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At this point Mitt Romney has two advantages in the Republican primary. Most people know who he is and they don’t automatically think he would make a terrible president. This puts him in better shape than the rest of the field. From Pew:
Of the party’s best-known possible candidates, only Mitt Romney has broad potential appeal. Large majorities have heard of four possible Republican candidates – Romney, Sarah Palin, Newt Gingrich and Ron Paul. But most who have heard of Palin and Gingrich say there is no chance they would vote for them (63% each). About as many (60%) say there is no chance they would support Paul.
By contrast, far fewer voters (44%) who have heard of Romney have ruled out voting for him, while 51% say there is at least some chance they could support the former Massachusetts governor.
Normally I would assume no one would be foolish enough to attempt to run for office if a large majority of the electorate had already decided they would never vote for him/her, but that problem has not stopped either Newt Gingrich from running nor Sarah Palin from seriously considering it.
Look at how electable Romney appears in this poll, it is no wonder Democrats are going all out to try to kill Romney in the primary with their healthcare death hug.
21 Comments
Uh how do you win the GOP nomination for President if you will lose Iowa? the GOP chair is a Fundy and hates Abortion. Can Mitt win New Hampshire? South Carolina Bwahahaha! Then comes Super Tuesday and the Southern States where the Fundies will want an Emotional Candidate Sarah, Michelle, maybe Ron or Newt.
Fundies need emotion and Mitt does not deliver. Mitt is Mormon Fundies think its a cult Fundies not regular GOP voters are more than 50% of the vote in the GOP Presidential Primaries.
There is no way Mitt can win after Super Tuesday.
So he can’t win Iowa, maybe gets New Hampshire, loses South Carolina, loses in all the Southern States on Super tuesday.
Mitt is at best running for VP he can claim quite reasonably that Mormon voters will sit out the election unless he is VP.
Please Mitt was a Moderate for years but he switched to Fundy positions to try and get the GOP nomination he plans to run Right in the Primary and then to the Center in the general election classic Nixon tactic.
But in the age of the internet and U-Tube we can record every crazy thing Mitt says and bring it up in the general election.
Mitt thinks he can run as Reagan saying one thing to a Fundy audience an other to a Moderate audience Mitt is fighting the last war.
The Dems are fighting the last war too Mitt is almost as beatable as Sarah.
Trump got in the polls and took first or second place then trump left. Noun Verb 9/11 Rudy gets covered in the polls takes Mitts first place spot.
If anything Mitt is the candidate of default not of GOP voter choice.
Herman Cain is Black the GOP won’t nominate him but as VP having an African American attack Obama would protect the GOP from racism he would therefore make a good VP since the VP’s job in the campaign is to say mean things so the Candidate has clean hands.
Can Cain play the attack Dog is the question? Can GOP voters vote for a Blackman as VP? Can the GOP win without the racist vote?
Tim has less money and maybe less personality than Mitt he is there as back up if Mitt says something stupid.
Why Don’t ROMNEY or SANTORUM Believe in America?
Find out what these two GOP twits mean by ‘America’ …
http://waronignorance.net/index.html
Man o Man.
Rick who cares, Huntsmen can explain why America must keep sending China jobs which in this economy connections with China is a killer.
He can explain why Apple sent thousands of jobs to China. He can explain why Apple put up suicide nets outside its factories because the workers were jumping.
Ron Paul needs to take his people back from Sarah and Michelle those 3 split the Tea Bagger vote. but Sarah and Michelle are the only GOPers who connect emotionally to the Fundies who run the GOP Primaries the Emotional Choice deciding Fundies.
In a GOP primary as long as Sarah and Michelle don’t split the vote they can win Iowa, South Carolina and Super Tuesday if Ron does not run they get the racist vote to.
Ron’s Libertarian votes will go for Newt or anyone not a Fundy. I suspect that if Ron does not do well the Libs will stay home in the primary and general election.
Romney reminds us that ACA is basically Romney care, with BushCo’s Medicare Part D whoreout to Pharma thrown in for good measure. Make ya feel better?
Warning!
Dems need to stay away from OBAMACARE because it is TOXIC! Just In
A lot of DEMS hate OBAMACARE/ROMNEY CARE
Mitt Romney is the least of Obama and Dem worries
Obama better hope the ECONOMY improves, and a lot of people find good JOBS before NOV. 2012!
if not Mickey Mouse will beat OBAMA in 2012
the USA is full of dummies, remember millions of them voted for BUSH twice.
this may be a shock to some people, but a lot of DEMS hate OBAMA
If the GOP won’t talk about creating jobs then even Obama can beat them. Ryan’s tax cuts for the rich will create jobs meme fell flat once people found out about Medicare cuts. Obama’s Problem is the 30%ers who hate all Dems and all African Americans with the Right candidate they will come out in force.
If Obama keeps doing nothing the Left won’t come out in force.
Jobs is the biggest issue to all voters Dem and GOP but neither party is saying vote for me and you will get a job.
Gary Johnson is a guy I’d really LIKE to vote for. Check him out, there’s a reason he’s being excluded from the Repub. N.H. tv debate. Corporations would rather have a Dem. in office they can count on than a Repub. they can’t. Think about it, he’s a Repub. twice elected Gov. of New Mexico, a predominantly Dem. state, he vetoed 750 Bills (more than all other Govs. combined) & he’s FOR leagalization of …. It’s pretty clear to me why media (left & right) refuses to mention his name. I can’t imagine a middle class Dem voting for Obama instead of Gary Johnson.
thingscomeundone
“Obama’s Problem is the 30%ers who hate all Dems and all African Americans with the Right candidate they will come out in force.”
you said it all right here!
the 30%ers may 60%er in the GOP can’t wait to vote in 2012
the BIG PROBLEM OBAMA has is he thought punching hippies was a winning strategy for a black candidate
well it is not! the only way a black candidate in the USA wins a national election in the USA is with a lot of hippie votes. (how many black senators are there in 2011? ZERO)
Obama is a 1 termer, because he punch to many hippies, the only friends he ever had.
Why can’t you see past Herman Cain’s skin color? The has the 2nd lowest name recognition and yet the highest percentage of favorables among those that knownthe candidate. That’s pretty awesome and indicates that he has far to go. Black OR white.
the BIG PROBLEM OBAMA has is he thought punching hippies was a winning strategy for a black candidate
well it is not! the only way a black candidate in the USA wins a national election in the USA is with a lot of hippie votes. (how many black senators are there in 2011? ZERO)
Agreed Obama’s punching Hippies idea is the flip side of my idea with the Right or should I say White Candidate very Pro White Candidate the 30%ers will swarm.
You have pointed out that we Obama’s former supporters have no reason to swarm.
I just got an email about an expected Tap from Obama’s people that conversation would be interesting.
Ever see the ” BoonDock’s ” cartoon about Alan Keyes who was almost as loved as Herman Cain by the GOP? The GOPers love to say things that don’t make them seem racist. Give them a Righty African American candidate they will support him up… until Election day.
Herman gives the GOP a chance to say I’m not Racist then they can say all kinds of racist things.
I can’t forget the number of Birther’s who believe Obama was not born in America. I can’t help but notice that Herman seems to draw support from the same people. Herman gives the 30%ers cover he will never get the nomination no matter how good he is.
What they must be thinking
Candidates like Paul, Palin and Gingrich think they have a chance of winning the general because they imagine that the political landscape will be so changed by the time delegates begin being chosen, that their currently unthinkable candidacies will no longer appear so unthinkable to the voters.
Yes, you could argue that they are just being delusional and narcissistic about their relationship to the voters, and imagine that the people must really love them, and those numbers will turn around once their campaigns get to work. But there is the wider phenomenon in their party of having gone for RyanCare, then doubling down on it despite the utterly predicatable horrible resulting poll numbers, and the results of NY26. You can’t blame that on a few R presidential hopefuls having succumbed to their own personality cults.
Look, most of these people are hard-headed political professsionals. They live and die by polling numbers. What are they thinking, what are they counting on to turn the polling around, to make the electorate accept what it now finds unthinkable?
The only answer I have is that they expect such now unthinkable revolutionary change out of this debt ceiling/national bankruptcy pseudo-crisis that they have ginned out of thin air, that the electorate will find the unthinkabiliy of them and their policy prescriptions pales in comparison. They expect that result of their staged crisis to make policy prescriptions that most of the electorate now thinks of as unacceptably extreme, to become generally accepted contraionts of reality.
What they are aiming to do in the debt ceiling fight is to put the US in a position where it cannot meet all of its obligations, with the expectation that when push comes to shove and the US can’t pay everybody, it will absolutely not fail to meet every jot and tittle of its obligaitons to creditors, lest financial and then economic havoc ensue, and will thus be forced to choose instead to fail to honor its obligations to social safety net programs. They expect the Ds to acquiesce in the long-term end of SocSec and Medicare in order to get the checks going agian for the short term.
In the aftermath of such a D capitulation, a new political dispensation in which all parties have cooperated in killing SocSec and Medicare, will Plain and Paul and Gingrich still seem unthankably extreme? They obviously don’t think so, and I can’t disagree with them.
And that’s worked out so well. Those independents and moderates came out in droves in 2010, oh, wait, that didn’t happen.
Then there were those GOP voters that were impressed by Obama’s hippie punching and crossed over to vote for, wait, that didn’t happen either.
I’ve noticed since Rahm and Robert Gibbs are gone the hippie punching isn’t as intense as it used to be. Turns out that Obama may have finally realised that he needs his base. I betcha he hated it when he came to that conclusion.
Romney is the only significant Republican candidate who is not also a crazy person. He just torpedoed his chances at the nomination by telling the truth about climate change, i.e. it’s real and largely caused by human activity. The Republican base will never nominate someone who is not an anti-science hardliner.
Cain has the lowest negatives in polling because no-one knows who the fuck he is. He’s as batty as Bachmann, and that will come out as soon as people start to find out about him.
The Republicans are on track to nominate someone so manifestly unsuitable to hand the Obama a second term regardless of the state of the economy.
Reminds me of Taibbi’s “Prickless For President” piece about Kerry.
I think posing is his chief trait, inoffensiveness is just one pose.