President Obama holds an incredible 18 point lead over Mitt Romney in California, according to the newest Field Poll of the state. According to the poll, Obama is winning 55 percent of likely California votes while Romney is getting just 37 percent. In California at least, Obama gets solid marks for his job performance, 55 percent approve of the job he is doing compared to 39 percent who disapprove.
While it is no surprise Obama holds a huge lead in what has become a bastion of the Democratic Party, the poll’s favorablity rating numbers are interesting. Unlike the national polling, which shows Romney’s net favorably rating remaining relatively stable (after it improved following the end of the GOP primary), in California opinions about Romney have turned sharply negative in recent months. Back in May, 40 percent held a favorable opinion of Romney and 44 percent viewed him unfavorably. Now he is only viewed favorably by 36 percent, while an incredible 55 percent of California voters hold an unfavorable opinion of him. It is more signs of how terrible the Republican brand is in the Golden State.
There is little doubt Obama is going to win California, but the margin could still be important for down-ballot races. Democrats there are very close to holding supermajorities in both legislative chambers, which is necessary to raise taxes. The new redistricting process may give Democrats their best hope to achieve this goal, but it will require solid Democratic turnout across the state. A big Democratic win this year could finally give Democrats in California actual control of the state government.
President Obama holds an incredible 18 point lead over Mitt Romney in California, according to the newest Field Poll of the state. According to the poll, Obama is winning 55 percent of likely California votes while Romney is getting just 37 percent. In California at least, Obama gets solid marks for his job performance, 55 percent approve of the job he is doing compared to 39 percent who disapprove.
While it is no surprise Obama holds a huge lead in what has become a bastion of the Democratic Party, the poll’s favorablity rating numbers are interesting. Unlike the national polling, which shows Romney’s net favorably rating remaining relatively stable (after it improved following the end of the GOP primary), in California opinions about Romney have turned sharply negative in recent months. Back in May, 40 percent held a favorable opinion of Romney and 44 percent viewed him unfavorably. Now he is only viewed favorably by 36 percent, while an incredible 55 percent of California voters hold an unfavorable opinion of him. It is more signs of how terrible the Republican brand is in the Golden State.
There is little doubt Obama is going to win California, but the margin could still be important for down-ballot races. Democrats there are very close to holding supermajorities in both legislative chambers, which is necessary to raise taxes. The new redistricting process may give Democrats their best hope to achieve this goal, but it will require solid Democratic turnout across the state. A big Democratic win this year could finally give Democrats in California actual control of the state government.




20 Comments
The evidence is mounting that taxes aren’t the big scary thing that they once were. Even Republicans aren’t shying away from them as much as they once did.
So when Romney uses taxes to try to scare people — and lies about it so obviously that even major media can’t help but point out the wrongness of his statements in the opening grafs of their stories on the subject — he’s probably making a big, big mistake.
This would be a major development as it would go against the conventional wisdom. The 1993 Clinton tax hike that saved the economy and which helped lead to the Clinton Boom is also what has been blamed for the Democrats losing Congress in 1994, and to this day Democratic veterans of that time often react with shudders when talking about 1994.
So, what’s wrong with the rest of the country? Amazing when you think about it.
Lots of Americans cannot see a difference between Romney & Obama, despite all the hatred for gays, women, immigrants, etc. coming from the right.
To say nothing of the Repubs stalling economic stimulus …
There may be quite a different solution other than embracing taxation as an added means by which to fleece the working class on behalf of financial and corporate rapists…oops-hope the Casa Blanca residents won’t come down on my use of distasteful terminology the way they did on Jim Clyburn when he attacked Bain Capital:
Californians’ $8 trillion in tax surpluses: What to ask your state, local representatives — http://wp.me/p1hyep-2kO
Ya’ know what Mark Twain said, “95% of the people are idiots and the other 5% of us are in danger of contagion.”
Seems like he may he right most of the time. One really has to have his/her head in the sand to not see the republicans for what they are nowadays.
Understand I’m not giving Obama any awards for the job he’s done and I’m not voting for him again. THird party for me here in Texas.
Maybe Californians are especially good at recognizing bullshit when they see it or perhaps they are just unusually attentive because no person with an IQ above 85 could possibly see modern Republicans as anything other than bigoted nutjobs. There was a time when being Republican meant being pro personal responsibility but not anti compassionate assistance. When they were pro firearm ownership but not freakishly paranoid about it. There was a time not that long ago when “smaller government” didn’t mean to put every burden on the backs of the working people so the fat cats can bankroll yet a larger fraction of the already lopsided money pie. When religion was okay in church but it would have been axiomatically absurd to suggest teaching it in science class. A time when individual liberty didn’t = their liberty to crush mine. People who actually adhere to such outlandish principles have always haunted the fringes of the Party but they are now the mainstream of it. It’s time for more than just a few conservatives here and there to stand up and say that the Emporer has no clothes, that this is deeply into batshit fields territory. Where is our twenty-teens version of William F Buckley Jr? Who will finally put the brakes on it? As long as they are rewarded at the polls, they have no incentive to change. It’s going to take a social shift to put a stop to it I think, much like the Birchers were exposed and pushed back into the fringe by public revulsion at the policies they espoused.
Thanks for posting this and if there any Calif. people here today go to the link and you’ll see Calli is far from not having money. In fact were pretty dam rich as states go if not countries. Send it on to whom ever is your state rep.
I will vote Demodog in state and congresscritter but then on to Green
Californian’s know that the economic hole has been dug so deeply that a federal bailout will be necessary down the road. They know that there’s no way they are going to get one with Romney as President. That said, even if Obama wins, unless the HoR goes back in the D column, a bailout is problematic. California spends too much. They need to make hard choices on what they spend tax dollars on. It’s unlikely that JB’s “temporary” tax increase will pass. And even if it does, it will continue to stifle economic activity and drive more business’s out of the state leading to reduced tax revenue and magnifying the problem even more.
Great!! This CA voter was gonna cast Green or P&F anyway. Now the O’bots can’t blame me if they lose and I don’t have to hold my nose in the booth like I did in 2008.
The glass is about 1/3 full. Because apparently 55% of Californians, collapsing though their economy may be, think Obama is doing a good job.
That said, Romney is tanking on a number of fronts right now, including in the eyes of those positioned to boost him–Wall Street Republicans. This thing may be over before the end of August.
Indeed, picking the better candidate is truly a conundrum.
Be careful what you wish for. If the RATS take over full control of state government they are going to own every decision, every bill, every new tax, every payoff to the unions, etc. They are also not going to be able to claim that the evil GOP kept them from enacting this or that platform element. Total control means the Kabuki show closes.
One thing you can bet on: those new, higher taxes will be on the average folks, not the wealthy or corps. RATS just as bad as ‘Publicans on that.
Don’t be so sure about that.
Who cares?
Jon, go back & edit this. There are a number of “repeats” in the paragraphs.
So, Barry will win California by a million votes but lose the south, including Florida, and the plain/mountain states by 5000 votes each which will facilitate his presidential library planning. More importantly, does it really make a difference?
It makes a tremendous difference.If Richie Rich gets in with a Rethug Congress,kiss medicare goodbye,vouchers anyone?Kiss a woman’s right to choose goodbye on the next Supreme Court appointment.
“Richie Rich.” Like it. Let’s help make this one stick.
Is the magic number of Senators 51 or 60? It can’t be 51 for the GOP and 60 for the Dems.
BTW, Obama voluntarily put Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid on the chopping block during the debt ceiling negotiations last year. The Republicans demanded $2.4 trillion in debt reduction that was spending cuts only. Obama came back with an offer of $4 trillion, which included $1 trillion in tax hikes plus cuts to Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid.
The Republicans refused to take even more spending cuts than they wanted because there were tax hikes involved. So Obama was willing to drive the car even further down the road to the right, but the Republicans were too cheap to spring for the gas money.
It would stick better in my mind if Obama had not been taking money from Bain Capital in 2008. Their deeds from the 1990s suddenly became evil when Romney ran for President.