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With the Florida Republican primary tomorrow, Mitt Romney appears to be finishing strong in the state. The polls show his support increasing modestly, and many of the polls now have him with a double digit lead over Newt Gingrich.
The Marist/NBC poll from yesterday found Romney with a 15 point lead: Romney 42 percent, Gingrich 27 percent, Rick Santorum 16 percent and Ron Paul 11 percent.
Similarly Quinnipiac now has Romney with a 14 point lead in the sate. This is a five point improvement for Romney from their polling only a few days earlier. From Quinnipiac:
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has a 43 – 29 percent lead over former House Speaker Newt Gingrich among Republican likely voters in Florida, the nation’s first big-state presidential primary, according to Quinnipiac University poll released today. Only 7 percent are undecided, but 24 percent say they might change their mind by tomorrow’s election
This compares to a 38 – 29 percent Romney lead in a January 27 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University. [...]
Texas U.S. Rep. Ron Paul and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum each have 11 percent of likely primary voters today.
Last night PPP found Romney with a smaller lead of just seven points, Romney 39 percent to Gingrich 32 percent, but that is a significant improvement for Romney from just seven days ago when PPP had him losing to Gingrich by five.
The polling is unanimous that Romney holds a substantial lead in the Florida primary. The polls differ only on whether Romney’s lead is in high single digits or in the low double digits.
There is a good chance tomorrow that the state will be called fairly quickly after the polls close.
8 Comments
So does this give us an indication that the Republican party has finally tired of the tea party and their nonsense?
Bachmann, Perry, Cain, etc. All the tea party favorites have already gone down the tubes.
Newt certainly wasn’t their first choice, and they’re not left with much.
Pierce on Willard…
I think so. No, Newt was not their choice but they cause these kinds of things with the tricks they play. What shocks me is the number of supporters he has. I mean really…
Newt, America’s Kim Jong Il.
I just don’t get it. Why so much support for lunatics?
I dont think so. Everybody likes to vote for the winner. Its hard to vote your favorite when you know they have no chance of winning. The tea party folks will definitely still support their candidates and their ideas in the future.
Same thing on the Democratic side. By the time NJ came up for primaries in 2008 my favorite had already dropped out.
The status of the TEA Party does seem uncertain. They still have quite a bit of influence in the house, I’m not sure about “power”.
I think it will be obvious that the TEA Party will NOTTTT be happy with Romney. What they intend to do about it….that’s the question.
Gingrich’s national support does seem surprising for such a despicable person. I have to assume it is simply the “not-Romney” vote consolidated. But, remember 62% of repubicans said just last week that he is “unacceptable” as a nominee. That’s almost half……..:-)
I know plenty of Country Club Republicans who love Romney & can’t wait to for vote for him.
I guess they still
believe in Santa Clausthink that someday, somehow they, too, shall strike rich rich rich… just like Willard. And they, too, will not want to “bothered” by paying anything like their fair share of taxes. That’s all I’ve got.Well, the Tea Party types who aren’t also religious rightists still have Paul. Maybe after Santorum drops out for real the media will no longer be able to ignore the impact of Paul on the race? I’m still waiting for the big guns to turn on Gingrich and force him out of the race. But maybe they don’t want to do that since then it will be clear the only choice besides Romney is Paul, and they’d rather not have that happen.