This graph from the Pew Research Center is one of the most interesting I have seen in awhile. It shows that in 2004 Democrats started developing a modest edge with young voters but in 2008 under Obama that youth advantage exploded and Obama, for the most part, has managed to hold onto that edge so far this cycle. From Pew:
Not since 1972 has generation played such a significant role in voter preferences as it has in recent elections. Younger people have voted substantially more Democratic in each election since 2004, while older voters have cast more ballots for Republican candidates in each election since 2006. A new Pew Research Center study suggests this pattern may well continue in 2012. Millennial voters are inclined to back President Barack Obama by a wide margin in a potential matchup against former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney, while Silent generation voters are solidly behind Romney. Baby Boomers and Generation X voters, who are the most anxious about the uncertain economic times, are on the fence about a second term for Obama.
This new strong Democratic preference among young voters is why in the past few years we have seen state Republican parties make very aggressive pushes for more restrictive voting rules in the name of stopping “voter fraud.” In the past two years the GOP has passed new laws in Wisconsin, Maine, Kansas, and Florida that will make it harder for young adults to vote. The GOP has also tried but failed to pass similar laws in several other states. The laws often impede young college age adults who tend to move much more often so they don’t always have a current state-based IDs and need to re-register often. Back in the 90′s having election laws that made it marginally easier for young college age people to register and vote had only a relatively small impact on elections, but with this huge partisan age gap any real increase or decrease in youth turnout can have a significant impact.




54 Comments
Someone should show this to former President McGovern!
The way things are going, it’s hard to understand why.
Young Voters don’t tend to vote as often as older voters same with minority voters. That is until Obama however Obama may still poll higher than the GOP but he does not generate the same level of enthusiasm as he did last time.
What is interesting is that the GOP is not trying to win young or minority voters. Nixon won on a secret plan to end the wars and peace with honor. I doubt Mitt can win by promising more war.
I got doubts repealing bank regulation will drive voters to the GOP.
If the GOP and Dems won’t talk about creating jobs and saving homes a third party will.
The GOP candidates won’t talk about creating jobs they talk about tax cuts and cutting government regulation instead. After 8 years of Bush and 2 years of Obama doing that exact same thing nobody believes tax cuts will create jobs.
Bless the young and the ever-hopeful.
Very peculiar graph without the Y-axis.
How is this a surprise? As though youth would dare associate with the bible-thumping Amway crowd.
McGovern was and remains an honorable man. Considering the aftermath of the that election, voters in ’72 exercised very poor judgement.
In other news the Chicago Board of Trade dumps McDonald’s job applications on Occupy Chicago protesters.
Class act.
Aren’t they, though? These are the same folks who had “We Are the 1%” signage in their windows a couple weeks back.
It’s interesting that this seems isolated to Chicago. Wonder why.
I missed that one.
However, in a welcome moment of karma, a friend emailed me a chart today showing that hedge funds are performing poorly as a group this year.
Rahm’s undoubtedly behind it. *g*
That could be the name of our new third party…The Honorable Party?
This could be a throwback to when being labeled ethical was a compliment. My comment was intended to highlight that Obama could lose (as did McGovern) even with such a majority of the youth vote.
My son just turned 18 and he and all his friends seem to be most interested in Paul right now. If a third party candidate arose from or supporting the OWS movement I think this poll would be quite different as many young voters would be voting for the Honorable candidate.
Why would the GOP want to win over younger voters when all they have to offer is a bleak future of low paying jobs and a race to the bottom with Third World countries? When these college kids get out of school and into the work force they will remember that it was the GOP that tried to surpress their vote. Demographics aren’t in the GOP’s favor, hence the voter suppression and the self protective gerrymandering of congressional districts from GOP state controlled legislatures. It’s a rear guard action forestalling the inevitable.
Just saw a stat that said 600,000 people signed up with Credit Unions in 2010. 650,000 have signed up in the last month.
It’s moving along at a nice pace.
I saw the name Civiltarian floated as the name for a third party. Imagine that.
“Very peculiar graph without the Y-axis.”
Thanks SOO much. I was wondering why I was having trouble reading that graph.
OTOH, I’m colorblind, so, I can’t read MOST graphs.
Either that, or toxins from Lake Michigan are making people act funny.
This is the third taunt by those classy Chicago traders.
How about:
Civilcratic….Civilpublican….Civiltarian…..Patriocratic…One nation, under God, indivisible, with lberty and justice for all party.
That last one might be hard to get on the stationery, especially the business cards
Pretty damn soon, the banks are gonna have to start giving out toasters again. And I mean the four-slice model.
There a website I found that argued that Rahm & O had an affair. That might splain both why 1%ers are behaving badly in Chicago & why O won’t come out in support of OWS.
Isn’t that where Santelli is? The one who did the rant about how the bursting of the housing bubble was caused by poor blacks who had borrowed irresponsibly.
And Saturday is the big day.
I agree but then they can look forward to old age with no SS to fall back on and they can thank our Prez for that.
Patriocratic will never fly. Because of the Patriot Act, the word patriot will forever have negative connotations.
Knew some traders when I lived in Chicago and a more craven, slimey lot could be found.
“Rahm & O had an affair”
Wonder who was on top.
Made in China, very poor toast. Banks should give away something made in America to repair their image, How about a free copy of The Bank Customers Bill of Rights*
* free copy when enrolled in fee protection program $12.99/mo.
Yeah, the so called rant herd round the world. What a despicable lot.
Thats really scary.
It would appear that a generation of young people are addicted to a corrupt politician and a corrupt political party…
And they appear to have been brainwashed into believing that there actually is a difference between the two parties.
I’ve spent enough time for now googling about in conspiracy sites, so if you want an answer, you’ll have to google for yourself.
“Banks should give away something made in America”
..
I can’t think of ANYTHING made in America except Edelbrock Perfomance automotive products. I just bought a new aluminum intake setup.
That is one piece of information I hope I never learn.
I don’t want to be a “pest” but…………are we gonna get a “Y” axis???
Yes, I “learned” a lot of stuff I never wanted to know.
OK, how about the other 4???? :-)
Hey, eCAHN — O/T, but I wanted to be sure you saw this:
The credit card companies are sitting on OWS donations
That’s pretty freakin’ disgusting.
But not surprising in the slightest in this corp run govt.
On edit: I sarcastically suggested on a thread awhile ago that OWS should set up a hawala type system. Looking like a better & better idea.
I don’t know cars and I don’t know what that is but I would open a checking account if they were giving them away.
This is very depressing news. I expected the young to hold Obama to his campaign promises. Seems as if they buy the lines that the Republicans are obstructing him, that they obstructed him during the first two years of his presidency when the Democrats held both houses of Congress and the then very popular BO could have very effectively used the bully pulpit for rallying public support of pending legislation, that his invasion of Libya was made for a reason other than to control that country’s wealth, that he couldn’t close Gitmo, that he must prosecute whistle blowers because they endanger rather than help, etc. Don’t they remember when candidate Obama said he would free the U.S. from the “tyranny of oil”? And now he won’t even rule out the Tar Sands project. I really thought they were smarter than this.
My son is young and he cannot abide BO. Of course, he couldn’t stand him in 2008 either. Rather than Paul, he would support someone who actually acted like a Democrat of old. He understands the need for social safety nets and the lie of the “free” market.
Correction: proper quote: “Let’s be the generation that finally frees America from the tyranny of oil”
Elections are fig leaves on naked elite rule.
Obama is to Truman as Perry is to Buckley
Ahh-ha! A fellow racer/car enthusiast in our midst! Great!
Nice to have a fellow “carguy” here. I got a fully restored ’78 Silver Anniversary Corvette I show, AND drive regularly. But,I’m not a “corvette” guy. (Some Corvette guys are assholes) I’m a fan of all 50′s-70′s American classic and muscle cars.
You mean having that old fuckstick smoking in Cain’s ad did not appeal to the youngs. Are you telling me the threat of Sharia Law is not taking hold. Is Newt not the biggest BoneDaddy of them all. Huh? Can’t Rick Santorum seal the deal with closeted gays? I thought Cain was kinda Kanye like, NO? Damn I’m all messed up.
Well, he better do well with young voters. This voter will be 61 in 2012 and if he thinks she’s going to vote for the guy who wants to raise the Medicare eligibility age to 67 he’s smoking something illegal.
Meanwhile, Rahm pushes for tax breaks for the Chicago Mercantile Exchange. http://www.chicagobusiness.com/section/multimedia?project=Chicago%20Business%20Today&title=Tax%20breaks%20for%20CME%2C%20CBOE%3F
I’m so embarrassed that friends voted for him because he’s “sexy” and swears a lot. Such a a large percentage of our population that wants to sit at the feet of aristocrats and worship them. Makes me think I should just focus on my job in the castle and ignore the serfs if they’re going to be all hero-worshippy anyway.
They had better show up in big numbers and vote. They need to vote not just for Obama but oust every republican they can from the House of Reps and Senate.
Hopefully they’ll understand that they will have no future if they vote for the corrupt and compromising Dems and Obama again. There is time for them to wake up.
Obama is part of the problem, not part of the solution. I voted for him, and it is the only vote I’ve ever regreted making. I won’t be making that mistake again; I don’t care who the Rethugs run.