This graph of Mitt Romney’s daily support from Gallup is a perfect example of what being an inevitable but not exactly beloved nominee looks like. From Gallup:

For the past month Romney’s lead managed to steadily increase and stay relatively high.
During the time period displayed in the graph Romney actually lost Louisiana on March 24th by an incredible 22 points. Looking at the graph, though, you would never have guessed. Rick Santorum’s big win didn’t even dent Romney’s national numbers.
Romney’s lead is now both substantial and remarkably resilient. Even if Santorum wins a few big victories in the remaining parts of the Bible Belt, he’s unlikely to change that. At this point barring something truly incredible happening, Santorum has basically no hope of stopping Romney from becoming the nominee.



34 Comments
Considering the rampant voter fraud,
and media shenanigans (i will spare you my interpretation of NPR the week leading up to the first primary, amongst legion examples)
Ordained might be a good synonym for inevitable.
And I’ll go one step further Mittens is also ordained to lose, to Barry, and I hope to bet many members of the right wing of the war party that.
So, again, given that Romney is their nominee, and the other two guys were a sideshow, we are left wondering who Romney will run with.
My guess is that he’s going to have to reach out to the freakshow side of the GOP base. That means he needs to pick an extremist. My guess right now is that he will pick a fairly extreme Republican woman to work with, but someone lacking the space cadet qualities of Sarah Palin. Maybe the current governor of Arizona would fit the bill?
Put your money on Marco Rubio.
Let’s not forget, however, Romney has a long way to go yet.
I get that Romney is the nominee–every third article tells me so. The more interesting narrative, for me, is how long Santorum hangs in there and to what degree this degrades the Romney candidacy. If Romney stands to enter the convention without sufficient votes to secure on the first ballot, that’s a pretty big story. Just who continues to back Santorum in pursuit of that end–with even Santorum and Gingrich now resorting to the dog-on-the-roof tale, is pretty interesting. Romney really could arrive in Miami without hope of beating Obama. You don’t assume they yank it from him at that stage, not with Bush and others now lined up behind, but that would be huge.
On the other hand, a frightened Obama with a real fight on his hands might play the populist card more forcefully, with implications going beyond the bread and circuses we here remain so mesmerized by. He could also hew closer to the center under the same circumstances, as candidates in a two-party election tend to do. . . pursuing that tiny slice at the very center of the electorate has been the avowed goal of his advisers for three years, but yesterday’s speech could signal a different approach.
Paul Ryan. Paul Ryan will be the runningmate just to make sure all of us libruls are good and scared of voting for anyone but O.
Good points as always.
I think Romney is gonna arrive in Tampa about 40 delegates short and he will then have to cut some sort of deal with Gingrich. Either make him a seretary or let him sleep with one.
There will not be a brokered convention. Romney will have the delegates.
Up until recently Romney had consistently taken 56% of the delegates. Now he has moved up to 59%. He only needed to keep up the same game, but now he has stepped it up. There’s no question he will have the delegates.
What makes you think he’ll be short when he now has 59% of those selected? What makes you think his game is going to fall off as the Party coalesces around him?
I’m going to make a WAG and go with Jim DeMint.
Given the US media’s investment in flashy Tuesday-night graphics and their desire for eyeballs in the second quarter, I’m gonna predict a Santorum continuation through the Bible Belt May primaries. American media companies need people to watch, and they need something for them to watch; having the political junkies tune out now would be disastrous.
Look for ever-more-outrageous ‘scenarios’ where Mitt might lose, or enter the convention short of delegates — anything to keep people watching the Big Show. A lively Frothy candidacy benefits the media empires, and the media empires can keep Frothy alive. It’s mutually beneficial.
Nikki Haley
We’re told by Legacy Media that the May primaries are favorable to Santorum. I don’t have a list, and I don’t know if it’s true — but it only matters that Frothy believes it, and he has a powerful incentive to do so.
Miami Herald:
Jewish?
Hope he hangs around and gets really desperate — and condemns any kind of foreplay.
Pledges would also be good.
This is what a close election looks like! http://www.gallup.com/poll/105529/gallup-daily-obama-edges-ahead-clinton.aspx
Grover Norquist has cornered the market on pledges. He’s a pledgeopolist.
Frothy can really up the ante in the chastity area though. He could say that even thinking about “it” is as bad as doing “it.”
Lusting in your heart is as bad as actually lusting.
I actually believe that Rick will stick around as long as he possibly can in an effort to build a narrative that after Romney loses in 2012, that in 2016 a true red conservative must be the nominee. He fell just short in 2012, but focusing on so-called electability was a mistake. He will have to mend some fences with the establishment, but he’ll certainly try his damnedest to do so.
Rove is doing the usual – attack the other fellows strength – in the latest Romney speech. Obama for all his corporate ass kissing would seem to be less of a weather vane than Romney, so Rove attacks that idea.
Just like he took a war hero and made him an undeserving medal recipient in Kerry, Romney of the many positions now attacks Obama as saying one thing before elections and doing something else after – no one can be sure where he stands (and to some degree I agree – it is just Romney is worse).
Indeed Romney’s 800 veto’s in Mass, presented as the boss in charge cutting spending and controlling Democrats, included a veto of a law to make outsourcing jobs from Mass less profitable. Wonder if Obama is smart enough to pick up on that.
Conservatism cannot fail, it can only be failed.
Expect the 2016 field to feature Frothy as its most leftward contender. Stormfront, actual Nazis, anti-Semites, and KKK leadership will make up the field while Frothy pleads for ‘tolerance.’
Let’s hope his campaign team is better than his governing team.
Where is the like button:)
That was what the nuns and priests always told me. But if that was true, might as well lust, I thought.
If there were no one to lust over, who would drug companies hire to sell their wares? http://thirdpartytime.com/archives/864
Somehow I don’t think that’s what Jimmy Carter had in mind.
I agree. However, this target is a tad more elusive than a more pigeon holed idea of a war hero or a tax-and-spender. While Obama did back off many campaign promises, people have projected upon him promises he never made. Moreover, while not accomplishing many of his stated goals, he paid lip service to each. I hardly think Rove will attack him for not closing Guantanamo, for example. I do not join many progressives in believing that this election will be easy. I suspect Rove & Co. will manage to make it an election eve nail-biter.
Santorum is winning in Texas. The “proportionality” of even the “winner take all” races also tends to support that.
I could be wrong.
Shiiit, I’ll give 2-1 odds on DeMint. He’s a peckerhead.
Try this guys….
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-srv/special/politics/primary-tracker/
I hear he eats bagels and cream cheese for breakfast.
And that is just looking at the democrats. ;-)
Of course, no matter how far to the Right the major parties go, we’ll no doubt be told to shut up and support the lesser evil.
You don’t have to accept anything. You are free to vote for whomever appears on your ballot outside the Republican party without guilt of any kind. Heck, you could even write in Rocky Anderson if your state allows for it.
There’s a greater air of santorum around Gingrich than Santorum; Santorum’s more decorous than Gingrich–or that’s my opinion in this forum. But who’s more libidinous? I vote for Gingrich. On the other hand I’d bet that Romney doesn’t even have a d*ck.
Drunken poem.