Mitt Romney currently has a small two point lead over President Obama in Pennsylvania according to the most recent poll by Quinnipiac. The lead is within the polls margin of error but Pennsylvania is a state that tends to lean slightly Democratic in Presidential elections. Romney is the only Republicans that would beat Obama if the election were held today. From Quinnipiac:

  • Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney with 44 percent to Obama’s 42 percent;
  • Former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum with 43 percent to Obama’s 45 percent;
  • Obama leads Minnesota U.S. Rep. Michele Bachmann 47 – 39 percent;
  • Obama tops Texas Gov. Rick Perry 45 – 39 percent.

Perhaps more dangerous for Obama than the horse race numbers is his general lack of support among registered voters in the state. The poll found the voters of the Keystone State disapprove of his performance by a margin of 54 – 43 percent.

In addition a majority of voters, 52 percent, don’t think Obama deserves re-election while only 42 think he does deserve another term.

While there is still plenty of time until November 2012, it would seem unless there is some strong economic recovery or the Republican base chooses a highly unelectable Presidential nominee, Obama will face very tough re-election.