President Obama holds a solid seven point lead over Mitt Romney in Virginia, according to a new Washington Post poll.
Washington Post 4/28 – 5/2 (among registered voters)
Barack Obama 51%
Mitt Romney 44%
Other, no opinion 5%
The poll also found that a majority of Virginians approve of how he is handling his job as president. Obama’s job approval rating is 53% approve to 44% disapprove. The state of Virginia is quickly shaping up to be one of the best swing states for the Obama campaign and a likely bulwark against potential loses in more traditional swing states like Florida and Ohio.
The one big advantage for Obama in Virginia is that its economy has done relatively well. The unemployment rate in the state is only 5.6%, partly because the federal government-based employment in the DC suburbs has been less affected by the downturn. While signs of a weakening economy will likely cause problems for the Obama campaign everywhere, the damage is probably going to be less serious in Virginia.
Virginia is shaping up to potentially be the big swing state of the election. If you live there, get ready for the coming flood of campaign advertising.