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Even though ten states are voting in the Republican presidential primary tomorrow, most of the media’s attention will likely be directed at Ohio, where the race between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum remains incredibly close.
NBC News/Marist:
Rick Santorum 34%
Mitt Romney 32%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Ron Paul 13%
other 1%
undecided 6%
Public Policy Polling:
Mitt Romney 37%
Rick Santorum 36%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Ron Paul 11%
Someone else/Not sure 2%
Quinnipiac:
Mitt Romney 34%
Rick Santorum 31%
Newt Gingrich 15%
Ron Paul 12%
DK/NA 7%
The recent polling shows the race basically tied, but there are indications that the recent momentum in Ohio has been moving towards Romney. The Quinnipiac poll from last week had Santorum leading Romney by seven, but now Santorum is trailing Romney by three in their most recent poll.
If Santorum doesn’t win Ohio, tomorrow could be a very bad night for his campaign. Romney is already favored to win between 3-5 of the other ten states tomorrow, and Gingrich holds a big lead in his home state of Georgia. Santorum only has a significant lead in polling in Oklahoma and a dangerously small lead in Tennessee.
If Santorum doesn’t win Ohio, it would likely start a new round of people questioning the viability of Santorum’s candidacy. Ohio is probably a must win for Santorum.
9 Comments
More on the GOP primary race here.
I should probably feign some interest in the contest between the Christofascist and the secular fascist, but I just learned that Congress has passed HR 347, which basically outlaws protest, and that’s more where my interest lies this morning. Especially since passage was almost unanimous.
My feel from my neighbors is that Frothy will win. Out of 5 gop families, not one is supporting Mitt.
But he only signs I’ve seen so far have been for Ron Paul. I guess Mitt and Frothy are concentrating on tv and radio.
Boxturtle (Ohio could go to Frothy in the general election as well. Zero enthusiasm for Zero here)
I beg to differ. I say Romney by a nose. Frothy is just looking more like a religious nutcase. There is a growing “I don’t want Romney, but, ahhhhh, he’s better than this nutjob Rick II sticking his nose into MY bedroom.”
This will, however, NOT be the end. It is merely the beginning of the end. Gingrich is out of money. Santorum can’t match Romney’s pocketbook and the inevitability of the inevitable is……..inevitable.
I have this thing going on in my head – “I won’t vote for Obama, but, please, god, don’t let the Republican win.” How’s that for muddled? Somewhere in this country there must be a decent person who would be a really good President but not this time.
You and me are in the same boat. FWIW, Obama’s failure to “sick the DoJ” on the banksters like he promised he would lost my support. Nothing will get it back now. I have several former O supporters who feel the same way. But, I will NEVER vote for a republican unless Colin Powell runs. Or…maybe….Scarlett Johannson. NOt aht she would make a “good” president, but…..hey…..SHE’S SCARLETT JOHANSSON.
Yeah, me too. Although maybe a good dose of Santorum would wake people up.
Weak ass game wiped Santorum off ~15 of 66 delegate spots in Ohio. Voters in at least 3 CDs won’t even be able to make Santorum their choice. If Romney can’t beat that spread he deserves to be pounded by the media.