President Obama has a huge 13 point lead over Mitt Romney, at least according to the latest Bloomberg News poll of likely voters. In addition, if you believe the poll, Democrats stand a good chance of taking back the House, since they hold a seven point lead in the generic Congressional ballot question. From Bloomberg News:
Obama leads Romney 53 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, even as the public gives him low marks on handling the economy and the deficit, and six in 10 say the nation is headed down the wrong track, according to the poll conducted June 15- 18.
Asked how they plan to vote for Congress, 48 percent of likely voters say they’d choose a Democrat compared with 41 percent who would back a Republican. The Democratic Party also scores better than its counterpart, with 50 percent of Americans viewing it favorably while 43 percent don’t. The Republican Party’s favorability rating drops 3 percentage points from Bloomberg’s March poll to 41 percent, while its unfavorability stands at 50 percent.
If the poll is right, Democrats in general are in much better shape this November than almost anyone previously thought. So I find it hard to believe this poll is simply not an outlier. Basically the other recent national polls show the race effectively tied with only one or two points separating the presidential candidates. In addition, partisans on both sides believe this is going to be a very close election.
We will need to wait for more national polling to confirm or refute these numbers, but if they do hold up it would be great news for Democrats.