Tweet
Despite polls showing the Presidential race remarkably close, the American people strongly suspect that President Obama is going to win re-election. 56 percent think Obama will win this November, while just 36 percent think Mitt Romney will win, according to Gallup.
![Regardless of whom you support, and trying to be as objective as possible, who do you think will win the election in November -- [ROTATED: Barack Obama (or) Mitt Romney]? May 2012 results](http://sas-origin.onstreammedia.com/origin/gallupinc/GallupSpaces/Production/Cms/POLL/ka9xle595kqg_6y_zszevg.gif)
While there are both pluses and some minuses to being seen as the clear front runner, on net it is a positive. After all people want to bank a winner. People are also much less likely to donate money or volunteer for a candidate if they appear to be a lost cause.
It seems the Obama campaign shares this opinion about the benefits of being seen as the favorite and is desperate to maintain this image. It explains why they would make the rather pathetic move of attacking the methodology of the recent CBS News/NYT poll that shows Romney with a small three point lead.
15 Comments
Thanks for the post.
I’ve long said that this (and many previous) “election” is just a ginned up Kabuki Show. The 1% loves ‘em some BarackStar. From their perspective, what’s not to love?? Barry Zero is the perfect CiC for them, so why change horses in mid-stream. And y’all know that the 2d term of Dear Leader will be:
2d Verse, Worse than the First.
My prediction: the BarackStar will “win.” Why not? Ever hear of Diebold?
No matter who wins, we all lose.
True, but we can make the loss something to be built on. I’m not going to claim that things can really change through the current electoral system because I’m no longer sure, BUT, IF they can, then IF enough people show up and vote and vote for anyone but these two clowns, that can start something that might, just might, lead to future change. But if 98% of votes cast are for fiddledee and fiddledum, it’s a complete loss. Short term and long term.
Vote. Enourage everyone to vote. Just vote for anyone other than the R and D. If 5% or most especially 10% do that, it shoule lead to something else, and if 20% do, I can guarantee you things will be a changing regarding the electoral process.
I quite agree with you and encourage everyone to consider voting for Third Party Candidates.
Although citizens may certainly choose to not vote (out of disgust, despair or whatever), that will not really send any kind of a message.
There are several third party candidates to consider. I don’t feel it is a “waste” to vote 3rd party. Jill Stein & Rocky Anderson have either posted themselves at MyFDL, or have posts about them & their postions at MyFDL.
I have no vested interest in either candidate, but just pointing out some options. I will definitely be voting third party in this farce of an “election.” I will certainly not be voting either D or R. Not worth it.
Speaking of methodology, This result is from an unrestricted sample. Surveys with Romney in the lead use registered voters. See the Gallup link.
I love you man.
Yup.
The flip side of that is that if people vote for either of the two charlatans, whoever wins can honestly say he represents them. The real truth is that the president represents the MICC and corporatocracy.
If you vote for him, you are INVESTED in a front man, your expectations have been successfully marginalized and you have rendered yourself impotent by EXPECTING NOTHING (see the countless apologist arguments regarding the presididn’t's impotence, at least when it comes to the 99%. Pay no attention to the man behind the curtain when it comes to delivering for Wall-Street, Big Ag, Big Insurance, Big Pharma, Big Defense….)
The problem with most polls is that they don’t show any nuance. What shows here (online poll) is that there will be many people who will vote for Obama even if they don’t like a lot of what he does.
Of course, this poll isn’t asking respondents who they will vote for; it’s asking who they think will win. No reason to restrict the sample to registered voters for a question like that. Now, the question is, was Shitter being deliberately deceitful or just overeager?
Another example of Jon Walker’s non-stop efforts to provide us with more depressing news.
It’s depressing either way. And that reality is even more depressing.
If Nate Silver says polls don’t matter now, I’ll take his word for it. He says if this were baseball we’d still be in pre-season. Good point. Let’s look forward. There’s still plenty of entertainment before the election. SimPaulTons taking over the Republican Convention. Romney’s first debate with somebody who’s not insane or mentally deficient. More funny Romney bashing videos.Endless repeats of embarrassing Romney quotes. Endless responses from Romney saying the person making those statements is an actor, not him. Romney claiming future Obama accomplishments as his own. Mormons secretly converting Malia and Sasha to Mormons. Good times everybody.
Do you really want to know what will change things for all of us ??? First you have to realize the the real culprits in what is happening is the fault of the American voters. They support the Conservative policies and live off of the Social Programs. They continue to vote against their interests and its getting worse. We have to gut all of the social programs. everything and let the people really digest the policies of the Conservative Movement. Only then will there be a significant political change in the United States.
Gary Johnson is far more liberal than Obama on social issues and there’s NOTHING Obama’s done on the fiscal side that argues for us to vote for him. THE question I ask (again) is, why does FDL spend so much time covering a “horse race” still 5 1/2 months away, rather than covering the issues determining whether Obama deserves a second term. That’s what EW & Glenn do, they focus on what the President we elected is actually doing. For example, is there a Democrat who’s NOT offended by Obama’s planned executive order on Yemeni, as described by Glenn today? It makes little sense to me for FDL to fundraise in support of Bradley Manning and other issues CAUSED by OBAMA, it refuses to argue Obama should be sent home BECAUSE of what he’s done and not done as President.
On the other hand, if FDL is not as demanding of the President we whom entrusted with a once in thirty year opportunity to right HUGE wrongs that are changing the what our country stands for, and it believes Obama should be reelected in spite of what he’s done, why not argue the case? At least that would be taking a stand.