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A few of the recent polls of South Carolina still show Mitt Romney leading but there are strong signs that Newt Gingrich has gained some serious momentum after Romney’s poor debate performance this week. For example, the Marist poll, which shows Romney with a large 10 point lead, picked up a big shift in the last day of their polling. From Marist Poll:
As the Republican presidential candidates crisscross the Palmetto State in the days leading up to Saturday’s South Carolina primary, Mitt Romney leads Newt Gingrich, 34% to 24%, among likely Republican primary voters including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate based on interviews conducted on Monday and Tuesday.
Debates matter. Romney’s Monday lead of 15 percentage points over his closest competitor, Newt Gingrich, narrowed to 5 percentage points on Tuesday following Monday night’s debate.
Even with the higher margin of error for just one day of polling, that is still a substantial one day swing.
In addition, three polls with data from yesterday came out showing Gingrich with a small lead over Romney in South Carolina. A Rasmussen poll found Gingrich 33 percent to Romney 31 percent. An InsiderAdvantage poll found Gingrich 32 percent to Romney 29 percent. Finally, PPP found Gingrich leading 34 percent to Romney’s 28 percent in its polling from yesterday.
If Gingrich wins South Carolina he has the potential to shake up the race and cause the fight to drag on. It would probably allow him to claim the title of the Romney alternative.
It is important to remember that South Carolina is an extremely favorable place for Gingrich. If he can win in South Carolina it would show he might be able to win elsewhere. If Gingrich can’t win in South Carolina, though, it is hard to picture anywhere he could win.
While it is probably a must-win for Gingrich to prove he stands a chance, it isn’t for Romney. Even if Gingrich narrowly wins there, Romney still holds a big lead in Florida and the primary schedule for February favors Romney.
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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/01/19/rick-santorum-iowa-caucus-results-certified-_n_1215690.html
Also Perry is out of the race endorses Newt.
What is too small for a republic, but too big for an insane asylum, Alex? /s
The planet Newpitur is indeed immense, but composed mostly of gas. South Carolina (and Palin) can have him and keep him there very well (like Peter Peter Pumpkineater).
My guess is that all four of Perry’s votes will go to Mitt. :)
I still can’t figure out who I loathe more: GingRICH or RomRICH??
That said, I think loath Obama as much.
He’s the one person on the face of the earth to force me to pull the O lever.
Romney’s Monday lead of 15 percentage points over his closest competitor, Newt Gingrich, narrowed to 5 percentage points on Tuesday following Monday night’s debate.
You might be right in which case Newt is probably dead but even 3 points going to Newt might make him the new Anti Mitt and not Santorum.
This race is over unless either Newt or Santorum leave after South Carolina. But I think they will both stay in the hopes of proving worthy to be Mitt’s VP.
There are third party candidates to consider.
Much as my loathing for Newters knows no bounds, there really won’t be that much difference between Newt & Obama, either. Newt will be just as “controlled” by handlers as O is. Agree, however, that seeing Newter’s pasty ugly mug as POTUS does give some pause… ick ick ick…
GOP Worse case scenario Rick S gets Iowa, Mitt New Hampshire, Newt barely gets South Carolina no clear GOP winner all the GOP candidates have to spend tons of money to survive Super Tuesday this will drain the GOP donors.
Normally by now the GOP would have a clear front runner and who to give money to would be a sure bet. Normally the front runner would get a ton of money and the other guys would be fighting for second place with almost no money.
No clear front runner the GOP will likely have to keep doing debates because they will all feel they need an edge and given the crazy stuff they say at their debates to please the base the harder it will be for the eventual GOP front runner to get moderate votes.
McCain is slamming Newt – says his idea are “dangerous.” Huff Post reporting that Newt’s attacks on Mitt “reinforce the perception among top Republicans” that Newt is erratic and impulsive.
Can Newt Rope a dope through February going into Super Tuesday or does a Romney win in Florida settle it?
Wow
The Kabuki Theatre of the Absurd, pretend opposition continues.
AKA Veal Pen politics.
Let us see some stories about the real opposition here, can we?
Rocky Anderson- Jill Stein.
Gingrich would be in my trio of “Axis of Evil” except that it’s already full with Boehner, McConnell and Cantor.
..
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I guess I could expand that to four members, IF I had a motion from the floor, and a second.
I think you’re right, me too.
Of course, Perry would’ve done that. But, he be gone.
Everybody “thinks” that a Romney in SC AND in FL marks the end of the game. BUT, I doubt Gingrich agrees with that. IMO he will only drop out whe the money dries up.
I SECOND that emotion and add the term Four Horsemen of the Apocalypse.
Four Horses’ Asses of the Apocalypse is more like it. :-P
Well, in the ABC interview, his second wife (of 19 years), Marianne, just tore him a new asshole, as they say in South Carolina. :o)
I think that might get into the number of women who vote for him.
Living in Myrtle Beach, I’d add that I’ve seen a lot more yard-signs for Newt, than I have for Romney.
We’ll know in a couple of days.
Of Perry’s bailing and endorsing Gingrich; it must be horribly embarrassing to be an idiot peckerhead and not be able to get out of single-digits in the state where they practically invented idiot peckerhead-ism. :o)
Newt will remain in the race as long as his and Bibi Netanyahu’s sugar daddy, Adelson the Zionist, keeps providing funding.
I suspect that after tonight’s ABC Nightline, that Gingrih may suffer a “sag” in his polling numbers.
Marianne, you go girl.
I defer to you, I like your description a LOT better than mine.
All oppossed???……Motion carries.
The “Four Horses Asses of the Apocolypse” will be Gingrich, McConnell, Boehner, and Eric Cantor.
Now THAT’S how to run a country.
I gotta tell you. That surprises me. The Zionists usually have better judgement than that.
WHAT??? That’s not racist. Is it???
Perfect description for the four of them.
Direct democracy, and no photo ID required. No stinking voting machines, either.
That’s “teamwork”
Just got back from Pam’s place re Newt’s 2nd wife. Can’t wait to see teh Not Stephen Colbert SuperPAC ad attacking Newt.
Pass the popcorn and vote for Herman Cain.
“it must be horribly embarrassing to be an idiot peckerhead and not be able to get out of single-digits in the state where they practically invented idiot peckerhead-ism. :o)”
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I nominate THAT as the “Best Line of the Week”!!!
Second. Direct democracy. Moving right along.
Tonight’s gonna be a BAAAAD night for the Newtster.
Keith, Rachel, Ed, Stewart and Colbert…….. the laughter is gonna be deafening even out on the interstate.
You may think it’s funny now but once President Gingrich takes office he’ll remember the names of all of you who mock him. And then he’ll send Calista after you with carving knife in one hand and a Platos Retreat charge card application in the other.
As one of the GOPs great intellectuals he’s clearly the stern father America wants and needs. He will teach all you liberals what America really is.
I really need a good spanking. I admit it.
Calista’s your man!
Herman Cain is on CSPAN now! The hilarity never ends!
He’s pretty scary. Any relation to A. Coulter?
I agree, and here’s why.
Most Perry voters are “hair oriented”. Romney is the closeest candidate in that particular quality especially now that Huntsman is out.
Starting to get too weird, even for me. I don’t have to say that very often.
I gotta say that
‘Four assmen of the apocolypse’ rolls of the tongue a bit better.