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Since the 2010 Republican wave election, voters have started turning against the Congressional Republicans and are now more inclined to vote for Democratic candidates for Congress. According to the latest poll from Gallup, among registered voters Democrats now lead the generic Congressional ballot. From Gallup:
The seven-percentage-point edge for Democratic congressional candidates, nationally, contrasts with ties or Republican leads in most Gallup polls leading up to the 2010 midterm elections. However, the Democratic advantage is not as large as those they enjoyed in the 2006 and 2008 congressional election cycles — each of which produced a Democratic majority in Congress. The Democrats averaged a 10-point lead over Republicans among registered voters in the year prior to the 2008 elections and an 11-point advantage leading up to the 2006 elections, with individual polls showing them ahead by as much as 23 points.
Because Republican leaning individuals tend to turn out in higher percentages, Democrats need a strong majority among registered voters to win even a slim majority among people who actually show up to vote.
The numbers would indicate at this particular moment Democrats would likely make serious gains in the House but probably not enough to take back control. Still, there is a long time until the election and a lot can happen. For example, once the Republican Party has a Presidential nominee that individual could play a significant role in shaping voters’ impressions of the entire party.
The good news for Democrats is that Gallup and Public Policy Polling (PPP) both confirm that since the 2010 election the electorate has been trending steadily away from the Congressional GOP. If this continues for the next year, there is at least the possibility that Nancy Pelosi could take back the Speaker’s office.
19 Comments
Nancy Pelosi: Worst. Speaker. Ever.
Really, is the answer more Democrats or better representation for progressives — which seems impossible from Democrats. Party doesn’t matter.
Could someone please explain what is the purpose of electing more Democrats if they act similarly to the Democrats in office now, e.g., proposing cuts to Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security and other programs intended to help the most vulnerable and powerless members of society?
Yep. A Democratic majority is essentially meaningless at present.
Am I reading Daily Kos? I don’t come to FDL for meaningless horse-race updates.
This is great! If this plays out we could end up with a Dem president, Dem house and Dem senate. Think of what great things could get done.
Oh, wait.
Premature Capitulation: Democrats Unable to Satisfy their Political Lovers
Can we get Democrats a few thousand tubs of lily-liver desensitizing cream, please? They capitulate at even the suggestion of actual teabagger contact. God forbid they would stand for something …
Article:
Premature Capitulation
Christ on His Throne!
Stop paying unemployment benefits to the 99ers as the economy double dips? Smart policy, Rep McCaskill./s
Is this supposed to be good news?
Honestly, if there’s one thing proven beyond a reasonable doubt with the 2006 (2008) election of a Dem Congres (President) is that it doesn’t make one damn bit of difference.
So your 2012 choice is: which set of whores do you want screwing you for the next 2 years on behalf of the oligarchy?
Watch out!!! Make your choice carefully!
… the difference being that the D’s use lube and expect you to enjoy being screwed.
“I’m getting that ‘deja vu’ feeling all over again.”
Yogi Berra
(The baseball player, not the bear)
She is a Blue Dog whore I will do everything I can to make sure she doesn’t get re-elected.
The WPA focused on tangible improvements: During its 8 year tenure, workers constructed 651,087 miles of roads, streets and highways; and built, repaired or refurbished 124,031 bridges, 125,110 public buildings, 8,192 parks, and 853 landing fields. In addition, workers cleaned slums, revived forests, and extended electrical power to rural locations.
I doubt they could get the environmental studies done in 8 years today, before they could lay a brick.
This could be a verrry interesting developoment. Replacing the “party of no” with the “party of can’t”.
Ridley turtles and black-spotted, yellow-breasted warblers probably nesting in the middle of each and every damn project. Not to mention indian burial grounds. You’re right, no WPA or CCC this decade.
Not to mention, a local project – the SH 121/Southwest Parkway – is 27 miles of road that is projected to cost $1.7B.
Just building the 650,000 miles of WPA roads using todays dollars would cost $41T. Where’s that money coming from?
There’s really no need to use the term “whore”. Do you use the word nigger to describe black people you don’t like?
In another poll “ham sandwich” takes modest lead over Democrat and Republican in generic Congressional race.
Right. So the Dems have a lead in the polls.
Big Fucking Deal!!
It’s good news that we may get a Dem controlled House and Senate to join in Zero’s sellouts to Wall Street and Pete Peterson?
Please, whatever the bad news is, I don’t wanna hear it.