycle. From Qunnipiac:
This is the first measure of likely voters in these swing states and cannot be compared with earlier surveys of registered voters. Matching Obama against Romney in each of these key states – no one has won the White House since 1960 without taking at least two of them – shows:
Florida: Obama edges Romney 51- 45 percent;
Ohio: Obama over Romney by a slim 50 – 44 percent;
Pennsylvania: Obama tops Romney 53 – 42 percent.
Support for President Obama’s proposal to increase taxes on households making more than $250,000 per year is 58 – 37 percent in Florida, 60 – 37 percent in Ohio and 62 – 34 percent in Pennsylvania, the survey by Quinnipiac/CBS/The Times finds.
It is not surprising that the Obama campaign’s promise to end the Bush tax cuts for the rich is popular. It was also popular in 2008 when Obama promised it in his first campaign. Since he made no effort to actually keep that promise, he gets to run on the idea a second time.
On the all important issue of who would be better at handling the economy, voters in all three state are effectively evenly split. Romney has a two point edge in Florida while Obama has a four point edge in Pennsylvania and a one point edge in Ohio.
The other good news for Obama is that in all three states his favorable rating is net positive. In comparison Romney’s favorability rating is negative in the three states. Voters simply don’t like Romney very much, which is one of his biggest problems.