At long last!  Today is finally the date of the New Hampshire primary.  People all over the state are currently going to the polls to vote on who they want to be the Republican Party’s presidential nominee. Here is a look at the current state of the race.

The final set of polls in New Hampshire all agree that Mitt Romney has a huge double digit lead over the rest of the field. The last day of the Suffolk University tracking poll has Romney well ahead, Ron Paul in second and Huntsman ending close behind.

Mitt Romney ……………………………. 37%
Ron Paul ………………………………… 18%
Jon Huntsman …………………………. 16%
Rick Santorum …………………………. 11%
Newt Gingrich ………………………….. 9%
Rick Perry ………………………………. 1%
Buddy Roemer …………………………. 1%
Fred Karger ……………………………… 0%
Undecided (DO NOT READ) ………….. 7%

The WMUR poll (PDF) has Romney doing better and Huntsman only tied for third with a stalled out Santorum.

Mitt Romney………….. 41%
Ron Paul………………. 17%
Jon Huntsman………… 11%
Rick Santorum………… 11%
Newt Gingrich…………. 8%
Rick Perry……………… 1%
Buddy Roemer……….. 1%
Someone else…………. 1%
Don’t Know…………… 8%

The Final PPP poll of the race mostly agrees with Suffolk. It also has Huntsman almost tied for second with Paul.

Mitt Romney……………………………. 35%
Ron Paul ……………………………….. 18%
Jon Huntsman…………………………. 16%
Newt Gingrich ………………………….. 12%
Rick Santorum……………………………. 11%
Buddy Roemer…………………………… 3%
Rick Perry ………………………………… 1%
Someone else/Not sure ………………… 4%

Probably the two big unknowns going into the night will be:

  1. How large will Romney’s lead be? Will his “I like being able to fire people” gaffe reinforce the negative Bain narrative to reduce his margin of victory enough to make him look vulnerable in South Carolina?
  2. Who will take second? Ron Paul has been second in almost all the polling but only by a very small margin.  Now there is some indication Huntsman is getting a small amount of late traction. Huntsman’s campaign has focused almost exclusively on New Hampshire. I wouldn’t be surprised if that pays off here by him slightly exceeding expectations.

Please leave your predictions for the night in the comment section.