The presidential election is effectively tied in the swing states of Colorado, Iowa and Nevada according to the latest Marist/NBC News polls. President Obama is technically up by two in Nevada and one in Colorado but those small leads are within the margin of error.
Colorado
Marist (5/22-24)
Barack Obama 46%
Mitt Romney 45%
Other 1%
Undecided 8%
Iowa
Marist (5/22-24)
Barack Obama 44%
Mitt Romney 44%
Other 2%
Undecided 10%
Nevada
Marist (5/22-24)
Barack Obama 48%
Mitt Romney 46%
Other 1%
Undecided 5%
Part of the reason the race remains so tight in these three states is the economy continues to dominate the election, and on that issue voters are split on who would be better able to handle it. In Nevada the divide is even, with 44 percent thinking Obama would do a better job with the economy and 44 percent thinking Mitt Romney would do better. In Colorado Romney has a slight edge on the economy, 45% to 42%; and in Iowa Romney’s lead on the economy is even larger, 46% to 41%. Not Surprisingly, Romney does best in the head-to-head matchup in the states where he has the edge on the economy.
The Obama team essentially has two options to try to win the economy issue. They can try to convince voters Obama actually did a really good job with the economy. Of course that would be extremely difficult to do when official unemployment is over 8 percent, unless the economy really picks up in the coming months. Their other option is to try to tear down Romney on this issue, and that is tactic the Obama campaign is taking. It has been mainly focused on Romney’s years at Bain Capital and his rather pathetic jobs record as governor of Massachusetts.
One part of the polls that should be concerning to Democrats is that in Iowa and Colorado more of Romney’s supporters are enthusiastic to vote.



27 Comments
Why would anyone choose the guy who wants to expand America’s wars, force people to buy private health insurance, and radically increase oil-drilling over the guy who wants to expand America’s wars, force people to buy private health insurance, and radically increase oil-drilling? Don’t they see what’s at stake?
Enough Said
Obama=Romney
A real Democrat ie a FDR, JFK, follower would have won this re-election with ease.
The lesson here is Democrats don’t like Hoover, Reagan, and Clinton
Jon, why do your numbers always seem to disagree with those here? Those show IA and NM strongly blue.
-stewartm
Obama and the economy? It’s so sad that the economy is spiraling into a horrifying depression just right before the election. If only Obama hadn’t spend the last three and a half years coddling his rich, corrupt friends who are reaming the economy good. Ah well.
I wouldn’t worry too much about Obama. He’s burnishing his resume now, and when he gets booted out of office for royally screwing over the economy for his rich Wall Street buds, he’s going to take his promotion and become a Goldman Sachs VP.
I’m sure all the other corrupt politicians will learn from that, eh?
o already won , he’s set for life along with his family.
“…more of Romney’s supporters are enthusiastic to vote…”
How strange…MY enthusiasm to vote for Obama (which was off the scale 3-and-a-halr years ago) has disappeared right down the “states rights!” urinal. (…just to name the latest piece of have-it-both-ways, fence-straddling bullshit from him…)
While Romney is clearly the worst of the two, who wants another four years of Obama. For those who remember his last campaign should have learned that his promises and words mean nothing. He is another representaive of the corporate elite. Such are the fruits of a one party system.
That poll showing Romney with a 6 point lead in Florida is the one to worry about. In this election, if you lose Florida, you lose.
Also, it looks like MItt is making up ground with women voters.
I insist: “Not Obama!” is worth a lot in this one. About all Romney has to do is not stick both feet in his mouth at once (which could happen…) and he’s got a very good chance of winning.
Oscar, Oscar, Oscar, many people in our country just simply don’t have the analytical ability to “compare and contrast” the candidates like you do. That, in itself, IS the problem.
Perhaps things will get clearer as the candidates address the actual issues, honestly debate each other, and distinguish themselves as the fine leaders they both are and will be.
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We are so screwed!
That’s kind of a “glass half empty analysis”, dontcha think???? :-)
We are so screwed!
Sorry, hate to be redundant.
Well, you put your finger on the problem.
For me, the idea of another four years of this status-quo-protecting bullshit from Obama, is, not only repugnant, but I think that without some kind of real salvage operation (and the chance of that is nil, even if Obama wanted to mount one…) we’re going to have something along the lines of the 1929 situation. I’d rather the repubs be in when that happens, than someone whom the GOP can point to and say:
“See what a socialist president has led us into!!!”
And that’s the real mad-hatter insanity that Obama has created: he’s put the entire progressive agenda in the shithouse, while governing as a country-club republican. (sometimes, worse…) If I were a repub, I’d be as happy as a clam; they cannot lose in this election.
As we can all se here, Obama has lost a goodly number of supporters who were responsible for his move from Chicago to Washington. You may be right about Romney vis-a-vis his “foot in mouth” propensity. His “unacceptable” rating is still around 48%. Betcha a lot of people don;t make up their mind until really late. The debates MAY make the difference like they did in ’60.
When I hear republicans complaining about Obama I have to bite my tongue to keep from saying, “You’ve gotten everything you guys wanted oout of this president. What’s you friggin’ problem?” Shows you what morons they are. They can’t see the forest for the trees.
For the right wing, the problem with Mittens is preventing a tack to the middle. So, think of the Romney cabinet should he win:
Secretary of State, Newt Gingrich;
Justice Department, Michelle Bachmann (Oral Roberts Law School and Justice experience);
Commerce, Rick Santorum;
Labor, Meg Whitman (job slasher and next HP CEO fail);
Energy, A Koch Brother.
For Vice President, howzabout Condolizard Rice?
Supreme Court, the worst possible anti-gay extremist.
Then, must reverse everything Obama has done, including ignoring Al Qaida (just as Bush did as the anti-Clinton).
Ted Rall nails it:
http://news.yahoo.com/comics/ted-rall-slideshow/
Actually, Rice might be a smart pick. A black woman with rock-solid peckerhead-conservative credentials, who helped accomplish the mission, could energize republicans who are leery of Mitt.
Hell, she might even take it, if Romney offers it. :o)
Romney would never pick Gingrich for State. Unlike Hillary, who has that “Property of AIPAC!” tatt on her butt, Newt is satan incarnate to the Israelis. He’s an egomaniac and a horrible loose cannon. He’d be a ticking political time-bomb in any Romney administration.
With Willard and a GOP House and Senate, and SCOTUS picks to boot, it might be time to consider emigration for those of you under 40. Many of us have too much at stake here to up and leave. As part of the Baby Boomer generation, I think we pampered, self absorbed ninnies deserve a rabid GOP and an unregulated Wall Street. I don’t buy the notion that things have to get so much worse under GOP control that it will lead to a progressive resurgence. As long as the population continue to be given the crumbs from the table of the 1% and have their circuses provided the “revolution” will be postponed.In the meantime, what about the large swath of the population who are going to be the collateral damage?
Rice never has run for office, she is one of the architects of the disaster that was the Cheney/Bush foreign policy, and being put in the spotlight would only bring out the rumors of her personal life. The Right Wing won’t accept a gay woman.
I nominate Herman Cain .
(gasp) jedimsnbcko19…is from the futuuuurrre…
J
(Sorry I replied to the wrong post by accident. I meant post number 2.)
Bachmann in the Justice Department. Urrrr. Freaky-eyed religious zealot. At least she would have incompetence going for her.
Jon, you must not let the ho-hum boredom affect your writing style.
Look at this: “The race is still in its early phase folks, but as the contenders roar out of the first turn, already neck and neck, we can clearly see that this will be a hard-fought duel! Although the contenders are evenly matched, and virtually identical, this is a race of strategy as much as sheer physical domination … sometimes, lost in the sounds and drama of the thundering hooves, it is the minute details, how the contenders respond to the whip, or how their handlers have finessed the public’s perceptions of capacity and greatness that lend so much color and substance to these spectacular human displays of emotion, endurance, and even sublime nuance. Too often, it is only at the finish-line that the public becomes interested in the sweepstakes, but this race started long before the gates sprung open. There is history here, and pathos, there is art as well as artifice … Ladies and germs, THIS is what America is all about! It is about what is behind the scenes as well as the hoopla, it is the quintessential promise of this great nation, played out every four years in a ritual of rebirth and new, and far-reaching, commitments to all that is fine, good, and wonderful, it is the Fourth of July, Christmas, and Baseball all wrapped up in the nation’s finest … etc. etc.”
You see, if you want the public to be interested, engaged, and enthusiastic, then you must display the same virtues and call upon the people’s faith in the truth that this, this America, is the best of all possible places, and that these candidates represent the true heart and soul of what it means to be American, to be the best, and to always be right.
I know, it is not easy, but you shall simply have to try harder … let not the skeptics confound you, nor the naysayers, discomfit you … after all is said and done, it is the Big Guy in the Sky whose work these toilers in the traces do, with a little help from their friends. You do want to help, don’t you?
Well, dammit! Make it exciting, then! Make it a cliff-hanger, make it cosmic!
The foregoing snark, for such it is, is for those entertainment porpoises who are still bitching about “the spill” … instead of yucking it up at the landlubber’s amazing shenanigans … as lesser species should properly do …(it always annoys them when I take the superior species tack, so I say “Let them eat fish … Fukashima or not). One last bit of advice, you bottle-nosed ingrates, drones can work in the ocean, and the “kill-list” can always be expanded, by either party …
;~DW
The next shoe you will hear dropping is Jim Messina “wanting to spend more time with his family.”
The stink of a loser is beginning to descend on Obama. Once it gets on, it is hard to shake off.
HuffPo has this laugher about the latest Zero campaign strategy. The headline is BROKEN PROMISES and is aimed at pointing out Romney’s broken promises while Gov of MA. Talk about chutzpah! (Not to mention the irony of it.) Here’s the link and some excerpts:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/31/mitt-romney-massachusetts-record-obama_n_1558558.html?ref=politics
You gotta give the Romney flak credit; that line about “Change the Subject” is witty and right on.
BOYCOTT THE SILLY PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS. There is nothing there for us. Nothing. No matter which way you vote — including third party or ‘write in’ — it will never advance the people’s agenda. Make some noise and garner the media’s attention when you protest the polls on election day!
http://my.firedoglake.com/terridi/2012/06/02/boycott-the-2012-presidential-election/