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There are now two more polls, in addition to the two polls released last weekend, showing that Newt Gingrich has the lead in the Iowa Caucus. The PPP poll finds Gingrich with a nine point lead over second place Ron Paul. From PPP:
Newt Gingrich has taken the lead in PPP’s newest poll of Iowa Republican caucus voters with 27% to 18% for Ron Paul, 16% for Mitt Romney, 13% for Michele Bachmann, 9% for Rick Perry, 6% for Rick Santorum, 4% for Jon Huntsman, and 1% for Gary Johnson.
Gingrich has gained 19 points since PPP’s last poll of the race in early October. Also showing momentum are Paul whose support is up 8% and Bachmann whose support is up 5%. Romney has dropped 6 points since then with the other candidates mostly standing in place.
The Washington Post-ABC News poll finds that Gingrich has a 15 point lead in Iowa among likely caucus goers. From ABC News:
Given these views, 33 percent of likely Republican caucus-goers currently favor Gingrich for the GOP nomination, with 18 percent apiece for Romney and Paul. Rick Perry garners 11 percent support; Michele Bachmann, 8; Rick Santorum, 7; and Jon Huntsman, 2 percent.
In addition to these two polls, a third poll from CBS News/New York Times has even more good news for Gingrich. The poll finds that Republicans in Iowa believe Gingrich is the most electable of the nominees, barely edging out Romney. From CBS News:
In a CBS News/New York Times poll released Tuesday, 31 percent of likely Iowa caucus-goers said Gingrich had the best chance among the current GOP field to defeat President Barack Obama in 2012. Twenty-nine percent said Romney had the best chance.
All other candidates polled in the single-digits on the electability question: Texas Gov. Rick Perry with 9 percent, Rep. Ron Paul with 6 percent, Rep. Michele Bachmann with 3 percent, and both John Huntsman and Rick Santorum with 1 percent.
The electability argument is one of the best arguments Mitt Romney’s campaign has. If the GOP base actually thinks Gingrich stands a better chance of winning a general election, Romney could be in real trouble and not just in Iowa.
Things are looking surprisingly good for Gingrich right now.
20 Comments
Does Gingrich have a ground operation, to get supporters to the caucus? Does it matter?
Newts perfect, a lying scheming fraud, what’s not to like?
Hypocrisy and moral relativism among the cornfields. The Tiffany’s card-carrying flip-flopping serial cad is the most electable, so they abandon their vaunted “principles”.
re: masaccio
All the accounts I’ve read are that Gingrich’ ground operations are totally messed up since they imploded in the summer, which could create unexpected problems actually delivering in caucus states. It’s a pretty sad (typed while laughing wildly) comment on the degree to which Romney is distrusted in Republican circles that despite that, Gingrich’ “retail” campaign wuth very little local presence or spending so far has him way ahead of Romney.
Might be a very amusing meltdown in Romney’s campaign if he really loses big time in Iowa.
Here it is.
I hope he gets the nod from repug controllers before Nancy Pelosi opens up that little vial of newt’s secrets.
I think you mistakenly released a picture of the upcoming debate moderated by the Donald…
Great one thanks.
Oh BTW, found this when looking up Nancy’s remarks. Good reading (I don’t have time, job search and all).
funny, I think mitt can get some reagan democrats and undecided voting for him, gingrich can’t, gingrich can get the religious right voting for him, mitt can’t
so which one is more electable?
I don’t really care, whoever it is will do far less damage then obama so I’m rooting for whoever they pick, I might even volunteer in the local campaign office
check this out from think progress;
the rich sure loves them some obama doesn’t they?
and why not?…he is the biggest proponent for redistributing middle class assets they could possibly hope
While I agree with you re: Mr. Magic Underpants, I don’t think Newtie gets a free ride from the fundies, either.
After all, every time he shows up with his (current) wife is a reminder of his serial adultery, which is hardly a ‘family value’.
From http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/kakistocracy:
kak·is·toc·ra·cy /
Government by the worst persons; a form of government in which the worst persons are in power.
——————————————————————————–
Origin:
1820–30; < Greek kákisto ( s ), superlative of kakós bad + -cracy
The Iowa polls are coming fast and furious. Mitt will get squeezed out between the Libertarians and the Bible Thumpers. The Thumpers are divided so I expect Ron Paul to carry the day. Iowans are relatively sane and homogeneous but caucus goers can be pretty weird. Check out the results from 1988. I was there for Bob Dole trying to prevent Pat Robertson from winning my State.
1988 – Bob Dole (37%), Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush (19%), Jack Kemp (11%), and Pierre DuPont (7%)
ROTFLOL Wow, STTP, you are a true comedian, and I am laughing so hard at your joke!
In all seriousness, do you REALLY think the fundies “care” that Gingrich is a serial adulterer, who cheated on his wives, unceremoniously dumped at least wife #1 whilst coming out from under sedation from breast cancer surgery, and currently sports Trophy #3 whilst showering her with Tiffany jewels purchased from YOUR tax dollah$$$ via his ill-gotten gains????
You REALLY think TeaGOPers are “upset” by this???? Not so much.
You must be suffering from amnesia and forgetting the First Commandment: IOKIYAR. My mega-fundie TeaGOPer family members will hesitate not one instant to pull the lever for Gingrich, whilst at the same moment RANTING about Clinton & Monica. So there!
My parents live in Iowa. They usually vote Republican, but I was surprised to hear that they both are backing Newt Gingrich. Nothing I point out about his sliminess in the past makes any difference to them. That’s normal though.
Interestingly, they are Faux News devotees. They watch no other news channels (local or cable) and they do not read any magazines or newspapers.
I don’t ever watch it myself (no cable TV, thank you) but given that my parents get their only information from this “news” channel and given that they would never question or think critically about the so-called information they consume from Faux News, I suspect that Newt Gingrich leads in polls only because Faux News has hand picked him to win the nomination and are brainwashing their drones to move towards “choosing” Gingrich.
foxfetish, don’t feel alone. Your parents’ information-gathering habits mirror identically that of millions in all corners of the country.
“I don’t think Newtie gets a free ride from the fundies….”
Newt’s not perfect, just forgiven.
Bingo! It *appeared* to me that the PTB kinda-sorta wanted Magic Undies Mitt to be the “candidate,” but I guess their market research showed that Mitt just wasn’t gonna be elect-able by a huge swath of the TeaGOPer voters. Hence, the PTB turned to the next best candidate, and et voila: Newticles is here to save the day. Fake Noise has been predictably and reliably dictating to their
Pavlovianviewers that Newt has “suitably atoned” for his “transgressions” (and ONLY Republicans can “suitably atone;” no Democrats EVER can under ANY circumstances). So, most TeaGOPers will *blissfully* pull the lever for Newt because: IOKIYAR.The power of propoganda can never be underestimated. I’m not joking when I say that my fundie family members praise Newt to the high heavens, while in the same breath continue RANT about Clinton. I hear it all the time.
Mind you, I’m not a huge Clinton fan. Merely pointing out the cognitive dissonance and typical TeaGOPer hypocritical double standards.
I called Newt for Republican nominee nearly two months ago. It was and remains so obvious to me.
What is also painfully obvious to me is that Obummer is going to be re-elected regardless of the Repug candidate. The MOTU already have their man in place. Obama is much more dangerous to us because he has Dem cover for Rep policies.
Yup, they always do.
I do not know of any principle a conservative will stand by; never seen one in my sometimes deep involvement with, and always-intense, close observations of American politics these last 35 – 45 years.
They will abandon all principle and close ranks behind whomever.
It should not be forgotten that McCain and Sarah got 47% of the popular vote in 2008. Word, I says.
Gingrich’s little brush with success will end up just like “Balloon Boy”. It will get lots of press for a short time as if it’s a real story, but in the end people will see Spewt as the FRAUD he really is.