According to to new polling data from Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research, the Paul Ryan budget could be a serious political liability for Congressional Republicans who voted for it. The polling operation is Democratically aligned, so take that into account when reading their analysis. From GQRR:
Just 41 percent support the Ryan budget plan, described simply as “a budget for the next 10 years that cuts an additional 5.3 trillion dollars from the federal budget,” with 42 percent opposed. It is stunning that it gets only 41 percent at the outset when we only describe that it cuts money from the budget. It gets just a third of moderates, who make up more than a third of this electorate.
When the budget is described — using as much of Paul Ryan’s description as possible (see text box below) — support collapses to 34 percent, with just 16 percent strongly supporting the plan. The facts in the budget lose people almost immediately – dropping 7 points. Putting the spotlight on this budget is damning. A large majority of 56 percent oppose it, 44 percent strongly.
In the final vote, after hearing both Democratic attacks and Republican arguments in favor of the Ryan budget, support for Republican incumbents erodes.
Critically, the biggest shifts in the vote come among key voting blocs—including 16 percent of independents and liberal-to- moderate Republicans, those living in the South, minority voters, young people, white blue-collar voters, and unmarried women.
How important a vote on a budget that went nowhere months out from the election will actually be for voters come November is hard to say, but the report is worth reading if you want an insight into how Congressional Democrats and their political operatives are hoping the election will shape up. The Paul Ryan budget with its large cuts and changes to Medicare is currently seen as some of the most fertile ground for Democratic attacks.