At the very least it looks like Mitt Romney will secure one win next Tuesday, in Arizona. Next week has GOP primaries in Michigan and Arizona. While polling indicates there is a decent chance Rick Santorum could win Michigan, all the recent polling of Arizona shows Romney with the lead.

The NBC News/Marist poll found the biggest lead for Romney, putting him 16 points above the rest of the field. The Recent CNN/Time and PPP polls also have Romney leading, but they find his margin to be only in the low single digits.

NBC News/Marist Poll (2/19-20)
Mitt Romney 43%
Rick Santorum 27%
Newt Gingrich 16%
Ron Paul 11%
Other 1%
undecided 3%

CNN/Time/ORC International (2/17-20)
Romney 36%
Santorum 32%
Gingrich 18%
Paul 6%
Someone else (vol.) *
None/ No one (vol.) 1%
No opinion 6

PPP (2/17-19)
Mitt Romney 36%
Rick Santorum 33%
Newt Gingrich 16%
Ron Paul 9%
Someone else/Not sure 7%

At least part of the reason Romney is doing well in Arizona is the state’s large Mormon population. According to the LDS Church News, Mormons make up just under 6 percent of Arizona’s population. The entrance polling for the Nevada caucus found that Romney won 88 percent of the LDS vote. If he can get anything close to that level of support from Mormons in the Arizona primary, that will be a huge built in advantage for him.