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President Obama’s prospects for being able to stay in the White House have improved slightly, according to the most recent NBC/WSJ poll.
In their August poll they found that Obama was losing to a generic Republican. At that time 40 percent ofregisteredd voters said they would vote for Obama, while 44 percent said they would probably choose the Republican nominee. In a head to head match up against Mitt Romney, Obama led by only a single point.
Now in the most recent poll Obama is both winning the generic question and has a statistically significant lead over Romney. In the generic question 45 percent say they would likely vote to re-elect Obama, while only 42 percent said they would probably vote for the Republican. In a head to head match up against Romney, Obama now leads 49-43 percent.
Obama hit his re-election polling low in August, which is the same time the country’s Economic Confidence number took a significant dip according to Gallup’s measurement. The American public’s opinions about the state of the economy have improved modestly since August, and so have Obama’s re-election poll numbers. It’s another reminder how much the 2012 election will pivot on the economy.
35 Comments
The republican goat rodeo and their compulsive pandering to the flat-earth bible zombies is scaring the living shit out of a lot of people.
It’s Obama’s only hope.
When the chickens start landing next year, I don’t think it will be enough.
This is well-said.
Headline should read “Slightly,” not “Slighty.” Please correct, then delete this post.
If you want to have a real election, instead of just another fake puppet-show (with no real change), then register as Independent or Republican now and vote for Ron Paul as the GOP nominee.
Ron Paul is in fact the only progressive choice here (unlike oBOMBa).
Watch this Interview below, and learn how Ron Paul will protect Social Security and Medicare for the elderly (unlike Obama and his hand-picked, elitist catfood advisors).
Watch this Interview here: Ron Paul cuts Trillions, Stops Wars, and still protects Social Security & Medicare
This guy Ron Paul has the best program.
And Obama ain’t even close!
Ron Paul is not pro-choice and thinks it would be a good idea to get rid of gov’t agencies such as the FAA, FDA, etc. He appears to believe that if you want your street paved you should do it yourself. Sound good to you? Not me.
You are funny.
Paul has some decent ideas, and he also has some shitty ideas.
Basically, I’m not going to support anyone until they’re willing to take on the job of reminding the american people that “big government” is what made this country, with all of it’s flaws, still one of the best on the planet. No more.
Obama could be beating the republicans senseless with their attacks on SS and medicare and government regulation of big bidness. (which has all but disappeared, since Reagan convinced the voters that what was wrong with america was that the the big, bad, federal government was fucking over poor little Wall Street.)
Someone IN POWER has to start ripping that bullshit out by the roots.
BTW: Abe Lincoln and the newly born republican party were the essence of big government, when they destroyed the southern aristocracy that was a cancer on the country.
This very factual statement trumps this opinion:
As I have stated before, I know Obama is as popular as head lice around here, but who is gonna survive the GOP “goat rodeo” and beat him?
King Chaos might see his numbers improve if he would support the people instead of throwing them under the bus at every turn. Even with OWS the president and congress still don’t get it. He needs to tell the jokers that are called advisors to shut up and listen to the needs of the people. Also, when was 51% not a majority?
Assuming you’re not posting tongue-in-cheek, outside of Ron Paul’s speeches and debate performances, are you familiar with the basics of the political philosophy he subscribes. ‘Libertarian’ is a fun word. It has a very much intended and visceral connection with the term ‘liberty,’ which can never be bad, right? It’s not like the concepts of liberty, democracy, equality, and their relationships could ever give rise to tensions or have contradictory and mutually exclusive aims, right?
There’s a more precise, less buddy-buddy term for the beliefs Ron Paul and his son subscribe to: market anarchism. In a market anarchist’s ideal world, we live in a radical state of nature, i.e. the kind of environment in which Hobbes said our lives would be “nasty, brutish, and short.” Let’s say your home is burning down, all your valuables are in the home, and you have no means to pay anyone to put out the fire. People like the Pauls would say it’s all right for your home to be left to burn to cinders. Likewise, as a recent GOP debate showed, if you were involved in a horrible accident of suddenly became ill and did not have the means to pay for treatment upfront, people like the Pauls would be perfectly okay with letting you die a completely preventable painful and early death on the streets.
Ron Paul and Rand Paul, in other words, are not “progressive.” They are heralds and representatives of the most loathsome and regressive factions of conservatism, they merely know how to present it in a charitably vague way to the masses. This is why Rand Paul becomes very visibly angry whenever someone has the bad manners to ask him specific, detailed questions about what he believes during election years. He knows he has two choices: let the facade drop and reveal himself for what he really is or avoid the question awkwardly.
Saw a poll yesterday and Newt is now more popular than Perry! If that doesn’t give you a pain, nothing will. Mitt will be the nominee even if Rove has to kidnap the others.
He might protect the elderly but he wants to abolish it down the road and I am fighting for my wife and kids.
True. A crazy GOP nominee is really Obama’s only hope, and he knows it.
He can’t run on his shitty record, that’s for sure.
Bingo! I have said this from the start. He is the only shot at the WH the R’s have. Having said that it really doesn’t matter who is president both are corporate parties.
Agreed, and therein lies the GOP problem.
Mr. 23 to 25% isn’t gonna fire up the Christian base like they need him to because they don’t perceive him as one of them, end of story.
But then, the liberal base isn’t very fired up, either (for good reason).
No, s/he’s not posting tongue-in-cheek. Can you say Paulite troll?
Great description of the Paulite ideology, by the way. Thanks.
Romney is a serial panderer/flip flopper, but compared to the others, he’s not that crazy looking. He’s the only real shot the GOP has.
The Vichycrats will use K-Y jelly and the Regressives won’t. That’s the difference.
I like it rough sometimes. *g*
If the lowered gas prices stay, Obama’s chances are improved.
Does anyone know what happened to Obama opening up the strategic oil reserves? He did that in June and the gas prices went down dramatically in weeks. Are they still open or accessible? I never heard anything about them closing afterwards, and can’t find any followthrough after the opening.
Dear STTP, I hope you don’t think that in 6-8 months, Obama’s numbers are going to still be in the mid-40′s.
You don’t really think that, do you? Because, if you do, then you need to explain how he’s going to hang even at that level, with unemployment still high, and with the reality of an unoccupied Iraq staring him in the face.
That “relativity” thing works both ways. The worse Obama looks, the better Romney will look. And that relativity is the one that I think we’ll be seeing.
“End of story…”
Not even close.
The republican zombie-right will do what they always do; yowl and screech and then Romney will win in the primaries and then give them some rant time at the convention. Along with a few flat-earth planks of not much consequence.
After that, they will fall in line.
One caveat: If it turns out that Romney, for example, has a wandering Dick, and that throws everything back to square one, then anything goes, and I personally believe that even Palin could decide to jump in.
As Janeane says:
“A crazy gop nominee is really Obama’s only hope, and he knows it.”
The real powers in the GOP know it too, and while I’m sure they’ve been delighted to find out that they have a kindred spirit, with the democrat in the White House, and they’re skittish about having ANY republican take office to catch the shit from 8 years of BushCo idiocy, and one term of Obama’s sustaining so much of it, I still think they’ll want to grab the opportunity to have locks on the board with which Obama has so generously presented them.
I’m not saying this is “confirmed”, but my sources tell me Rove recently purchased 3 black vans.
I agree 00%. The only non-crazies are Romney and Huntsman. HUntsman is back down to 1% in the polls. What a shame. Have you seen his three hot daughters?
Probably not as “relevant” to you Janeane as to me.
If I may ask my learned colleagues……..
DO you think some powers in the GOP have orchestrated this Bialek woman’s story. Granted, putting your hand under a woman’s skirt “heading for her gernitals”, would be the only reason to BE there and that would be the most reasonable destination. But really??????? It all sounds waaaay over the line, even for a womanizer.
SHOULD be 100%
You guys don’t get it.
Obama is a Republicans best friend.
Obama has 6 Wars going on, the very highest Military budget in all of American history (exceeding Bush-Cheney), and loves the random bloodshed of Drone bombs, and police-state tactics. He has extened the Patriot Act, made Human Torture officially unprosecutable (legal behavior), and has pursued the power to assassinate American citizens.
Obama gave you more Tricke-down economics, and he gave you Bankster Bailouts for the 1%.
Ron Paul would:
1. Stop all the Wars
2. Stop the CIA murder, and lawlessness
3. Stop the automated Drone bloodshed
4. Restore Human Liberties and the 4th amendment
5. Terminate all the Patriot Act abuses
6. Terminate the Police-State abuses and militarism.
7. Balance the budget without destroying benefits for the elderly
8. End NAFTA and these Trade Deals for the 1%-ers that gut American jobs
9. Audit the Federal Reserve, and cut its power to endlessly dilute our currency.
10. End the Drug Wars
11. Legalize Marijuana
12. Give us a U.S. Treasury Secretary that does not come from GOldman Sachs.
13. Let the corrupt Banks die off (instead of legalizing the corruption with our tax dollars).
14. Not lie to the American public
____
If you people are so hung-up on faux-liberalism and meaningless political party labels to see that this is not a more progressive and more positive set of policies than the existing status-quo treachery and global warfare that we have now with Obama .. then you’re blind as a bat.
Doing those 12 things above would be truly Revolutionary, and it would make our Country a successfully functioning Republic, and a respectable Nation again.
You guys don’t get it.
Obama is a Republicans best friend.
Obama has 6 Wars going on, the very highest Military budget in all of American history (exceeding Bush-Cheney), and loves the random bloodshed of Drone bombs, and police-state tactics. He has extened the Patriot Act, made Human Torture officially unprosecutable (legal behavior), and has pursued the power to assassinate American citizens.
Obama gave you more Tricke-down economics, and he gave you Bankster Bailouts for the 1%.
Ron Paul would:
1. Stop all the Wars
2. Stop the CIA murder, and lawlessness
3. Stop the automated Drone bloodshed
4. Restore Human Liberties and the 4th amendment
5. Terminate all the Patriot Act abuses
6. Terminate the Police-State abuses and militarism.
7. Balance the budget without destroying benefits for the elderly
8. End NAFTA and these Trade Deals for the 1%-ers that gut American jobs
9. Audit the Federal Reserve, and cut its power to endlessly dilute our currency.
10. End the Drug Wars
11. Legalize Marijuana
12. Give us a U.S. Treasury Secretary that does not come from GOldman Sachs.
13. Let the corrupt Banks die off (instead of legalizing the corruption with our tax dollars).
14. Not lie to the American public
____
If you people are so hung-up on faux-liberalism and meaningless political party labels to see that this is not a more progressive and more positive set of policies than the existing status-quo treachery and global warfare that we have now with Obama .. then you’re blind as a bat.
Doing those 12 things above would be truly Revolutionary, and it would make our Country a successfully functioning Republic, and a respectable Nation again.
I never had much doubt that Obama would win in 2012 even last August when he was at his lowest in the polls. Obama will win by between 6 and 9 points but the big question will be,can we get rid of the crypto fascist Rethuglican Hose?
Um, on #14, you’re aware that Rand and Ron Paul lie to the public pretty much all the time, right? (Lies of omission are, in fact, lies.) The only difference between them is polish. When someone tries to get Ron to discuss the less popular and easily consumed aspects of his views–the whole “I’m cool with children dying of preventable illnesses, starvation, and exposure en masse in the streets” aspect of it–he gets the old folksy charm going and everyone laughs, the question is dropped, and they move on. When someone does the same thing to Rand, he simply flips the fuck out and has a tantrum on set. They NEVER willingly openly discuss the entirety of their views in public, largely because they’re just smart enough to realize most people would become physically ill when confronted with what a sitting Representative and Senator believe about the welfare of their fellow citizens.
How can his numbers not improve? Guys like Herman Cain that speak ‘hood language’ “Do dis and do dat” people are running to Obama.Cains english would do real well while he is talking to the French or Chinese. ” Mr’ President what do you plan on doing”? ” Well let me tell ya all this, We gona do dis and we gona dat”.
No, the welfare of our citizens has never been worse then it is right now under Obomney and the Establishment order. 50 million Americans live in poverty, while we waste Trillions of dollars overseas (on genocidal policies World Empire policies that literally kill millions of people).
You simply don’t understand. Ron Paul is not an austerity freak like Obama and the GOP establishment. He is for going after the big robber barons (The corrupt Central Bank Monopoly that systemmatically dilutes the value of our money regardless of who is in power, and Wall Street Banks) and going after the War Establishment.
They are the real controllers and the rulers of our Country. If he were to pull the mask off of these Orwellian fraudsters and murderes, and restore true honest free-market behavior (rather than the corrupt crony capitalism that we have today), that would do more to generate jobs, restore the value of the dollar, and revitalize our Country than anything we have seen in the last 50 years.
Obomney will never change anything, or challenge that power. He will happily preside over the bankruptcy and mass poverty of our own people in order to preserve the Empire, and keep the controllers happy. He will take down Social Security and get away with it because Democrats always will fall in line with a “Democratic” President (as they have with Wars which have not truthfully ended).
Think: Even if Ron Paul were to go too far on social security, then the Democrats would block him (unlike with Obomba who they will not oppose for ‘party’ reasons). On the other hand, Ron Paul likes to work with progressive Denmorats on ending the Wars, civil liberties, ending NAFTA, legalizing marijuana. etc. and seeks out those political alliances.
Those are the alliances that we need now. Obama surrounds himself with Neocons and WallStreet insiders, and bans progressives from having a seat as his table.
But Ron Paul works enthusiastically with progressives (people like Dennis Kucinich who Obomney hates), and old-school, honest free-market republicans to create peace, stop corporatism/fasicsm, and advance human liberties, and stop the police-state.
I call that a whole lot better than what we are getting today!
by at least 10 points