While in Florida momentum has quickly shifted away from Newt Gingrich and to Mitt Romney, on the national level Gingrich is still going very strong. Two national polls out today both give Gingrich a solid nine point lead over Romney. From MSNBC on the new MSNBC/WSJ poll:
Gingrich leads Romney 37 percent to 28 percent nationally among registered Republicans likely to vote in the primaries; Rick Santorum is in third with 18 percent, and Ron Paul is fourth with 12 percent.
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Gingrich is also viewed as the most electable candidate by GOP primary voters. He leads Romney 2-to-1 among those who picked electability as mattering most to them in a candidate. He holds a narrow lead, 46-44 percent, among those who say views on issues matter most.
If the primary ends up just a Romney versus Gingrich contest, Gingrich’s lead would be even larger. The poll found (PDF) that in such a theoretical head-to-head match Gingrich would win 52 percent of the vote compared to Romney at 39 percent.
The Gallup national daily tracking poll also has Gingrich leading by nine. Gallup currently has it Gingrich 32 percent to Romney 24 percent. For roughly two weeks the poll has found Gingrich gaining steadily on Romney. There is no indication that Gingrich’s current drop in Florida is part of a national turn away from Gingrich.
Of course since presidential primaries are a contest-by-contest fight spread over months, national standing isn’t as important as the polling in the upcoming states. A win in one state often creates momentum going forward into the next contests. Still a nine point lead in national polling is a substantial lead. I would not count out a candidate while that candidate is still the clear national front runner.



30 Comments
R voters view Gingrich as most electable?
Well, that just confirms an opinion about the R true believers…
Heads firmly planted in the nether regions. I read yesterday that Newt had a 60% thumbs down rating nationally.
Jon wrote: “Of course since presidential primary are a contest by contest fight spread over months, national standing isn’t as important as the polling in the upcoming states.”
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Newt’s problem, our salvation, is that most of the upcoming primaries are in states where Romney leads. I think the race will be over before Gingrich turns on his “kick”.
P.S. Noted republicans all over the nation are warning the party that a Gingrich nomination will result in an Obama victory in November…….or earlier.
63%……….in some polls
We can only hope the Newter-on-Willard action continues all the way to the convention. Such an eventuality would make for some stunningly fatuous comedy entertainment. And if Ron Paul is still a factor, we can throw a few renegade Paultards into the mix.
Get your popcorn now. Operators are standing by.
I want to see Gingrich get the nom with Paul for VP, then we can refer to them as the Newt-Ron Bomb.
Applauding madly! Nice to see you.
It WOULD be side-splitting entertainment shoudl this catfight continue at least until the summer. The courts have thrown out the Texas redistricting plan, AGAIN, so our presidential primary, will likely not be held until late May. Would ne nice if our primary meant something.
@ratfood….Newt-Ron Bomb…that’s a good one.
(((Twain)))
What better proof that Republicans are insane than to put up a candidate who doesn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell…
How’s Bob? Has he built a snowman this year?
The witch hunt that purged the GOP of moderates has left them with only unelectable candidates… unless the Dems screw up really bad, always a possibility.
Bob is super and says “Howdy.” We’ve hardly had any snow this year. So far it has been the mildest winter in my 50 years.
I like that. It would work very nicely on a bumper sticker, too…
Newt is already blowing up. He is poison. He can’t help but make himself into an ass.
Worse, a dishonest ass. No, wait, a hypocritical, dishonest ass. Oh, wait, a fat, hypocritical, dishonest ass.
And, most of you know me as being on the right side of ledger. I can’t stand the guy.
As far as I can see, Newt is Obama’s only route to re-election.
Do you suppose they’ll have Newt’s inauguration on the moon?
Off to run errands. Wishing a splendid evening to all.
Nice.
“unless the Dems screw up really bad, always a possibility.”
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MY grandpa always said, never put anything past the democrats. Even when the gun is in the holster, you can still shoot off a toe.
Headaline here locally says “Newt is still lying about lying.”.
If there are any Democrats out there who still want what they thought they were going to get from Obama, they should find a real person to replace him in the primary (as opposed to a sock puppet of the oligarchy). As for me, I’ll be spending my time on direct economic action, rather than cast a meaningless vote in a rigged game. See what I’m talking about at http://www.AreWeBozos.blogspot.com.
I see the loony left is alive and well. Politics is the art of the possible and Obama is all that stands between us and crypto-fascism.
For another update…there has been a request for Perry to reimburse the $$, alot, for the security while he traveled the Pres. circuit. He has said No, as he is representing TX wherever he goes…..Should we have to pay for what he represents? He may be delusional.
In truth, Republican voters are way too dumb to make informed decisions. They will vote for whoever the wingnut noise machine tells them to.
Shorter Litvak36, “down with crypto-fascism! up with crypto-fascism lite”!
Obama stands between us and crypto-fascism??? He’s a crypto-fascist himself in a very big way.
Obama: the softer, gentler crypto-facism.
This poll was taken between Jan 22 and Jan 24.
Three to five days ago? That’s a lifetime in politics.
MSNBC peddles this poll but fails to (verbally) point out that given the debate performances of the last couple of days, it’s pretty much outdated.
Gingrich, being basically full of hot air, will no doubt see his balloon continue to leak.
I say, $5 will get you $10 Romney wins by 11 points.
Everybody have a nice weekend. Tomorrow here in Houston, sunny and 68 degrees.
Yes, polls in general, but this one in particular, seem to be lagging (non) indicators when in comes to politics with so much volatility.
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I agree that Romney will likely win the Florida primary, and yes, Newt is probably done.
Have a nice weekend too.
Newt’s balloon is ready to burst. All it will take is one prick. Besides Newt I mean.